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Milestone Trends in Indian Cement Industry

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KHD charts its green footprints on the road to low carbon emissions.

India is the second largest cement producer in the world and accounted for over 8 per cent of the global installed capacity. Of the total capacity, 98 per cent lies with the private sector and the rest with the public sector. The top 20 companies account for around 70 per cent of the total cement production in India. Having the high quantity and quality of limestone deposits throughout the country, the cement industry has promised huge potential for growth since 1914. In the past five years, the industry has witnessed a CAGR of approximately 5.5 per cent driven by demands in roads, urban infrastructure and commercial real estate. The cement sector has received good investments and support from the Government in the recent past.
In this growing trend, the industry has witnessed ups and downs, technological changes, import-export crisis, increased fuel prices, environment load, alternate solutions, mergers and acquisitions, market strategies, fierce competition and above all sustainability. Various trends were witnessed, which called for solutions that have a global approach particularly low carbon emissions. Due to the incessant changing technology and requirements of cement industry, KHD being a responsible partner is steadily delivering and contributing its best for more than 160 years presenting a sterling example in fulfilling the responsibility as a prime technology supplier. Continual development based on the need from the industry, guided the technology providers to think ahead and gear up to provide the cement industry with the latest state of art technology integrating the innovations, which are leading to the sustainability of the plants in long run. With the depleting resources, concerns for growing greenhouse emissions and sustainable practices, KHD with its long vision approach worked out that for the growth to be consistent the principle, which will form the basis should be derived on the sustainable life cycle. The coming sections will discuss the number of trends witnessed by industry in the past decades.
Trends for an efficient pyroprocessing system: In the past few decades, the basic nature of pyroprocessing has not changed. A little that had changed happened about twenty or thirty years ago, which was the transition from wet to semi-dry and semi-dry to dry processes. Post that, most of the processes have become more and more efficient, but have not changed fundamentally. It›s the continuous evolution of technologies from good to better to best like Preheaters Development in terms of increased efficiency, reduced pressure drops, lower exit temperatures and reduced emissions. For instance, the top stage twin cyclones as supplied by KHD are designed with highest dust collection efficiency of > 96 per cent, low exhaust gas temperatures up to 260oC and low pressure drop as low as 350 mmWG (Fig 1). Another development goes into the calciner series wherein the calciner was developed over a time for usage of alternate fuels of varying degree and quality. The developments were made keeping in view the requirement of industry to use more of alternate fuels than the noble nonrenewable fuel sources (Fig 2). Today the trend stands for the more and more usage of alternate fuels up to 90 per cent in the pyroprocessing system thus, decreasing the load on mother nature and contributing towards the ‘2050 Climate Ambition’.

Fig 1: High Efficiency Preheater Cyclone Development by KHD
Fig 2: Calciner modifications by KHD for AFR usage

Another trend is for decreased thermal energy consumption, which is addressed by developing the preheater cyclones and calciner by KHD. To arrest the radiation losses in the system KHD is doing proper insulation in the preheater and ducts along with special aluminum-based paints to retain the heat within the system and increase the availability for intrinsic processes. We will deal with more of the global mandates in coming sections on environment trends.
Cooling solutions have always played a major role in any clinkerisation line. The earlier generations of coolers like the rotary cooler, satellite coolers were replaced by grate coolers in the eras of 90 and later walking floor coolers. Further, developments were made in these coolers as better features like KHD further developed its clinker cooler ‘Static Inlet’ with state-of-art features. Latest generation clinker cooler ‘Static Grate’ is designed with ‘Horse Shoe’ for optimal clinker distribution on the static grate with high specific cooling air to achieve the benefits of highest recuperation efficiency, excellent clinker distribution across cooler width, minimum ‘Snowman’ formation and low clinker temperature at beginning of moving grate. For the cooling zone section, low maintenance-high efficiency grate plates are being offered. The salient features of these patented plates are autogenous wear protection and reduced pressure drop due to optimally designed aeration slots. Also, the fall through of dust was eliminated by the development of better sealing arrangements (Fig 3).
Another upcoming trend in the cement industry is the generation of power from exhaust. As known India is amongst the few G20 countries to be on track to meet its Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) committed under the Paris Agreement. According to the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE), the Indian Cement Industry has the highest potential (amongst identified sectors) to generate energy from waste. However, potential also lies in providing the technologies, which can provide the maximum waste heat. For instance, KHD coolers have high potential to provide more of the exhaust heat from its midpoint in order to be captured by the boiler after hot air recirculation
Also providing an intermediate crusher has an advantage of increasing the midair temp. Similarly in preheaters more of the exhaust gases are captured to generate more power. Recently one of the plants operating with KHD Preheater and cooler has generated approx. 15 MW gross from a potential 8000 tpd clinkerisation unit.
One more additional trend upcoming in the pyro system is the use of alternate raw materials to produce clinker without compromising on the quality and parameters. Selected waste and by-products containing useful minerals such as calcium, silica, alumina and iron can be used as raw materials in the kiln, replacing raw materials such as clay, shale and limestone. Even to some extent 3 per cent slag can be used in the raw material replacing some of the traditional raw material. In one of the KHD plants in Novotroitsk, Russia, copper slag, which is a byproduct from nearby industry, replaced up to 30 per cent of raw material for clinker production.

