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Cement price rise has impacted our profitability

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Ketan Patel, Director, Akshar Group, speaks about striking a balance between losses incurred and foreseeable profits, even as the real estate sector battles with rising prices of cement and other raw materials.

How is the current real estate market and how are your projects performing?
The market has opened up. We are expecting a good demand in real estate and are looking for it to lower down in the next two-three years. When we look at the statistics of the buyer, registrations, launches etc., of a quarter, if we try to neutralise the cement, then it comes across as more area- and demand-centric. In metro cities like Mumbai or Bangalore, real estate has to do well because of the demand
for it. More than demand, it is also about migration and work opportunities. As a result an entire ecosystem develops around it, which leads to demand and purchase.
I believe that we are building an asset, but then it comes down to what price point you have entered at, what specifications you are offering, if the zone has the typology requirement – all factors need to be kept in mind to understand the price and demand of that location. Sometimes, a single development from a particular brand and what they are offering changes the demand in a zone. Price, at the end of the day, is a prime factor and this market is centred around it.

Has the cost rise in cement and concrete building materials impacted your profitability?
Yes. Cement price rise has impacted our profitability, making it lower and, in some cases, it has led us to incur some losses, too. For the ongoing projects, where about 60 per cent to 80 per cent of the units are sold, we cannot now go to the buyer and tell them that the cost of raw materials has gone up and the remaining units, of which the construction was pending will be at a higher price. So, that is where we are incurring a low profit or loss per say.
I believe the cost of raw material has impacted on-going projects but for the new projects we are prepared that now the prices have gone up so we must have a 20 to 25 per cent buffer for that.

Are you expecting a change in consumer behaviour as the price of real estate will go up owing to the rise in the cost of raw materials?
Whenever we increase the price of our projects, we see a setback of 10 to 15 per cent in the overall sales funnel. But when we do look at it, the actual sales in the total sales funnel is approximately 10 per cent of the total enquiries. What we have observed over the years is that the number of enquiries go down when there is an increase in price. However, the customer who is looking to buy a house or property or upgrade does come through and convert as a customer.
We saw a trend through the pandemic that people have realised that housing is a very important aspect in their lives, as it was their homes that kept them safe in the difficult times. Demand in established locations has gone up as people want to upgrade.

As the raw material cost for construction is expected to stay volatile in the near future, what is the change in strategy adapted by you to navigate through it or will there be delays in delivery of projects?
We are looking at changing our strategies but we cannot delay any of our projects as that is more expensive than incurring higher prices of raw material for building materials. Waiting for the cost of raw materials to go down will throw us off our schedule and that will be a bigger chaos as the entire line of work will be disturbed. I might end up spending more than I would be saving with the wait duration.
However, with new launches, we can keep control and plan better. But once the project is on the floor, we have to go with the flow and match our deadlines, irrespective of the change in prices of the construction materials.

Tell us about the challenges you have faced with the rise in cost of cement.
We were not expecting the price of raw material to rise so much. We do account for 4 to 5 per cent of inflated prices but when it goes up to 15 to 20 per cent we have had to relook at our strategies. We cannot compromise on the deliveries to our customers, but at the same time we also have to understand how to absorb the cost.
Considerations had to be made if the project price should increase. But that too comes with its own set of challenges with the market price, competitor pricing of projects etc. Those were also the deciding factors on incurring some losses and not being able to transfer the cost to the consumer. However, that will also be averaged out in our future projects.

How is the future of real estate looking with the rise in cost of cement and building materials?
With the rise in cement cost and other building material costs, the same will eventually be carried forward to the buyer. This is a basic entrepreneurial rule. New launches will be expensive. In their initial stages, they may be at a 10 to 20 per cent lower cost, but I am foreseeing a rise in real estate price of about 18 to 20 per cent in the near future.
Materials like steel, cement and concrete are very important in any building. With the price of these materials rising, I have incurred losses in the previous projects, and we will be looking to recover the same in newer projects. This will become a market sentiment as similar challenges will be faced by the developer community.

-Kanika Mathur

Concrete

Lokesh Lays Stone For Rs 31 Billion Cement Unit In Kadapa

Line-2 expansion to make Kadapa a major cement hub

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Andhra Pradesh Education and IT Minister Nara Lokesh on Wednesday laid the foundation stone for the Line-2 expansion of Dalmia Bharat Cement at Chinnakomerla village in Mylavaram Mandal in Kadapa district. The project carries an investment of Rs 31 billion (bn) and is slated for completion by the third quarter of the financial year 2028. The expansion is intended to boost industrial growth and employment generation across the Rayalaseema region.

Once commissioned, the Kadapa facility will become Dalmia Bharat’s largest integrated cement manufacturing ecosystem in southern India, creating over 1,000 direct and indirect jobs and opening new business avenues for regional micro, small and medium enterprises and transport operators. Lokesh said the expansion signalled growing corporate confidence in the state and reflected the practical ease of doing business that secured repeat investment.

