India’s cement demand is projected to grow 6.5–7.5 per cent in FY26, supported by a ~10 per cent increase in central infrastructure spending and prospects of a strong monsoon, which could boost rural housing. In FY25, demand had moderated to 4.5–5.5 per cent due to electionled disruptions, sluggish project execution, and weak real estate activity. Infrastructure will remain the key demand driver, contributing ~30 per cent of total cement consumption— led by roads, railways, irrigation, and urban development. Notably, 12 major states have raised their budget allocations by 11 per cent, fuelling optimism. Rural housing (32–34 per cent share) is expected to gain from rising farm incomes, PMGSY, MNREGA, and higher average rural wages. Urban housing is likely to recover on a low base, improved pace under PMAY-Urban, and interest rate cuts.
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