Fig 3: Efficiency enhancing cooler components characteristics of KHD coolers

This iron corrective component (Martin Slag) material not only acts as alternate raw material but also produces heat and fulfils the heat content requirement of the process. This has led to the World Record of specific heat consumption of only 600 kCal/kg clinker (Fig 5).

(Fig 4).
Fig 5: KHD Plant in Novotroitsk, Russia

ENVIRONMENT IMPACT ASSESSMENT AND TRENDS
The Indian Cement Industry has a lot of potential to use alternate fuel in the manufacture of cement with benefit in terms of conservation of natural resources and prevention of environmental hazards including mitigation of greenhouse gas emission, all of which serves the goal of sustainable growth and development in India. Today, many cement plants are exploring to collect all the municipal waste of the area, process it and use it as an alternate fuel. Keeping in view all these, long time back KHD has rolled down equipment to use alternate fuels of varying degree. One such example is the combustion chamber.
KHD Combustion chamber is especially designed to burn the material, which is lumpy and coarse in nature as well as difficult to ignite. An optimised flow pattern of the gas-meal-fuel suspension within the vessel is necessary to accomplish that without creating excessive calciner dimensions. The Calciner design is based on the requirements of Creation of subsequent zones with dedicated functions for a controlled process of NOx reduction, staged combustion and mixing zone for a reliable final oxidisation on CO-remains.
KHD Pyrorotor® is a unique rotary combustion reactor that sustainably co-processes waste materials. Within the range of modular solutions from KHD for co-processing of alternative fuels in the clinker production process, the Pyrorotor® covers the demands for highest TSR rates of least pre-processed AF. Due to the high temperature process and longer residence time, it is suitable for nearly all types of coarse solid fuels. Tertiary air is used as combustion air for burning of fuels. (Fig 6).
Emissions are released from cement kilns, coming from the physical and chemical reactions of the raw materials and from the combustion of fuels. There is a system consisting of equipment to draw, condition and analyse the flue gas sample and provide a permanent record of emissions and process parameters continuously on a real time basis and is called “Continuous Emission Monitoring System (CEMS)”. It is of vital importance to install the CEMS system as the source can be controlled after measuring the emissions. However, some of the cement manufacturers in India have not installed the CEMS in their cement plants. It must be a collaborative effort of cement manufacturers, suppliers, consultants and Government to achieve the objective of emission control. KHD is trying to ensure that all the plants equipped with KHD technology get CEMS implemented to protect the environment.

Fig 6: Latest and most energy efficient circuit
with RP: COMFLEX
Fig 8: Stud surface


An example equipment from KHD for reducing the emissions at source is the Low NOx burner (Pyro-Jet® Burner). The most imperative features of the burner are the Low NOx emissions, low primary air, and flame (stable and uniform) characteristics. The flame of the PYRO-JET® burner has both an internal recirculation zone and a long external one which results in considerable NOx reduction.
Pyroclon®-R Low NOx AF is the special design calciner, which attains retention time that is desired for complete burnout of the fuel. Another prominent solution from KHD for reducing the NOX emissions is the PYROREDOX® system where the NOx coming from the kiln gets further reduced and formation of Fuel NOx is suppressed.

