Concrete
Concrete as a Carbon Sink for Reducing Global Warming
Published
2 years agoon
By
admin
Dr Anjan K Chatterjee, Managing Director, Conmat Technologies, Kolkata, presents a comprehensive analysis of the intricate dynamics of the carbon cycle and its implications for global climate change, particularly focusing on the role of the cement and concrete industry. Examining the interplay between carbon sources and sinks, he explores the potential of concrete as a carbon sink, shedding light on its carbonation process and the implications for CO2 sequestration, in the first instalment of this two-part series.
The ‘Carbon Cycle’ that interconnects the natural carbon sources and carbon sinks is a critical life-support process in our planet (Figure 1). The most abundant greenhouse gas, carbon dioxide (CO2), is continuously recycled on the earth. Carbon sources refer to the processes that release CO2 to the atmosphere, while carbon sinks are the processes that absorb it. As we know, forests, soil, oceans, the atmosphere, and fossil fuels are the important stores of carbon and it moves between these different stores that act either as sinks or sources. It is also understood that a sink absorbs more carbon than it gives off, while a source emits more carbon than it absorbs. The amount of carbon in the atmosphere at any time depends on the balance that exists between the sinks and sources.

Figure 1: Carbon sources and sinks constituting the carbon cycles
Before the Industrial Revolution the carbon cycle was relatively balanced but it has been tilted later towards higher concentration of carbon in the atmosphere due to the increasing industrial activities on the planet (Figure 2). This has been happening because humans produce the greenhouse gases (GHG), and more particularly CO2 and CH4 (methane), much faster than the natural sources can absorb them. The production-based global generation of GHG, and the top eight GHG emitting countries in 2018 are shown below:
- China: 11,706 MT CO2-e
- USA: 5,794
- India: 3,347
- EU + UK: 3,333
- Russia: 1,992
- Indonesia: 1,704
- Brazil: 1,421
- Japan: 1,155
- Total World: 48,928
Among the industrial activities, the production of Portland cement ranks high in generating CO2, creating up to 8 per cent of worldwide man-made emissions of this gas. This is identified as a major contributor to the probable rise in average global temperature exceeding 20C. In recent years, a school of thought has emerged whether it is justified to consider the amount of CO2 emitted directly from the cement manufacturing process as the total cement industry emissions to affect the global temperature rise. This is due to the fact that cement is used mainly in the form of concrete, mortar and plaster in built structures, which over time undergo carbonation involving reverse penetration of CO2. The knowledge about carbonation of existing concrete structures is well-established. The CO2 uptake by the cement-based products including concrete has not been considered historically in the CO2 estimation for climate change. Furthermore, there are many technologies in development, which promise significant potential of enhancing the recycling of CO2 in concrete and cement-based products. Thus, it seems justified to consider that, while the cement production is a carbon source, the cement-based products may act as carbon sinks. The concept of concrete as a carbon sink will be a game-changer for the cement and concrete industry as a whole for improving the climate performance of the sector.

Recap of Concrete Carbonation
Carbonation of concrete has been a subject of study primarily for understanding the mechanism of reinforcement corrosion and the resultant deterioration of concrete. In concrete carbonation, the reaction process relates to the cement matrix part of the concrete and its occurrence is eventually inevitable. It is caused by the ingress of atmospheric CO2 reacting with the pore water to form carbonic acid, which in turn reacts with the lime-bearing hydrated phases in the cement matrix.. This neutralises the alkalinity of concrete and occurs progressively. A carbonation front moves through the concrete until it reaches the steel. The passive layer then breaks down as pH falls from over 12.0 to around 8.0. In fact, corrosion of steel starts in the presence of O2 and H2O as pH falls below 11.0.

A typical Portland cement concrete may show a carbonation depth of 5-8 mm after about 10 years, rising to 10-15 mm after 50 years. Therefore, structures with low concrete cover over the reinforcing steel will show carbonation-induced corrosion more quickly than those with good cover. The rate of advancement of the carbonation front is dependent on the diffusion kinetics of CO2 in concrete, which in turn is related to its quality. Concretes made with high w/c ratios and with low cementitious materials content will carbonate faster than low-porosity high-strength concrete. The blended cement concretes, because of their low alkaline reserves, tend to carbonate faster than the grade of concrete for an equivalent OPC content. The rate of carbonation is also affected by the environmental conditions. Carbonation is more rapid in fairly dry and wet-and-dry cyclic environments.
