Concrete

Cement demand bounces back

Published

4 years ago

February 1, 2022

admin

With the onset of the final quarter of FY22, CareEdge expects cement prices to trend higher due to pick up in the overall construction activities giving a boost to cement demand. CareEdge (CARE Group) is a knowledge-based analytical group and is one of the leading credit rating agencies in India.

After gaining pace in October 2021, the demand offtake fell unexpectedly in November 2021 owing to construction bans in the Delhi NCR region, late and unseasonal rains in the South, availability issues of sand mining in the East and Uttar Pradesh and labour unavailability. Major slump was witnessed in the Eastern and Southern regions. Later, the demand picked up during December 2021 and has been firming up further during January 2022. Demand rebound in Q4 should bolster cost pass-through for the industry. This, coupled with the fact that the key cost-side elements (coal/pet coke/diesel) have softened from the higher levels have alleviated concerns of a further increase in the operating costs for the industry.

Though higher input costs will continue to impact the players in Q4FY22 due to the build-up of high-cost inventories, this should, thereafter, subside more in Q1FY23 assuming current trends in input costs. Therefore, margins of cement players are expected to bottom out in Q3FY22 and improve thereafter at the back of potential price hikes and waning cost pressures. Further to the earlier report dated October 28, 2021 (Cement Sector: Battling the cost wave), CareEdge reiterates that the macros of the cement industry continue to remain positive and the industry is expected to witness a robust mid-teen growth in overall cement demand in FY22 and thereafter 6%-7% Yo-Y in FY23. The demand is mainly driven by recovery of activity in the urban housing sectors, upcoming general elections in 2024, infrastructure projects as well as rural demand and renewed real estate demand. However, any potential halt on the construction activities amidst upsurge of infections pertaining to the third wave of Covid-19 shall remain a key monitorable for the growth in the coming months.

Demand momentum continues

The cement industry is expected to be benefitted by high volume growth, majorly driven by revival in demand from the urban housing sectors, upcoming infrastructure projects such as construction of roads, railways, highways as well as generous rural demand. The long-term drivers of demand such as National Infrastructure Protection Plan, Bharatmala projects, mission ‘Housing for All’, rapid urbanisation, rising rural incomes remain strong with increased government impetus on infrastructure projects amid the upcoming elections in 2024. While a decent demand and volume expansion was witnessed in the first seven months of FY22, the months of November and December saw muted growth mainly due to factors, including construction ban in the NCR, heavy rainfall in the South and few Northern states and issues related to availability of sand in the Eastern region and UP.

Production of cement fell by 3.3% in November 2021 year-on-year; however, the cumulative cement production index increased by around 29% during April to November 2021 over the corresponding period of the previous year. Nevertheless, some recovery has thereafter taken place in the second half of December month,which is a significant month for the sector, as it marks the onset of peak construction period. Furthermore, historically, cement demand in January has been 4% higher than December.

With the strong demand momentum to sustain, the credit outlook for the cement sector is expected to remain positive. However, any potential halt on the construction activities amidst upsurge of infections pertaining to the third wave of Covid-19 shall remain a key monitorable for the growth in the coming months. With healthy growth in volumes coupled with stronger balance sheets, many cement players have planned capacity additions to maintain their market shares. CareEdge expects capacity additions of about 100-110 MT between FY22 and FY25. The third wave of Covid-19 may put some temporary breaks on the expansion plans of players. Nevertheless, the pace of expansion and demand matching up with the same shall be a key monitorable for the sector.

Input Costs

The average fuel cost for the industry has increased by Rs 250-300 per tonne in H2FY22. There has been a decline in imported coal, pet coke and diesel prices in the last two months from their earlier peak levels, alleviating concerns of any further steep increase in the operating costs for the players. Although the fuel cost for the industry is believed to have peaked in Q3FY22, it would remain at slightly elevated levels for the players due to high-cost inventories in Q4FY22. Full benefits of fall in fuel prices are expected to start accruing from Q1FY23.

• Australian coal prices have fallen to USD 162-169 per tonne as in January 2022 from its peak of USD 224 per tonne in October 2021.

• Pet coke prices which move in tandem with crude oil prices fell to USD 150 per tonne in January 2022 from its peak of USD 200-220 per tonne in November 2021. The prices of domestic pet coke have increased from Rs 9,135/MT in December 2020 to Rs 20,781/MT in November 2021, and they declined in December 2021 with average price of Rs15,680/MT which is still 72% higher Y-o-Y.

Realisations: Expected to stay strong

The previous attempt by the cement players to hike the prices in October 2021 could not last long and these hikes were rolled back due to lack of demand in November 2021. With expected volume growth going forward, the industry is again poised to take price hikes. The price hikes are required to pass on the increased cost pressures as imported coal/pet coke and diesel prices, though lowered from previous high, remain elevated.

The month of October 2021 saw Rs 20-30/bag price hikes across regions, but these were partially rolled back in November-December 2021. Pan India prices seem up around 1% in Q3FY22 Q-o-Q led primarily by price rise in Northern, Central and Western regions but partially offset by Q-o-Q fall in prices in the Eastern and Southern regions. In FY22 on a Y-o-Y basis, pan India prices are likely to remain up around 4%-5%. With pickup in demand, companies are expected to announce price hikes in the range of Rs.10-25 per bag across regions for the month of January 2022.

Demand momentum should keep pace for the price hikes to sustain, and any potential halt on the construction activities amidst upsurge of infections pertaining to a possible third wave of Covid-19 affecting cement demand shall be key.