TRENDS IN GRINDING TECHNOLOGY
The buzz word for grinding systems remains from decades is Electrical Energy Consumption. This is because nearly 65 per cent of the energy consumed in cement plants is attributable to grinding systems. Roller Presses are the solution for grinding circuits. Comflex Grinding system from KHD (Fig 6) consumes less energy compared to other process circuits and is a proven fact for raw material and slag grinding. In case of clinker grinding application also, less specific power is established with roller press in finish mode operations as compared to other technologies available at present. Some of the operating results, which are shared in the next section depict the energy efficiency of a roller press.
Dust Free Circuits: Today most of the plants face the problem of fugitive emissions as well as point source dust spillage. It is well known that the KHD COMFLEX grinding circuits are dust free circuits with no belt conveyors in the grinding and separation group. Also, due the compact arrangement the system has less vibration and hence less noise level. Air chutes avoid mechanical conveying in the grinding circuit and can take feed of more than 1000 tons per hour and accept even coarse and moist fresh feed. The air chute consists of an inlet- and outlet section, each with air lock, the standard sections, the air supply, and venting. From its dimensions the housing is similar to an air slide. Wear protection plates are used instead of cloth for low maintenance operation. Simple air-slide fans are used to introduce ambient air or hot air, if moist materials are conveyed.
Water consumption in cement plants is a necessity, which plays a role as process water, recirculation water and potable water. In the context of the grinding systems vertical raw mills require additional water for bed stabilisation and water sprays into cement mills for temperature control by evaporative cooling. This is not the case in a roller press as water requirement is very insignificant, max 1 m3/hr in comparison to VRM Requirement of 8-10m3/hr. When a cement plant is located in a desert environment the process has to be specifically designed to have low water consumption. Hence, KHD Roller Presses come in picture as the best water conserving machines.
On any grinding surface lowest wear rates are achieved, if the ground material itself provides the wear protection. This is reached by profiling the surface in a way that it is partly covered with ground material. KHD’s patented STUD-Lining (Fig 8), consists of extremely wear resistant carbide cylinders inserted in the roller surface. More than 70 per cent of the roller surface is covered with ground material, acting as autogenous wear protection. Wear rate of rollers/table in VRM is higher than Roller Press and this can be well attributed to the stud surfaces as offered by KHD.
Moreover, KHD is under near offering of high chrome surfaces, which will be more in terms of availability and reliability due to extended wear life.
With the trend of more low clinker to cement ratio this one and foremost step for reduced carbon print, is already in place in the cement industry. Today, India is one of the cement industries, which is moving very fast toward this aspect of green cover. PSC, PPC, Composite cements are the up going curves. Cement Industry is well versed with the utilisation and manufacturing of Blended Cement. KHD is one of the key suppliers for providing energy efficient technologies, viz a roller press grinding for the production of blended cement. It is estimated that decreasing the clinker ratio in production of cement contributes nearly 37 per cent CO2 reduction targeted. By promoting PPC and PSC cement in India, more than 85 per cent cement is produced as blended cement / composite cement (which has come into existence during the last 3-5 years). PPC allows 35 per cent fly-ash usage at present, whereas PSC allows 55 per cent to 65 per cent granulated slag in clinker. Increase of Pozzolona (fly-ash) usage in PPC up to 45 per cent can reduce the carbon footprint further, which has a permissible limit up to 55 per cent in some European countries.

MODERNISATION AND UPGRADATION TRENDS
Apart from building new production lines to increase the capacity, there is a rising trend for upgradation and modernisation of existing set-ups. Utilisation of existing kilns to its maximum potential is an art. This concept not only enhances clinker production but also significantly contributes in improving the overall operational efficiency. The reduced thermal and electrical energy demands will aid in reducing the carbon footprint of existing plants.
To cater market demands in this area, KHD, offers extensive modernisation solutions, which includes PH cyclones modification, optimised dip tubes, suitable riser ducts, high efficiency top cyclones, new generation clinker cooler, cooler plates, state-of-art Low NOx-AF calciner solutions etc. in Pyro section and latest generation separators, milling parts etc. in grinding section. KHD’s experience in this area is unparalleled and hence established as one of the leading technological solution providers to modernise existing cement plants.
In the last few years, KHD has implemented new technologies to modernise the number of existing plants with the prime objective of achieving enhanced productivity, improved energy efficiency and reduced emissions. The results from these plants are quite satisfactory and paved the way for more such projects from various customers globally.

OPERATION AND MAINTENANCE TRENDS
Best operating practices, efficient and reliable equipment and plant availability are the parameters, which define the efficiency of a cement plant. The detailed designing of the equipment play a critical role in the reliability of the equipment e.g. the cylindrical roller bearing for the rollers due its shape and radial load carrying capacity doesn’t suffer skewing in the roller bearing housing and are easy for sealing and safer, too. Similarly, upside equipment like rod sizer, metal detector, magnetic separators are some of the equipment, which are protecting and ensuring the long operating hours and smooth operation flow of the major equipment. The robust kiln shell and tires, low wear and tear of coolers calls up for very less maintenance over years. This leads to nearly full time availability of the system throughout the year. Also, machinery suppliers such as KHD take over annual maintenance contracts of the plant to improve the reliability of machines thus enhancing overall productivity.