Though carbonation is a harmful process for the reinforcement steel, for the concrete mass without metal reinforcement, the effect is beneficial, because the product of carbonation reaction CaCO3 has larger volume than the major hydrating phase Ca(OH)2, thus resulting in better pore filling and increase in the strength of concrete. It has also been observed that the carbonation reactions occur during the entire life cycle of a structure or a concrete element, though it might be initiated at the exposed surfaces and limited to cover concrete, jointing mortar and plasters and renderings. Interestingly, a study on concrete bridges cast between 11 and 76 years revealed that at 76 years of casting carbonation of concrete was still evident except that the carbonation rate was lower compared to newer structures [1].
Carbonation reaction
It is known that surfaces of concrete and other cement-based materials in direct contact with carbon dioxide and water are prone to carbonation, which spreads inwards at a rate proportional to the square root of time. The hydrated cement phases and the pore solution are the starting points for carbonation. There are four important hydration products with varying amounts of CaO available in them for carbonation as shown in Table 1 [2]. Portlandite (CH) and C-S-H gel are the most abundant in occurrence with high binding capacity.
Carbon dioxide dissolves in the pore solution of cement paste, producing carbonate ions, which react with calcium ions to produce solid calcium carbonate. The hydroxyl and calcium ions required by these reactions are obtained by the dissolution of calcium hydroxide and decomposition of the hydrated silicate and aluminate phases. The reactions involving the calcium hydroxide and calcium silicate hydrate phases may be represented by the following equations:
CO2 + 2OH- ? CO32- + H2O
(1)
Ca2+ + CO32- ? CaCO3 (2)
Ca(OH)2 ? Ca2+ + 2OH- (3)
xCaO.SiO2(aq) + zH2O ? yCa2+ + 2yOH- + (x – y)CaO.SiO2(aq)
(4)
The rate and degree of carbonation is governed mainly by the factors such as the size and geometry of the porous structure, the degree of water saturation in the pore system, the type of cement and supplementary cementitious materials, the chemical composition of the pore solution, the temperature, and the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere. As already stated above, the carbonation of the hydrated cement matrix results in increase of strength and hardness in concrete and also reduction of its permeability and shrinkage. The concrete becomes more volume stable and consequently, further volume destabilisation due to subsequent moisture changes is prevented.
co2 Uptake in Concrete
The degree of carbonation in concrete is generally determined in the laboratory by the phenolphthalein test. The phenolphthalein applied carbonated periphery in a broken piece of a carbonated concrete is shown in Figure 4.

Figure 4: Carbonated periphery of a crushed concrete fragment as determined by the phenolphthalein test.
It is generally observed that in the first year of service the carbonation depth varies from I mm in dense dry concrete to 5 mm or more in more permeable concrete with high water content. The depth increases in subsequent years. The carbonation process proceeds faster when RH lies in the range of 50-75 per cent.
Calculating the uptake of CO2 in concrete and other cement-containing products as well as its impact on the global climate is a complex task. There is no unambiguous calculation method that can be used for this purpose. However, certain approximate and empirical models were attempted for this purpose and the results were significantly different. A comprehensive summary was published in 2016 [3]. The findings can be broadly summarised as follows:
- A study conducted in 2005 in four Nordic studies showed that within 50 years the projected extent of carbonation will range from 24% to 43%. The penetration depth will be about 32 mm.
- A 1997 study of 18 bridges, aged from 14 to 56 years at the time of study, reported carbonation depths of up to 50 mm.
- A 2017 study of the Itaipu dam commissioned in 1984 in Paraguay reported the average and maximum carbonation depths of 33 mm and 73.3 mm.
- A 2018 study of two 100-year old bridges in Slovakia revealed that the exposed surfaces carbonated to a depth of 60 mm, but some surfaces protected by 2-3 mm layers of impermeable plaster prevented carbonation.
- The demolished concrete materials showed faster rates of carbonation.