Due to the cost upsurge until November 2021 coupled with the roll back of the price hikes (earlier announced in October 2021) in the cement prices in Q3FY22, the EBITDA margins for the quarter ending December 2021 is likely to bottom out, though margins are expected to recover partially in Q4FY22 with the likely price hikes to be taken by players.

In the present circumstances where the sector is grappling with the higher input cost, a sustained increase of prices along with demand stand critical for the operational performance of the players in the near term. Going forward, CareEdge expects cement prices to trend higher in Q4FY22 due to a pickup in the overall construction activities, leading to a higher cement demand.

Up Next

Technology can definitely make cement plants safer

Don't Miss

Mining in India: Moving Towards a Sustainable Future

Concrete

NDMC Rolls Out Intensive Sanitation Drive Across Lutyens Delhi

Municipal body intensifies cleaning and monitoring across the capital

Published

4 hours ago

March 13, 2026

admin

The New Delhi Municipal Council has launched an intensive sanitation drive across Lutyens’ Delhi, aiming to raise cleanliness standards in the capital’s central precincts. The programme will combine enhanced manual sweeping with mechanised cleaning and systematic waste removal to cover parks, heritage precincts and prominent thoroughfares. Authorities described the initiative as a sustained effort to improve public hygiene and reduce environmental hazards while maintaining the area’s civic image.

Operational teams have been instructed to prioritise drain clearing and litter hotspots, with special attention to markets and transit nodes that attract heavy footfall. Coordination with city utilities and waste processing units will be stepped up to ensure timely collection and disposal, and supervisory rounds will monitor adherence to cleaning schedules. Officials also intend to use data-driven planning to deploy resources efficiently and to identify recurring problem areas.

The council plans to engage resident welfare associations and business stakeholders to foster community participation in maintaining cleanliness and to support behavioural change campaigns. Public communication will be amplified through notices and outreach to encourage responsible waste handling and to inform residents about collection timings and segregation norms. Enforcement measures for littering and unauthorised dumping will be reinforced as part of a broader strategy to deter violations and sustain cleanliness gains.

The move reflects a focus on urban sanitation that officials link to public health priorities and to the city administration’s commitment to maintaining civic amenities. Monitoring mechanisms will include regular reporting and inspections to review outcomes and to recalibrate operations where necessary, according to municipal sources. The council emphasised that continued community cooperation will be essential for the drive to deliver lasting improvements in the appearance and hygiene of the capital’s core areas.

Concrete

UltraTech Appoints Jayant Dua As MD-Designate For 2027

Executive named to succeed current managing director in 2027

Published

3 days ago

March 10, 2026

admin

UltraTech Cement has appointed Jayant Dua as managing director (MD) designate who will take charge in 2027, the company announced. The appointment signals a planned leadership transition at one of the country’s largest cement manufacturers. The board has set a clear timeline for the handover and has framed the move as part of a structured succession plan.

Jayant Dua will be referred to as MD after assuming the role and will be responsible for overseeing operations, strategy and growth initiatives across the company’s network. The company said the designation follows established governance norms and aims to ensure continuity in executive leadership. The appointment is expected to allow a phased transfer of responsibilities ahead of the formal changeover.

The decision is intended to provide strategic stability as UltraTech Cement navigates domestic infrastructure demand and evolving market dynamics. Management will continue to focus on operational efficiency, capacity utilisation and cost management while aligning investments with long term objectives. The board will monitor the transition and provide further information on leadership responsibilities closer to the effective date.

Investors and market observers will have time to assess the implications of the announcement before the change is effected, and analysts will review the company’s outlook in the context of the succession. The company indicated that it will communicate any additional executive appointments or organisational changes as they are finalised. Shareholders were advised to refer to formal filings and company releases for definitive details on governance or remuneration.

The leadership change will be managed with attention to stakeholder interests and operational continuity, and the company reiterated its commitment to delivery on ongoing projects and customer obligations. Senior management will engage with employees and partners to ensure a smooth handover while maintaining focus on safety and compliance. Further updates will be provided through official investor communications in due course.

Concrete

Merlin Prime Spaces Acquires 13,185 Sq M Land Parcel In Pune

Rs 273 crore purchase broadens the developer’s Pune presence

Published

1 week ago

March 6, 2026

admin

Merlin Prime Spaces (MPS) has acquired a 13,185 sq m land parcel in Pune for Rs 273 crore, marking a notable expansion of its footprint in the city.

The transaction value converts to Rs 2,730 mn or Rs 2.73 bn.

The parcel is located in a strategic area of Pune and the firm described the acquisition as aligned with its growth objectives.

The deal follows recent activity in the region and will be watched by investors and developers.

MPS said the acquisition will support its planned development pipeline and enable delivery of commercial and residential space to meet local demand.

The company expects the site to provide flexibility in product design and phased development to respond to market conditions.

The move reflects an emphasis on land ownership in key suburban markets.

The emphasis on land acquisition reflects a strategy to secure inventory ahead of demand cycles.

The purchase follows a period of sustained investor interest in Pune real estate, driven by expanding office ecosystems and residential demand from professionals.

MPS will integrate the new holding into its existing portfolio and plans to engage with local authorities and stakeholders to progress approvals and infrastructure readiness.

No financial partners were disclosed in the announcement.

The firm indicated that timelines will depend on approvals and prevailing market conditions.

Analysts note that strategic land acquisitions at scale can help developers manage costs and timelines while preserving optionality for future projects.

MPS will now hold an enlarged land bank in the region as it pursues growth, and the acquisition underlines continued corporate appetite for measured expansion in second tier cities.

The company intends to move forward with detailed planning in the coming months.

Stakeholders will assess how the site is positioned relative to existing infrastructure and connectivity.