DIGITISATION AND AUTOMATION TRENDS
The path forward for the industry is clear: embrace digitisation and sustainability. Putting these two trends at the core of planning for the future will help cement players catch up to those in other heavy industries and achieve considerable productivity gains. In an industry where regaining lost revenues can take years, it is crucial to kick off now to both recover from the impact of pandemic and make cement players more resilient to future disruptions.
Indeed, the cement plant of the future will operate in a drastically different way than today’s plants. It will achieve considerably lower operating costs and higher asset value through higher energy efficiency, yield, and throughput. More targeted and effective maintenance lengthens the lifetime of equipment. Each plant’s environmental footprint is minimised, securing its licence to operate across locations and jurisdictions. The plant meets customer demand by dynamically adjusting production and logistics according to real-time customer data. Excited, engaged employees focus on value-added activities, and all non-value-added tasks are automated. Real-time information is available for managers remotely at all levels to make better decisions. Digital twins simulate and optimise the overall impact of external variability in operations ranging from complex processes such as burning to more structured activities such as maintenance.
Fewer workers are required to be on-site continuously, and interactive online dashboards allow managers to remotely collaborate, solve problems, and quickly make informed decisions with the rest of the team. Maintenance engineers are alerted of faults in equipment or of opportunities for maintenance immediately, and they receive step-by-step instructions on how to repair with the aid of augmented reality. This will cater to one of the main concerns of safety of individuals avoiding frequent proximity of accidental areas and occupational hazards.

CONCLUSION
Today there are identified levers, which are shaping the industry to reach the highest point of the curve of sustainability vs time period. Cement manufacturers are taking a big leap for achieving the goals as established by various associations and global bodies. Although the trend is more towards the decarbonisation of the industry, capacity utilisations, productivity enhancements and controlled emissions are big watchers. The Indian cement industry has been working on the issue of its GHG emissions and has brought down the CO2 emission factor considerably. However, it has to work more to achieve the goals of Cement and Concrete Roadmap 2050 for the Net Zero Concrete. The leading cement and concrete companies in India have accepted the goal to achieve Net Zero Concrete by 2050 and committed to fully contribute to building the sustainable world of tomorrow. However, the industry needs to work more on newer technologies like Renewable Energy, Novel Cements, Carbon Capture and Storage/Utilisation. Cement technology suppliers are doing their work and are in the process of rolling out these technologies with the main plants. KHD has done advanced work in this field and has solutions like LC cement. As part of the Made in India concept KHD is also promoting more manufacturing in Indian workshops with improved quality, which can aim at improved reliability of the equipment. All these steps are keen steps to make the Indian cement industry cherish and flourish achieving the roadmaps of carbon reduction, increased capacity to meet the demands and go in liasoning of government plans.

Authors: A K Dembla, Sandeep Zutshi and Deepti Varshney

Concrete

CarbonStrong Raises Rs 125 Million To Scale Low Carbon Cement Tech

To build capacity of 100,000 tonnes a year

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CarbonStrong has raised Rs 125 million (125 mn) to scale a low carbon cement technology and build commercial production capacity. The startup was founded in 2022 by Harsh Jain and Vikramaditya Singh and has moved from customer trials to plans for industrial supply. The company said its material replaces up to 50 per cent of cement in concrete while reducing costs and improving durability.

CarbonStrong states the product is around 30 per cent cheaper than cement and compatible with existing concrete plants, reducing the need for new equipment and operational disruption. Trials and paid pilots have been conducted in Bengaluru, Hyderabad and Chennai with demonstration projects involving ready-mix firms and precast manufacturers. Compatibility with current workflows forms a central part of the commercial strategy, aiming to ease adoption by builders and contractors.

The funding will support construction of a facility with capacity of up to 100,000 tonnes (100,000 t) a year over the next two years to supply early customers commercially. The firm is also developing materials from steel slag, copper slag and mine tailings to expand its feedstock base, while noting the technical challenge of homogenising different waste streams. Recognition by HCL ClimaForce in 2026 and by the Avaana-Startup India-NITI Aayog AIM Grand Challenge in 2025 has underscored progress.

Industry adoption remains the principal test and will require consistent material performance, supply reliability and competitive economics. CarbonStrong projects the Indian market for cement substitutes could reach Rs 250 billion (250 bn) by 2030 and has set an ambition to produce 10 million tonnes a year by 2035 (10 mn t), a target far above its near term capacity. Moving from pilots to production demands capital, manufacturing discipline and customers willing to specify the material beyond demonstrations. The recent Rs 125 million raise is intended to fund the next phase of scale and to demonstrate that industrial waste can become a dependable input for lower carbon construction.

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Concrete

Protect Your Margins

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In a research-backed article, Dr SB Hegde examines why carbon-adjusted profitability and LC3 will decide the next set of winners in cement manufacturing.