He placed the project within the government’s wider economic targets and recalled the Yuvagalam padayatra commitment to generate two million (mn) jobs within five years, noting that the state would cultivate talent while industry created opportunities. Lokesh highlighted Andhra Pradesh’s competitive pursuit of major manufacturing accounts, mentioning past successes and a personal initiative to engage global investors when persuading them to anchor expansion in the state.

The plant will leverage Kadapa’s abundant limestone reserves to scale production and sustainability. Clinker capacity is planned to rise from two point five million tonnes per annum (mn tpa) to six point one mn tpa, while overall cement output will increase from three point six mn tpa to nine point six mn tpa. The unit is designed to operate on over eighty per cent renewable energy and deploy waste heat recovery, zero liquid discharge, water recycling and advanced AI systems to optimise efficiency. Industries Minister TG Bharat, BC Welfare Minister S. Savitha and Jammalamadugu MLA C. Adinarayana Reddy attended the ceremony.

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Concrete

Cement Prices to Stay Flat in Q2 FY27 as Costs Squeeze Margins

HDFC Securities warns monsoon slowdown and higher fuel costs

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HDFC Securities has said the cement industry is unlikely to register a sequential increase in prices in Q2 FY27 as monsoon-related demand moderation coincides with rising fuel and packaging costs that will squeeze margins. The brokerage observed that price gains remained modest, with increases of two to three per cent quarter-on-quarter across regions, and noted subdued offtake in May with improvement in June as a delayed monsoon supported construction activity. The brokerage added that modest pricing gains so far have been insufficient to offset the input cost escalation.

The report stated that input cost pressures intensified in Q1 FY27 owing to the West Asia conflict, which pushed up coal and pet coke prices and is expected to keep fuel costs elevated, with a likely peak in Q2 FY27. It assessed that total variable costs, including packing, could rise by around Rs 150 per t quarter-on-quarter and that lower offtake and seasonal operating deleverage could further raise operating expenditure by about Rs 50 per t quarter-on-quarter.

Overall, cement prices were estimated to remain flat in Q2 FY27 as monsoon-led demand weakness offsets limited upside in realisation, and rising fuel costs alongside seasonal deleverage were expected to compress industry margins by over Rs 100 per t quarter-on-quarter to below Rs 880 per t. The brokerage indicated that the combined impact of energy inflation and higher packing expenditure would be the principal drivers of margin contraction in the near term. HDFC Securities projected a recovery in margins in H2 FY27 should the West Asia turmoil subside and energy and packing costs cool off.

The brokerage expressed optimism on long-term demand fundamentals and said improving realisation together with an anticipated cost cool-off should support a margin rebound from H2 FY27 onward, underpinning favourable industry prospects over the medium term. Its outlook rests on monsoon normalisation and a decline in imported fuel prices in the second half of the fiscal year.

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Concrete

Dalmia Bharat Begins Rs 31 Bn Green Cement Unit in Kadapa

New Andhra Pradesh plant to add 9.6 MTPA cement capacity by FY28

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Dalmia Bharat Limited recently laid the foundation stone for its second manufacturing unit at Kadapa in Andhra Pradesh. The company will invest Rs 31 billion in developing the next-generation integrated cement manufacturing facility.
The foundation-laying ceremony was attended by Nara Lokesh, Andhra Pradesh Minister for Information Technology, Electronics and Communications, Real-Time Governance and Human Resources Development, along with Puneet Dalmia, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, Dalmia Bharat, senior government officials and company representatives.
Scheduled to be commissioned by the third quarter of FY28, the Kadapa unit will become Dalmia Bharat’s largest integrated manufacturing facility in southern India. It will have a clinker production capacity of 6.1 million tonnes per annum and a cement manufacturing capacity of 9.6 million tonnes per annum.
The facility is designed to produce what the company describes as one of the world’s greenest cements. It is also expected to generate approximately 1,000 direct and indirect employment opportunities while supporting local MSMEs, transporters, contractors and service providers.
Lokesh said the investment reflected Dalmia Bharat’s confidence in Andhra Pradesh and aligned with the state’s objective of promoting sustainable industrialisation, job creation and technology-led economic growth.
Puneet Dalmia said the project represented the company’s long-term vision of developing low-carbon cement manufacturing assets. He added that the facility would establish new benchmarks in operational efficiency and sustainability while supporting India’s infrastructure and environmental goals.
Dalmia Bharat will also expand its regional community development programmes in education, healthcare, skill development and welfare through its DIKSHa and Gram Parivartan initiatives.
The company currently has an installed cement manufacturing capacity of 54.7 million tonnes across 19 manufacturing units in 12 states. It is also the first cement company globally to commit to the RE100, EP100 and EV100 initiatives.

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