Another study, based on different datasets compiled from field surveys in China and a comprehensive synthesis of prior data, was reported in [4]. The study attempted to model the global atmospheric CO2 uptake not only in concrete but also in mortar, construction cement waste, and cement kiln dust between 1930 and 2013 in four regions, e.g., China, the US, Europe and the rest of the world. Furthermore, the study included a sensitivity analysis of the uptake estimates in respect of 26 different variables. Without going into the details of calculations, it may be stated that for concrete three stages in the lifecycle were considered – service life, demolition and secondary use of concrete waste. In each case the exposed surface areas, thicknesses, exposure conditions including the atmospheric CO2 concentrations in different regions, and exposure time were taken into account in the modelling exercise. The average service life of the buildings was derived from the range of 35 to 70 years. The effects of different strength classes in concrete, exposure conditions, additions and coatings were explicitly modelled. The calculation of carbon sequestration from mortar was calculated from mortar thickness and annual carbonation depth. The carbon uptake in construction waste and kiln dust was calculated with due consideration of the generation rate and measured carbonation fractions. For modelling, Fick’s diffusion law was used and the carbonation rate coefficients were derived from both experimental measurements and review of relevant literature. The net annual CO2 emissions related to cement production minus the estimated annual CO2 sequestration due to carbonation of cement materials is shown in Figure 5. Between 1990 and 2013 the annual carbon uptake has shown an increase 5.8 per cent per year on average, slightly faster than 5.4 per cent growth in process emissions. Cumulatively it was estimated that an amount of 4.5 GtCyr-1 has been sequestered by cement materials since 1930 and more specifically, the annual sequestration rate increased from 0.10GtCyr-1 in 1998 to 0.25 GtCyr-1 in 2013. In total, it was estimated that roughly 43 per cent of the cumulative cement process emissions of CO2 produced between 1930 and 2013 have been reabsorbed by carbonating cement materials.
A few other points that emerged from this study are worth mentioning:
- During the period of study, based on the regional details, the break-up of CO2 storage was 68 per cent from concrete, 27 per cent from mortar, 2 per cent from cement losses in the course of construction, and 3 per cent from cement kiln dust
- Cement mortars acted as the most effective carbon sink, though only 30 per cent of cement is used in it. This was apparently because of the extensive exposed exterior surface of mortars.
- Despite a relatively smaller exposure area, concrete was the second largest contributor to the carbon sink, because of its sheer volume.
- The cement losses during construction and the cement kiln dust at the production stage were also contributors to the total sink.
Reporting co2 Emissions
Three international systems for monitoring, quantifying and reporting of CO2 emissions are prevalent:
- Reporting of national CO2 emissions to UNFCCC (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change)
- EU climate and energy frameworks for lowering climate impact
- Environmental product declaration (EPD)
The guidelines for UNFCCC reporting were developed by the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). Although the carbonation of cement products was included in the document in 2006 but the scientific consensus then was not in favour of inclusion into national inventories. Since it has now emerged from various studies that the concrete as carbon sink must be accounted for in calculating the net emissions of CO2, there is an urgent need to review the IPCC guidelines. The situation is not much different in the EU systems that include ETS (Emission Trading System) and ESR (Effort Sharing Regulation). It appears that there is some flexibility in EU/ESR to consider CO2 bound in construction timber but not for the emissions and uptake by the concrete construction. In EPD, there is a scope for following the European standard EN 16757:2017 (Sustainability of construction works – Environmental Product Declarations – Product Category Rules for Concrete and Concrete Elements), though mortars and renderings are not covered in the standard.
Thus, there is a visible gap in developing a scientifically reliable approach for tracking and reporting of CO2 emissions and absorption in the cement, cement-based building products and concrete construction sectors at the national and international levels.
Modeling approach for calculating CO2 uptake in existing concrete structures
A comprehensive review has been presented in [5]. The emission and uptake model, illustrated by the author, is reproduced in Figure 6. Compared to the emission process, the uptake processes are much slower and longer. The primary uptake is by concrete structures such as bridges, house frames, concrete tiles, concrete roads, railway sleepers, cement mortars, etc. The uptake by the post-demolition secondary products refers to crushed concrete, which may be used in as a road base or for landfilling. A complete CO2 uptake model must consider both the primary and secondary uptakes with different timeframes.
The depth of carbonation, d, can be calculated by the well-established formula: d=kvt, where, t is time and k is the rate of carbonation, depending on the exposure and concrete quality. In addition, it is necessary to know another parameter, DOC (Degree of Carbonation), defined as the amount of CO2 uptake in relation to the theoretical maximum CO2 uptake, corresponding to 100 per cent DOC. While the theoretical maximum uptake can be taken as the amount of CO2 emitted from the limestone calcination in the clinker making process, the degree of carbonation may be determined by the phenolphthalein test on concrete samples. Values of k and DOC are provided in the annexure to EN 16757:2018.
The CO2 uptake in kg per m2 of concrete during t years for any application can be calculated as CO2 uptake at a surface = (k x DOC)(v (t)/1000) x Utcc x C, (5)
Where k is the rate of carbonation for the surface in mm/v(t),
DOC is degree of carbonation for the surface,
T is the number of years, Utcc is the maximum theoretical uptake in kg CO2/kg cement (e.g., ~0.49 for CEM I), C is the cement content in kg cement/m3 concrete.
For an application, structure or product the total CO2 uptake in kg may then be calculated, based on the sum of the uptake at all different surfaces according to the equation

Figure 6: Schematic diagram of the CO2 emission and uptake model.