The Indian cement industry has achieved world-class operational efficiency through lower specific energy consumption, high plant utilisation and a reduced average clinker factor of approximately 67.5 per cent. These traditional measures of operational excellence remain essential. However, they are no longer sufficient. Carbon now carries a measurable financial cost under India’s Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS) and under European carbon markets. Future leadership will be defined by carbon-adjusted profitability, the ability to generate strong returns while systematically lowering the carbon intensity of every ton sold.
Limestone calcined clay cement (LC3) offers a practical, scalable pathway to achieve this dual objective. By replacing up to 50 per cent of clinker with calcined clay and limestone, LC3 can reduce CO2 emissions by 30–40 per cent while delivering comparable or superior durability performance.
This article examines the technical foundations of LC3, European industrial practices, the emerging Indian carbon market and a concrete roadmap for Indian companies to embed carbon-adjusted metrics and LC3 into daily operations, incentives and commercial strategy.

Limits of traditional operational excellence
For many years, plant performance has been judged primarily by five indicators: specific heat consumption, specific power consumption, kiln and mill utilisation, clinker factor and overall equipment effectiveness. These metrics drove continuous improvement and helped the industry reduce energy use and increase the share of blended cement. Three structural changes have rendered them incomplete as sole measures of success.
First, carbon now carries a real or opportunity cost. Plants that improve volume or lower cash cost while raising or stagnating emissions intensity create a hidden liability that will surface as CCTS trading matures and as green procurement expands.
Second, lower-carbon products such as LC3 and high-performance blended cements are creating differentiated market segments. Customers in infrastructure, real estate and export-oriented construction are beginning to specify embodied-carbon limits.
Third, investors and lenders increasingly treat carbon intensity as a financial risk factor. Traditional KPIs can mask the divergence between short-term cash profit and long-term carbon-adjusted value.

What is carbon-adjusted profitability?
Carbon-adjusted profitability evaluates normal profit after explicit adjustment for carbon performance. A practical expression is:
Carbon-Adjusted EBITDA = Conventional EBITDA – Carbon Cost + Green Premium Income
Carbon cost may be an internal carbon price, the actual cost of purchasing Carbon Credit Certificates under CCTS, or the opportunity cost of high emissions relative to peers. Green premium income arises when customers pay more for verified lower-carbon cement or when the company sells surplus credits. Tracking both conventional and carbon-adjusted profit side-by-side gives management a clearer picture of value creation under evolving market rules.

Table 1. Traditional KPIs versus Carbon-Adjusted Leadership Metrics
Traditional Focus New Leadership Metric Why It Matters
Specific energy consumption Emissions intensity (kg CO2/t cement) Directly linked to future CCTS and CBAM costs
Kiln utilisation Carbon-adjusted contribution margin Reveals true value of incremental volume
Clinker factor Share of lower-carbon products sold (incl. LC3) Measures commercial success of the transition
Power cost per tonne Effective carbon cost per tonne sold Expose hidden liabilities
Absolute EBITDA Carbon-adjusted EBITDA + green premium Aligning profit with future market reality

LC3: Technical foundations and performance advantages
LC3 is a ternary blended cement that typically combines approximately 50 per cent clinker, 30 per cent calcined clay, 15 per cent limestone and 5 per cent gypsum (the classic LC3-50 formulation). The decisive technical advantage is that clay is calcined at 700–850 °C, far below the 1,450 °C required for clinker production. This lower temperature, together with the substantial reduction in clinker content, delivers CO2 reductions of 30–40 per cent relative to ordinary Portland cement (OPC).
Chemistry is synergistic. Calcined kaolinitic clay (metakaolin) reacts with calcium hydroxide from clinker hydration and with limestone to form additional C-A-S-H gel and carboaluminate phases. These phases densify the microstructure, reduce porosity and improve durability.
Field experience shows superior resistance to chloride ingress, sulphate attack and alkali–silica reaction. Early-age strength can match OPC with high-reactivity clays; later-age strengths routinely meet 42.5 and 52.5 grade requirements.
Importantly, LC3 does not require high-purity kaolin. Clays with 40 per cent or even lower kaolinite content can be activated successfully, expanding raw-material availability across India. Calcination can use adapted rotary kilns or dedicated flash calciners, making the technology compatible with existing plant infrastructure and far less capital-intensive than carbon capture.
Economic analyses show that LC3 can be produced at equal or lower cost than OPC in many locations because of reduced energy demand and cheaper clay. Life-cycle assessments consistently report 30–40 per cent lower embodied CO2 per tonne of cement.
Table 2. Comparative profile: OPC versus LC3-50
Parameter OPC LC3-50
Typical clinker content ~95 per cent ~50 per cent
CO2 emissions (relative) Baseline (≈0.85 t CO2/t cement process + fuel) 30–40 per cent lower
Clay calcination temperature Not applicable 700–850 °C
Key hydration products C-S-H, portlandite, ettringite C-A-S-H + carboaluminates
Chloride & sulphate resistance Good Superior
Production cost potential Baseline Equal or lower in most locations
Infrastructure compatibility Existing High (minor adaptations)

