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ACC-Ambuja: Know about the cement industry?s most anticipated bidding

Cement leaders have been aggressively running to grab the Holcim assets

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As tension mounts and speculations continue being made, the Indian cement industry has been closely watching the progress of Holcim Group?s exit from the country. The Swiss giant set off a whirlwind by putting its two listed cement arms ? ACC and Ambuja ? out in the market to evaluate options for their stake sale.

Holcim holds a 63.19 per cent share in Ambuja and 4.48 per cent in ACC, which is an Ambuja subsidiary. Ambuja additionally holds its own stake of 50.05 per cent in ACC. Holcim Group?s global cement capacity as of the current financial year is 293 mtpa with around 24 per cent of its total capacities housed in India. Ambuja?s current reported grinding capacity is 31.4 mtpa with plans to expand capacity to 39.9 mtpa by 2024, while ACC?s has been calculated at 34.9 mtpa to be increased to 39.7 mtpa by the first half of the next year.

These numbers mean that any player who manages to take over both ACC and Ambuja will be adding a combined pan-India capacity of 66 mtpa, promptly shooting any global player to a second position.

The contenders

The world?s largest cement maker reportedly has been believed to have held early-stage negotiations with JSW Cement and Adani Group to gauge their interests in this acquisition, with news reports indicating UltraTech as another formidable contender in this race. Apart from these, a few regional players such as Shree Cement have been approached as well.


JSW Cement
has a grinding capacity of approximately 15 mtpa. It primarily depends on imported clinkers since its present clinker capacity is 3.2 mtpa only. Shiva Cement, a JSW subsidiary, will increase its clinker capacity by 1.36 mtpa and cement capacity by 1 mtpa.


UltraTech
has a consolidated capacity of 119.95 mtpa while Adani does not have a presence in the cement market as of date, but has been planning its foray into the cement industry under its subsidiary Adani Cement Industries formed in July 2021.


Shree Cement
?s grinding capacity is 46.4 mtpa and has been consistent in its capacity additions, however, it has done only one acquisition in the domestic market and may reportedly face regulatory hurdles if it shows its interest in this deal.

The investment

Ambuja?s market capitalisation is Rs 764.77 billion and that of ACC?s is Rs 433.89 billion, together making the companies? total market cap at Rs 1.20 trillion. If signed, this deal stands to reportedly be one of the largest in the country.

The bids for the two assets are expected to be upwards of $10 billion. As Motilal Oswal?s recent cement sector update report mentions, ?Holcim will prefer a cash deal and not a share swap if it has plans to exit the Indian operations. This acquisition will require a huge investment by the acquirer and will make the complete exit a tall task.? The report adds that the acquirer will have to give an open offer in both the companies. The huge investments may lead to leveraging of the acquirer?s balance sheet, which generally is not favoured for a cyclical business.

Recent developments point out that JSW Cement has a couple of US private equity funds keen on this opportunity backing its funding, while Adani has reportedly tied up with multiple foreign banks such as Deutsche Bank and Barclays and domestic banks such as ICICI Bank and Axis Bank for funding the deal.

Benefits to the sector

This deal, if it goes through, should be positive for the sector in the near-to-medium term as the acquirer might not chase growth CAPEX immediately, the Motilal Oswal report observes. ?Acquisition by the Adani group, if it happens, may also alleviate concerns of an entry of a new aggressive player in the sector as the group?s immediate focus will be on streamlining the operations in the near term. In the long run, however, sector dynamics would depend on the growth plans and aggressiveness of the acquirer.?

ACC has undertaken expansion plans in the Central markets, whereas Ambuja has recently announced its expansion plans in the East. Holcim will obtain 1 per cent of the turnover of ACC and Ambuja as technology and know-how fees.

Everyone involved in the divestment, however, continues to be tightlipped. With a portfolio as impressive as Holcim?s, the industry awaits the results of perhaps the most anticipated and aggressive bidding the Indian cement industry has seen in recent times.

Concrete

Cement Prices To Hold Steady Amid Monsoon Slump

Centrum report says demand weakness will limit hikes

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Centrum, a financial services firm, has reported that cement prices are likely to remain largely unchanged in July as weak demand during the monsoon season constrains pricing power. The report noted that construction activity remained subdued in the first quarter of fiscal year 2027 owing to labour shortages and slower execution of government projects. While June showed some volume recovery driven by delayed monsoons and quarter end sales, dealers are cautious about sustaining any price increases.