Total CO2 uptake = S(ki x DOCi x Ai) x Utcc x C (6) where i denotes surfaces and A is the surface area in m2.
Further, the CO2 uptake per m3 can be obtained by dividing the total uptake by the total volume of concrete.
The blended cements or concrete with additions like granulated slag, fly ash or calcined clay are normally considered to have higher carbonation rates but precise and reliable data is not readily available. Hence, a possible way out for the present may be to apply a factor, corresponding to the clinker content in the blended cement, to the theoretical uptake computed for the normal Portland cement such as CEM I.
Further to the above approach of modeling, two other progressively more precise approaches, termed as tier 2 and tier 3, have been proposed in [5], These refined approaches essentially are based on the use of historical cement production and application statistics in a country or a region with varying timeframes. The three tiers will also differ in respect of the uptake parameters at the end-of-life stage and the secondary use stage of concrete. The intent is to have a reliable estimate of net emissions of CO2 from the cement industry after proper accounting of reabsorption of CO2 in concrete and other cement-based building products.
*References will be provided in the concluding part, in the next issue
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Dr Anjan K Chatterjee is a Fellow at the Indian National Academy of Engineering, a Materials Scientist and the Author of ‘Cement Production Technology: Principles and Practice.’
Table 1: Major hydration products of Portland cement and their binding capacity
Compositional parameters CSH CH AFm AFt All
Hydrate phase content, % 50 25 10 10 95
CaO molar ratio 0.42 0.76 0.36 0.27 –
CaO % corresponding to the hydrate phase content 21 19 3.6 2.7 46
Assumed degree of carbonation, % 50 100 75 50 –
CaO available for carbonation in the hydrate phases, % 11 19 2.7 1.3 34
CaO available for carbonation relative to the total CaO in the hydrate phases, % 23.9 41.3 5.9 2.8 74
Concrete
CarbonStrong Raises Rs 125 Million To Scale Low Carbon Cement Tech
To build capacity of 100,000 tonnes a year
Published
12 hours agoon
August 28, 2026By
admin
CarbonStrong has raised Rs 125 million (125 mn) to scale a low carbon cement technology and build commercial production capacity. The startup was founded in 2022 by Harsh Jain and Vikramaditya Singh and has moved from customer trials to plans for industrial supply. The company said its material replaces up to 50 per cent of cement in concrete while reducing costs and improving durability.
CarbonStrong states the product is around 30 per cent cheaper than cement and compatible with existing concrete plants, reducing the need for new equipment and operational disruption. Trials and paid pilots have been conducted in Bengaluru, Hyderabad and Chennai with demonstration projects involving ready-mix firms and precast manufacturers. Compatibility with current workflows forms a central part of the commercial strategy, aiming to ease adoption by builders and contractors.
The funding will support construction of a facility with capacity of up to 100,000 tonnes (100,000 t) a year over the next two years to supply early customers commercially. The firm is also developing materials from steel slag, copper slag and mine tailings to expand its feedstock base, while noting the technical challenge of homogenising different waste streams. Recognition by HCL ClimaForce in 2026 and by the Avaana-Startup India-NITI Aayog AIM Grand Challenge in 2025 has underscored progress.
Industry adoption remains the principal test and will require consistent material performance, supply reliability and competitive economics. CarbonStrong projects the Indian market for cement substitutes could reach Rs 250 billion (250 bn) by 2030 and has set an ambition to produce 10 million tonnes a year by 2035 (10 mn t), a target far above its near term capacity. Moving from pilots to production demands capital, manufacturing discipline and customers willing to specify the material beyond demonstrations. The recent Rs 125 million raise is intended to fund the next phase of scale and to demonstrate that industrial waste can become a dependable input for lower carbon construction.
In a research-backed article, Dr SB Hegde examines why carbon-adjusted profitability and LC3 will decide the next set of winners in cement manufacturing.
The Indian cement industry has achieved world-class operational efficiency through lower specific energy consumption, high plant utilisation and a reduced average clinker factor of approximately 67.5 per cent. These traditional measures of operational excellence remain essential. However, they are no longer sufficient. Carbon now carries a measurable financial cost under India’s Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS) and under European carbon markets. Future leadership will be defined by carbon-adjusted profitability, the ability to generate strong returns while systematically lowering the carbon intensity of every ton sold.
Limestone calcined clay cement (LC3) offers a practical, scalable pathway to achieve this dual objective. By replacing up to 50 per cent of clinker with calcined clay and limestone, LC3 can reduce CO2 emissions by 30–40 per cent while delivering comparable or superior durability performance.