In India, commercial adoption has begun in earnest. JK Cement commenced the first commercial production of LC3 in the Indian subcontinent at its Mangrol plant in Rajasthan in 2025 under BIS standard IS 18189.
By early 2026, approximately 2,000 tonnes had been produced and sold, avoiding an estimated 500 tonnes of CO2. JK Lakshmi Cement followed with commercial launch of its Green PRO LC3 grade from the Jaykaypuram plant. As of mid-2026, two producers are supplying LC3 to the market. The first large-scale infrastructure application is the Noida International Airport (Jewar), where LC3 was used in the runway and a building complex, demonstrating full constructability and performance under demanding conditions. These early volumes are still small relative to national cement demand, but they mark the critical transition from pilot to commercial reality. Companies that scale capacity now will be positioned to capture both CCTS credits and emerging green-procurement demand.

Why the shift is accelerating
According to the World Bank’s State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2026, direct carbon pricing now covers nearly 30 per cent of global greenhouse-gas emissions and generated more than US$107 billion in public revenue in 2025. The average global carbon price stands at approximately US$21 per tonne, although regional prices vary widely.
In Europe, the EU ETS price has traded near €80–85 per tonen in mid-2026. Free allocation for cement is being withdrawn in parallel with CBAM. European producers therefore face a clear signal: every tonne of avoided CO2 improves both compliance and competitiveness. Holcim has scaled calcined-clay production, including Europe’s first dedicated line at Saint-Pierre-la-Cour (France) and a second line in the Czech Republic (2026). Heidelberg Materials, Cementir (FUTURECEM) and others have commercialised low-clinker calcined-clay blends across multiple markets, showing that carbon-adjusted profitability is already reshaping capital allocation in the world’s most mature carbon market.India’s CCTS is now operational. Binding emission intensity targets apply to 186 cement facilities for FY 2025–26 and FY 2026–27. Average required reductions for integrated plants are modest (around 2.7 per cent by FY 2027), yet the direction is clear.
Trading of Carbon Credit Certificates is expected in the second half of 2026, with early prices likely in the `800–1,500 per tonne range. Plants that outperform targets can sell credits; those that underperform must buy them or face compensation. Cement is well positioned to be a net supplier of credits if clinker factor continues to fall through LC3 and other low-clinker systems.

Way forward for India
India starts from a strong baseline, world-class energy efficiency and a clinker factor already lower than the global average. The next competitive frontier is the deliberate reduction of process emissions through clinker substitution at scale. LC3 is uniquely suited to Indian conditions because suitable clays are widely distributed, the technology fits existing kiln and grinding infrastructure, and the resulting product can meet the performance demands of both infrastructure and building construction.
A practical national pathway contains five interlocking elements:

  1. Standards and acceptance: Accelerated finalisation and promotion of BIS specifications for calcined-clay and limestone–calcined-clay cements will remove a key barrier to commercial uptake. Alignment with European practice (EN 197-5) can facilitate knowledge transfer and export readiness.
  2. Supply-chain development: Investment in flash calcination capacity and systematic characterisation of regional clay deposits will secure reliable, low-cost feedstock. Existing rotary kilns can be adapted for initial volumes while dedicated calciners are built.
  3. Incentive alignment: Part of variable compensation for plant managers, sales teams and senior leadership should be linked to emissions intensity reduction and to the volume of lower-carbon products (including LC3) sold. Without this link, traditional volume and cost targets will continue to dominate behaviour.
  4. Product-level carbon accounting: Reliable measurement of emissions intensity at the individual cement grade level, supported by third-party verification where required, is essential for both CCTS compliance and credible green claims.
  5. Demand-side pull: Green public procurement policies that specify maximum embodied-carbon thresholds for major infrastructure projects will create a predictable market for LC3 and other low-carbon cements, accelerating scale and cost reduction.
    Companies that treat LC3 as a strategic product line rather than a niche offering will be better positioned to generate surplus Carbon Credit Certificates, capture any emerging green premium, and protect margins as carbon costs rise.

Organisational changes required
Technical capability alone is insufficient. Three organisational shifts are required.
Daily management: Emissions intensity must appear on the same daily and monthly dashboards as heat consumption, power consumption and utilization. Plant reviews should examine both conventional and carbon-adjusted results.
Incentives: A meaningful portion of bonuses for plant heads, technical teams and sales leadership should be tied to lower emissions intensity and successful commercialisation of LC3 and other low-carbon grades.
Commercial approach: Sales teams need clear volume and pricing targets for lower-carbon products, supported by technical service that helps customers specify and place the material correctly. Without commercial pull, excellent technical performance remains under-utilised.