The analysis suggested that seasonal slowdown related to monsoon will prolong demand and pricing challenges through the second quarter. Dealers saw most recent attempts at price hikes as protective measures rather than genuine shifts in market fundamentals. They signalled that pockets of demand in select regions could prompt isolated adjustments but that broad based increases were unlikely while construction activity remained weak. Market participants therefore expected a cautious stance on pricing.

The report highlighted that despite intermittent recovery in shipments during June, the underlying demand trajectory remained muted as monsoon hampered site level activity and logistics. Commercial builders and retail dealers both reported constrained order books and slower payment cycles, which in turn reduced room for margin expansion among manufacturers. Analysts noted that unless government project execution accelerates markedly, demand improvement would be gradual. Price setters were thus likely to focus on protecting market shares rather than pursuing aggressive increases.

Market watchers said the near term outlook would be shaped by monsoon progress and fiscal spending patterns, with any acceleration in public works offering the most tangible support. Traders expected that regional variations would persist and that trade flows between surplus and deficit centres would determine local price movements. The report concluded that stakeholders should prepare for a period of subdued pricing until demand signals strengthen.

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Concrete

Cement Prices Set To Stay Under Pressure In July

Monsoon and weak demand keep prices under strain

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A report by Centrum said cement prices are expected to remain largely flat in July as the monsoon and weak demand weigh on the sector. The report said demand during the first quarter of FY27 remained range-bound and below expectations, with dealers across markets pointing to subdued construction activity, labour shortages, elections, heatwaves and slower execution of government projects as key reasons. It noted that some recovery was witnessed in June due to delayed onset of the monsoon and quarter-end volume push.\n\nDealers across most markets do not expect any meaningful price increases in July, the report said, adding that attempts to raise prices in some markets are aimed at defending existing levels rather than achieving significant gains. The sharp correction following the rollback of April hikes has largely played out across most regions, limiting scope for further immediate increases. Seasonal slowdown in construction activity during the monsoon is expected to continue affecting demand and pricing in the coming months.\n\nCentrum indicated that pricing pressure is likely to persist through the second quarter of FY27 as monsoon-related softness continues. Dealers remain cautious about sustainability of any price rise attempts and do not rule out further weakness during the peak monsoon period. The combination of subdued demand and seasonal factors is likely to constrain the industry’s ability to raise prices in the near term. While June saw some improvement in volumes because of delayed rains and quarter-end sales efforts, the broader demand environment remains challenging.\n\nCement companies are therefore expected to focus on maintaining current price levels rather than pursuing aggressive increases as the sector navigates weak demand and seasonal headwinds. The report suggested that unless demand conditions improve significantly, limited scope will exist for meaningful price recovery. Market participants remain watchful for any shifts in execution of infrastructure projects or construction activity that could alter the outlook.

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TARIL Secures Ultra Mega Transformer Order From PGCIL

Order for manufacturing transformers to be delivered in 30 months

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Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Limited has received Notifications of Awards from Power Grid Corporation of India Limited (PGCIL) for multiple contracts to manufacture transformers and undertake associated works. The company submitted the disclosure to BSE and the National Stock Exchange under Regulation 30 of the SEBI Listing Regulations. The submission cited security code 532928 and trading symbol TARIL, and the filings cite the award reference and confirm execution in accordance with the terms and conditions stipulated in the notifications.

The contracts are described as an Ultra Mega Order under the company classification, indicating a value at or above Rs 10 billion (bn) on conversion. The filing identifies the contracts as domestic orders and specifies a scheduled delivery period of 30 months. The scope covers manufacturing of transformers of various ratings together with all associated work. The order size places it in the highest project classification defined in the company’s disclosure.

The disclosure states that the promoter group and group companies have no interest in the awarding entity and that the contracts do not constitute related party transactions. The company noted that the awards will be executed in the normal course of business and not fall within related party transactions. The document reiterates that the company is committed to delivering high quality products and services and has established itself as a leading manufacturer of transformers in the country over time.

Chief Financial Officer Mehul Shah authorised the filing and requested the exchanges to take the information on record, with the company providing the requisite filing reference in its submission. The company indicated that the orders will be executed as per the notifications of awards and the applicable regulatory framework. The original filing is available on the stock exchange portal at the provided link.

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