This article examines the technical foundations of LC3, European industrial practices, the emerging Indian carbon market and a concrete roadmap for Indian companies to embed carbon-adjusted metrics and LC3 into daily operations, incentives and commercial strategy.
Limits of traditional operational excellence
For many years, plant performance has been judged primarily by five indicators: specific heat consumption, specific power consumption, kiln and mill utilisation, clinker factor and overall equipment effectiveness. These metrics drove continuous improvement and helped the industry reduce energy use and increase the share of blended cement. Three structural changes have rendered them incomplete as sole measures of success.
First, carbon now carries a real or opportunity cost. Plants that improve volume or lower cash cost while raising or stagnating emissions intensity create a hidden liability that will surface as CCTS trading matures and as green procurement expands.
Second, lower-carbon products such as LC3 and high-performance blended cements are creating differentiated market segments. Customers in infrastructure, real estate and export-oriented construction are beginning to specify embodied-carbon limits.
Third, investors and lenders increasingly treat carbon intensity as a financial risk factor. Traditional KPIs can mask the divergence between short-term cash profit and long-term carbon-adjusted value.
What is carbon-adjusted profitability?
Carbon-adjusted profitability evaluates normal profit after explicit adjustment for carbon performance. A practical expression is:
Carbon-Adjusted EBITDA = Conventional EBITDA – Carbon Cost + Green Premium Income
Carbon cost may be an internal carbon price, the actual cost of purchasing Carbon Credit Certificates under CCTS, or the opportunity cost of high emissions relative to peers. Green premium income arises when customers pay more for verified lower-carbon cement or when the company sells surplus credits. Tracking both conventional and carbon-adjusted profit side-by-side gives management a clearer picture of value creation under evolving market rules.
Table 1. Traditional KPIs versus Carbon-Adjusted Leadership Metrics
Traditional Focus New Leadership Metric Why It Matters
Specific energy consumption Emissions intensity (kg CO2/t cement) Directly linked to future CCTS and CBAM costs
Kiln utilisation Carbon-adjusted contribution margin Reveals true value of incremental volume
Clinker factor Share of lower-carbon products sold (incl. LC3) Measures commercial success of the transition
Power cost per tonne Effective carbon cost per tonne sold Expose hidden liabilities
Absolute EBITDA Carbon-adjusted EBITDA + green premium Aligning profit with future market reality
LC3: Technical foundations and performance advantages
LC3 is a ternary blended cement that typically combines approximately 50 per cent clinker, 30 per cent calcined clay, 15 per cent limestone and 5 per cent gypsum (the classic LC3-50 formulation). The decisive technical advantage is that clay is calcined at 700–850 °C, far below the 1,450 °C required for clinker production. This lower temperature, together with the substantial reduction in clinker content, delivers CO2 reductions of 30–40 per cent relative to ordinary Portland cement (OPC).
Chemistry is synergistic. Calcined kaolinitic clay (metakaolin) reacts with calcium hydroxide from clinker hydration and with limestone to form additional C-A-S-H gel and carboaluminate phases. These phases densify the microstructure, reduce porosity and improve durability.
Field experience shows superior resistance to chloride ingress, sulphate attack and alkali–silica reaction. Early-age strength can match OPC with high-reactivity clays; later-age strengths routinely meet 42.5 and 52.5 grade requirements.
Importantly, LC3 does not require high-purity kaolin. Clays with 40 per cent or even lower kaolinite content can be activated successfully, expanding raw-material availability across India. Calcination can use adapted rotary kilns or dedicated flash calciners, making the technology compatible with existing plant infrastructure and far less capital-intensive than carbon capture.
Economic analyses show that LC3 can be produced at equal or lower cost than OPC in many locations because of reduced energy demand and cheaper clay. Life-cycle assessments consistently report 30–40 per cent lower embodied CO2 per tonne of cement.
Table 2. Comparative profile: OPC versus LC3-50
Parameter OPC LC3-50
Typical clinker content ~95 per cent ~50 per cent
CO2 emissions (relative) Baseline (≈0.85 t CO2/t cement process + fuel) 30–40 per cent lower
Clay calcination temperature Not applicable 700–850 °C
Key hydration products C-S-H, portlandite, ettringite C-A-S-H + carboaluminates
Chloride & sulphate resistance Good Superior
Production cost potential Baseline Equal or lower in most locations
Infrastructure compatibility Existing High (minor adaptations)
In India, commercial adoption has begun in earnest. JK Cement commenced the first commercial production of LC3 in the Indian subcontinent at its Mangrol plant in Rajasthan in 2025 under BIS standard IS 18189.