Table 3. Three-stage roadmap to carbon-adjusted profitability
Time Horizon Priority Actions Expected Outcome
Next 12 months Add emissions intensity to plant dashboards; establish internal carbon price; initiate LC3 pilot production and customer trials Visibility and early organisational learning
12–24 months Revise incentive systems; scale LC3 and other low-carbon grades to key accounts; secure third-party verification capability People and sales aligned with carbon goals
24–36 months Embed carbon-adjusted metrics in board reporting and capital allocation; expand calcined-clay capacity Full system integration and competitive advantage

Questions senior leaders should ask
Boards can accelerate the transition by insisting on answers to a short list of questions:
• Is our carbon-adjusted profit improving, stable or declining relative to conventional EBITDA?
• Did recent volume growth improve or worsen our emissions intensity?
• What share of sales already comes from lower-carbon products, including LC3, and what is the trajectory?
• How exposed is our capital expenditure plan to rising carbon costs under CCTS and potential CBAM-related requirements?
• Do our incentive systems still reward only volume and cost, or have they been updated to include carbon performance?
Treating carbon with the same seriousness as energy cost or kiln utilization does not diminish operational excellence; it expands the definition of excellence to match the new competitive reality.

Looking ahead
By 2030 the gap between leading and lagging cement companies will not be decided by who records the lowest specific heat consumption. It will be decided by who delivers the strongest carbon-adjusted profits.
Absolute emissions may still rise as national production grows. That is not the issue. Companies that reduce intensity year after year and successfully sell cleaner products will pull ahead in both domestic and export markets. Those that do not will fall behind, even if their traditional efficiency numbers look strong.
Operational excellence built the Indian cement industry. It remains the foundation. It is no longer the complete picture. Carbon-adjusted profitability is the clearer measure of success.
LC3 is not a distant technology. It is available now. It cuts CO3 by 30–40 per cent, works with existing plants, and is already in commercial production in India. Companies that treat it as a strategic product, not a pilot, will protect their margins and generate tradable credits.
Leaders who act now will place carbon metrics on daily dashboards, link incentives to intensity reduction and LC3 sales, invest in calcined-clay capacity, and build commercial capability to sell lower-carbon products. They will shape the next chapter of the industry.

References

  1. World Bank. (2026). State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2026. Washington, DC: World Bank Group.
  2. International Carbon Action Partnership (ICAP). (2026). India Carbon Credit Trading Scheme – Status and Coverage. Berlin: ICAP.
  3. Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change / Bureau of Energy Efficiency. (2025). Greenhouse Gases Emission Intensity Target Rules, 2025. New Delhi: Government of India.
  4. Scrivener, K., Martirena, F., Bishnoi, S., & Maity, S. (2018). Calcined clay limestone cements (LC3). Cement and Concrete Research, 114, 49–56.
  5. RMI. (2024). The Business Case for LC3. Rocky Mountain Institute.
  6. European Commission. (2026). EU Emissions Trading System – Allowance Price Data and Free Allocation Phase-out Schedule. Brussels.
  7. Holcim. (2025–2026). Scaling Calcined Clay for Sustainable Building – Corporate Updates on European and Latin American Capacity. Zurich: Holcim Ltd.
  8. LC3 Project / EPFL. (2026). LC3 – A Guide to Best Practices for Scalable, Affordable and Sustainable Low-Carbon Building. Lausanne: École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne.
  9. Business Today / Industry Reports. (2026). First Large-Scale LC3 Application at Noida International Airport, Jewar. New Delhi.
  10. NITI Aayog / Industry Analyses. (2026). Roadmap and Baseline Performance Indicators for the Indian Cement Sector. New Delhi.
  11. Springer / Innovative Infrastructure Solutions. (2026). LC3 Systems: A Review of Chemistry, Performance, Durability and Sustainability toward Market Adoption.
  12. Cementir Holding / Industry Sources. (2025–2026). FUTURECEM and Related Low-Clinker Technologies in Europe.
  13. Climate Risk Horizons & Independent Analyses. (2026). Assessment of Emission Intensity Targets under India’s CCTS for Cement and Other Hard-to-Abate Sectors.
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  15. EN 197-5:2021. Cement – Part 5: Portland-composite cement CEM II/C-M and Composite cement CEM VI. European Committee for Standardization.

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Concrete

More Oversight Makes Cement Plants Less Safe

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Dijam Panigrahi makes a counterintuitive but data-backed argument that routing every sensor alert through human approval does not make cement plants safer.