By early 2026, approximately 2,000 tonnes had been produced and sold, avoiding an estimated 500 tonnes of CO2. JK Lakshmi Cement followed with commercial launch of its Green PRO LC3 grade from the Jaykaypuram plant. As of mid-2026, two producers are supplying LC3 to the market. The first large-scale infrastructure application is the Noida International Airport (Jewar), where LC3 was used in the runway and a building complex, demonstrating full constructability and performance under demanding conditions. These early volumes are still small relative to national cement demand, but they mark the critical transition from pilot to commercial reality. Companies that scale capacity now will be positioned to capture both CCTS credits and emerging green-procurement demand.
Why the shift is accelerating
According to the World Bank’s State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2026, direct carbon pricing now covers nearly 30 per cent of global greenhouse-gas emissions and generated more than US$107 billion in public revenue in 2025. The average global carbon price stands at approximately US$21 per tonne, although regional prices vary widely.
In Europe, the EU ETS price has traded near €80–85 per tonen in mid-2026. Free allocation for cement is being withdrawn in parallel with CBAM. European producers therefore face a clear signal: every tonne of avoided CO2 improves both compliance and competitiveness. Holcim has scaled calcined-clay production, including Europe’s first dedicated line at Saint-Pierre-la-Cour (France) and a second line in the Czech Republic (2026). Heidelberg Materials, Cementir (FUTURECEM) and others have commercialised low-clinker calcined-clay blends across multiple markets, showing that carbon-adjusted profitability is already reshaping capital allocation in the world’s most mature carbon market.India’s CCTS is now operational. Binding emission intensity targets apply to 186 cement facilities for FY 2025–26 and FY 2026–27. Average required reductions for integrated plants are modest (around 2.7 per cent by FY 2027), yet the direction is clear.
Trading of Carbon Credit Certificates is expected in the second half of 2026, with early prices likely in the `800–1,500 per tonne range. Plants that outperform targets can sell credits; those that underperform must buy them or face compensation. Cement is well positioned to be a net supplier of credits if clinker factor continues to fall through LC3 and other low-clinker systems.
Way forward for India
India starts from a strong baseline, world-class energy efficiency and a clinker factor already lower than the global average. The next competitive frontier is the deliberate reduction of process emissions through clinker substitution at scale. LC3 is uniquely suited to Indian conditions because suitable clays are widely distributed, the technology fits existing kiln and grinding infrastructure, and the resulting product can meet the performance demands of both infrastructure and building construction.
A practical national pathway contains five interlocking elements:
- Standards and acceptance: Accelerated finalisation and promotion of BIS specifications for calcined-clay and limestone–calcined-clay cements will remove a key barrier to commercial uptake. Alignment with European practice (EN 197-5) can facilitate knowledge transfer and export readiness.
- Supply-chain development: Investment in flash calcination capacity and systematic characterisation of regional clay deposits will secure reliable, low-cost feedstock. Existing rotary kilns can be adapted for initial volumes while dedicated calciners are built.
- Incentive alignment: Part of variable compensation for plant managers, sales teams and senior leadership should be linked to emissions intensity reduction and to the volume of lower-carbon products (including LC3) sold. Without this link, traditional volume and cost targets will continue to dominate behaviour.
- Product-level carbon accounting: Reliable measurement of emissions intensity at the individual cement grade level, supported by third-party verification where required, is essential for both CCTS compliance and credible green claims.
- Demand-side pull: Green public procurement policies that specify maximum embodied-carbon thresholds for major infrastructure projects will create a predictable market for LC3 and other low-carbon cements, accelerating scale and cost reduction.
Companies that treat LC3 as a strategic product line rather than a niche offering will be better positioned to generate surplus Carbon Credit Certificates, capture any emerging green premium, and protect margins as carbon costs rise.
Organisational changes required
Technical capability alone is insufficient. Three organisational shifts are required.
Daily management: Emissions intensity must appear on the same daily and monthly dashboards as heat consumption, power consumption and utilization. Plant reviews should examine both conventional and carbon-adjusted results.
Incentives: A meaningful portion of bonuses for plant heads, technical teams and sales leadership should be tied to lower emissions intensity and successful commercialisation of LC3 and other low-carbon grades.
Commercial approach: Sales teams need clear volume and pricing targets for lower-carbon products, supported by technical service that helps customers specify and place the material correctly. Without commercial pull, excellent technical performance remains under-utilised.
Table 3. Three-stage roadmap to carbon-adjusted profitability
Time Horizon Priority Actions Expected Outcome
Next 12 months Add emissions intensity to plant dashboards; establish internal carbon price; initiate LC3 pilot production and customer trials Visibility and early organisational learning
12–24 months Revise incentive systems; scale LC3 and other low-carbon grades to key accounts; secure third-party verification capability People and sales aligned with carbon goals
24–36 months Embed carbon-adjusted metrics in board reporting and capital allocation; expand calcined-clay capacity Full system integration and competitive advantage
Questions senior leaders should ask
Boards can accelerate the transition by insisting on answers to a short list of questions:
• Is our carbon-adjusted profit improving, stable or declining relative to conventional EBITDA?
• Did recent volume growth improve or worsen our emissions intensity?
• What share of sales already comes from lower-carbon products, including LC3, and what is the trajectory?
• How exposed is our capital expenditure plan to rising carbon costs under CCTS and potential CBAM-related requirements?
• Do our incentive systems still reward only volume and cost, or have they been updated to include carbon performance?
Treating carbon with the same seriousness as energy cost or kiln utilization does not diminish operational excellence; it expands the definition of excellence to match the new competitive reality.
Looking ahead
By 2030 the gap between leading and lagging cement companies will not be decided by who records the lowest specific heat consumption. It will be decided by who delivers the strongest carbon-adjusted profits.
Absolute emissions may still rise as national production grows. That is not the issue. Companies that reduce intensity year after year and successfully sell cleaner products will pull ahead in both domestic and export markets. Those that do not will fall behind, even if their traditional efficiency numbers look strong.
Operational excellence built the Indian cement industry. It remains the foundation. It is no longer the complete picture. Carbon-adjusted profitability is the clearer measure of success.
LC3 is not a distant technology. It is available now. It cuts CO3 by 30–40 per cent, works with existing plants, and is already in commercial production in India. Companies that treat it as a strategic product, not a pilot, will protect their margins and generate tradable credits.
Leaders who act now will place carbon metrics on daily dashboards, link incentives to intensity reduction and LC3 sales, invest in calcined-clay capacity, and build commercial capability to sell lower-carbon products. They will shape the next chapter of the industry.
References
- World Bank. (2026). State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2026. Washington, DC: World Bank Group.
- International Carbon Action Partnership (ICAP). (2026). India Carbon Credit Trading Scheme – Status and Coverage. Berlin: ICAP.
- Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change / Bureau of Energy Efficiency. (2025). Greenhouse Gases Emission Intensity Target Rules, 2025. New Delhi: Government of India.
- Scrivener, K., Martirena, F., Bishnoi, S., & Maity, S. (2018). Calcined clay limestone cements (LC3). Cement and Concrete Research, 114, 49–56.
- RMI. (2024). The Business Case for LC3. Rocky Mountain Institute.
- European Commission. (2026). EU Emissions Trading System – Allowance Price Data and Free Allocation Phase-out Schedule. Brussels.
- Holcim. (2025–2026). Scaling Calcined Clay for Sustainable Building – Corporate Updates on European and Latin American Capacity. Zurich: Holcim Ltd.
- LC3 Project / EPFL. (2026). LC3 – A Guide to Best Practices for Scalable, Affordable and Sustainable Low-Carbon Building. Lausanne: École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne.
- Business Today / Industry Reports. (2026). First Large-Scale LC3 Application at Noida International Airport, Jewar. New Delhi.
- NITI Aayog / Industry Analyses. (2026). Roadmap and Baseline Performance Indicators for the Indian Cement Sector. New Delhi.
- Springer / Innovative Infrastructure Solutions. (2026). LC3 Systems: A Review of Chemistry, Performance, Durability and Sustainability toward Market Adoption.
- Cementir Holding / Industry Sources. (2025–2026). FUTURECEM and Related Low-Clinker Technologies in Europe.
- Climate Risk Horizons & Independent Analyses. (2026). Assessment of Emission Intensity Targets under India’s CCTS for Cement and Other Hard-to-Abate Sectors.
- GCCA / TERI. (Various years). Decarbonization Roadmaps for the Indian Cement Industry.
- EN 197-5:2021. Cement – Part 5: Portland-composite cement CEM II/C-M and Composite cement CEM VI. European Committee for Standardization.
Concrete
More Oversight Makes Cement Plants Less Safe
Published
12 hours agoon
August 28, 2026By
admin
Dijam Panigrahi makes a counterintuitive but data-backed argument that routing every sensor alert through human approval does not make cement plants safer.
India’s cement industry has spent the last two years wiring kilns, mills and coolers with sensors and automated control systems, and the safety case for doing so is strong on paper. Contract workers still make up the majority of the industry’s workforce, and fatal accidents remain a recurring problem. The Indian National Cement Workers Federation has noted that around 83 per cent of workers in the sector hold precarious positions, a fact that resurfaced after an oxygen cylinder explosion killed three contract workers at a plant in Chhattisgarh.