India’s cement industry has spent the last two years wiring kilns, mills and coolers with sensors and automated control systems, and the safety case for doing so is strong on paper. Contract workers still make up the majority of the industry’s workforce, and fatal accidents remain a recurring problem. The Indian National Cement Workers Federation has noted that around 83 per cent of workers in the sector hold precarious positions, a fact that resurfaced after an oxygen cylinder explosion killed three contract workers at a plant in Chhattisgarh.
Industry tallies compiled by IndustriALL found cement plants recorded at least seventeen accidents in one year with 21 workers killed, and ten accidents the following year with nine killed, most of them contract staff. Automated monitoring, in theory, closes that gap. A sensor never gets complacent and never skips a check because a shift is short staffed.
However, plants that respond by routing every anomaly reading to a person for approval are quietly building a system that fails the same way understaffing does. When operators receive dozens of flagged deviations a shift, most of them minor, they learn a simple lesson: the fastest way through the queue is to approve without reading closely. The safety benefit disappears, not because the technology failed, but because the humans supervising it adapted to the volume.

Why alerts get ignored
A study cited by manufacturing technology publisher Applied SmartFactory found more than 95 per cent of alarms in a semiconductor fab were low priority, and only about 4 per cent ever triggered an action, with just 100 out of 5,000 alarms accounting for 70 per cent of all alarm activity. The mechanism is the same whether the trigger is a vibration sensor or an AI model flagging a kiln temperature swing. Once the ratio of noise to signal crosses a threshold, workers stop treating the system as a decision aid and start treating it as a formality to clear.
The scale of AI deployment underway makes this more than a theoretical risk. Stanford’s 2026 AI Index Report found organisational adoption of AI has reached 88 per cent, even as documented AI incidents rose to 362 in 2025, up sharply from 233 the year before, according to analysis of the report. The Index also found only about a third of organisations have adopted a formal governance framework, with NIST’s AI Risk Management Framework cited by 33 per cent and ISO/IEC 42001 cited by 36 per cent.
Most manufacturers are deploying monitoring systems faster than they are building the judgment for when a flagged event actually needs a person’s attention. In India, plants run by JK Cement have begun pairing CCTV feeds with AI to define safe zones around heavy machinery, a promising direction that still depends on operators trusting and reading the alerts the system generates.

A three-tier model for cement plant
The fix is not less monitoring or more monitoring. It is classifying decisions by risk and by novelty, rather than treating human oversight as a single switch that is either on or off. A workable model sorts factory floor events into three tiers.
The first tier, proceed, covers deviations the plant has seen before that fall within known safe bounds, such as a kiln feed rate adjustment within an established range. These should run without a stop for approval, because routing them to a person only trains that person to click through.
The second tier, pause, covers events that are unusual but not yet dangerous, such as a vibration reading trending toward a limit or a fuel blend shifting outside its typical mix. These warrant a brief human check before the system proceeds, giving an operator the chance to apply judgment the model does not yet have.
The third tier, escalate, covers events that are both high risk and unfamiliar, such as a pressure reading combined with a temperature spike that has no close precedent in the plant’s history. These should stop the process entirely and require a decision from someone with the authority to shut down a line.

Who should set the threshold
Where these tiers get drawn matters as much as the framework itself. Threshold setting is frequently handed to the vendor supplying the monitoring software or to a plant’s IT department, both of which understand the technology but not the specific tolerances of a given kiln, mill or line. Operations staff, who know that a particular grinding unit runs hotter under monsoon humidity or that a calciner behaves differently after a refractory reline, are better positioned to calibrate what counts as routine on their own equipment.
Handing threshold ownership to operations does not remove IT or vendors from the process, but it puts the calibration decision closest to the people who live with its consequences on the floor.

Signals that oversight is actually working
A few concrete indicators reveal whether a monitoring setup is functioning as intended or simply providing the appearance of safety. The escalation rate over time is the first: a rate that stays flat or climbs slowly as operations mature is healthy, while one that spikes and then falls sharply often means operators have started overriding the system rather than engaging with it. Time to resolution is the second: escalations that take progressively longer to close suggest fatigue or confusion about ownership, not diligence. The third, and most telling, is how accurate the system’s own uncertainty estimates turn out to be, meaning whether events flagged as high risk actually correlated with real incidents, and whether events waved through stayed incident free. A system whose escalations do not track with actual outcomes trains operators toward the same complacency that unmonitored equipment produces.
None of this argues against automation in Indian cement manufacturing, where a labor structure built on contract work and a track record of serious accidents make better monitoring an urgent need. It argues for treating human oversight as a design problem with three distinct settings, rather than a single
dial turned up whenever a plant wants to look safer on paper.

About the author:
Dijam Panigrahi, Co-founder and COO, GridRaster, is a spatial computing platform for industrial enterprises and manufacturers.

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