Industry tallies compiled by IndustriALL found cement plants recorded at least seventeen accidents in one year with 21 workers killed, and ten accidents the following year with nine killed, most of them contract staff. Automated monitoring, in theory, closes that gap. A sensor never gets complacent and never skips a check because a shift is short staffed.
However, plants that respond by routing every anomaly reading to a person for approval are quietly building a system that fails the same way understaffing does. When operators receive dozens of flagged deviations a shift, most of them minor, they learn a simple lesson: the fastest way through the queue is to approve without reading closely. The safety benefit disappears, not because the technology failed, but because the humans supervising it adapted to the volume.
Why alerts get ignored
A study cited by manufacturing technology publisher Applied SmartFactory found more than 95 per cent of alarms in a semiconductor fab were low priority, and only about 4 per cent ever triggered an action, with just 100 out of 5,000 alarms accounting for 70 per cent of all alarm activity. The mechanism is the same whether the trigger is a vibration sensor or an AI model flagging a kiln temperature swing. Once the ratio of noise to signal crosses a threshold, workers stop treating the system as a decision aid and start treating it as a formality to clear.
The scale of AI deployment underway makes this more than a theoretical risk. Stanford’s 2026 AI Index Report found organisational adoption of AI has reached 88 per cent, even as documented AI incidents rose to 362 in 2025, up sharply from 233 the year before, according to analysis of the report. The Index also found only about a third of organisations have adopted a formal governance framework, with NIST’s AI Risk Management Framework cited by 33 per cent and ISO/IEC 42001 cited by 36 per cent.
Most manufacturers are deploying monitoring systems faster than they are building the judgment for when a flagged event actually needs a person’s attention. In India, plants run by JK Cement have begun pairing CCTV feeds with AI to define safe zones around heavy machinery, a promising direction that still depends on operators trusting and reading the alerts the system generates.
A three-tier model for cement plant
The fix is not less monitoring or more monitoring. It is classifying decisions by risk and by novelty, rather than treating human oversight as a single switch that is either on or off. A workable model sorts factory floor events into three tiers.
The first tier, proceed, covers deviations the plant has seen before that fall within known safe bounds, such as a kiln feed rate adjustment within an established range. These should run without a stop for approval, because routing them to a person only trains that person to click through.
The second tier, pause, covers events that are unusual but not yet dangerous, such as a vibration reading trending toward a limit or a fuel blend shifting outside its typical mix. These warrant a brief human check before the system proceeds, giving an operator the chance to apply judgment the model does not yet have.
The third tier, escalate, covers events that are both high risk and unfamiliar, such as a pressure reading combined with a temperature spike that has no close precedent in the plant’s history. These should stop the process entirely and require a decision from someone with the authority to shut down a line.
Who should set the threshold
Where these tiers get drawn matters as much as the framework itself. Threshold setting is frequently handed to the vendor supplying the monitoring software or to a plant’s IT department, both of which understand the technology but not the specific tolerances of a given kiln, mill or line. Operations staff, who know that a particular grinding unit runs hotter under monsoon humidity or that a calciner behaves differently after a refractory reline, are better positioned to calibrate what counts as routine on their own equipment.
Handing threshold ownership to operations does not remove IT or vendors from the process, but it puts the calibration decision closest to the people who live with its consequences on the floor.
Signals that oversight is actually working
A few concrete indicators reveal whether a monitoring setup is functioning as intended or simply providing the appearance of safety. The escalation rate over time is the first: a rate that stays flat or climbs slowly as operations mature is healthy, while one that spikes and then falls sharply often means operators have started overriding the system rather than engaging with it. Time to resolution is the second: escalations that take progressively longer to close suggest fatigue or confusion about ownership, not diligence. The third, and most telling, is how accurate the system’s own uncertainty estimates turn out to be, meaning whether events flagged as high risk actually correlated with real incidents, and whether events waved through stayed incident free. A system whose escalations do not track with actual outcomes trains operators toward the same complacency that unmonitored equipment produces.
None of this argues against automation in Indian cement manufacturing, where a labor structure built on contract work and a track record of serious accidents make better monitoring an urgent need. It argues for treating human oversight as a design problem with three distinct settings, rather than a single
dial turned up whenever a plant wants to look safer on paper.
About the author:
Dijam Panigrahi, Co-founder and COO, GridRaster, is a spatial computing platform for industrial enterprises and manufacturers.
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CarbonStrong Raises Rs 125 Million To Scale Low Carbon Cement Tech
Protect Your Margins
More Oversight Makes Cement Plants Less Safe
The biggest gap arises from inconsistent leadership

