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Nomura: Indian steel majors among best-positioned producers worldwide

The report highlights a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.8%

Published

2 months ago

October 4, 2024

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India’s steel industry is set to expand significantly over the next few years, with plans to add around 23 million tonnes (MT) of crude steel capacity between FY24 and FY27, according to a report by Nomura.

As per the report, the industry is reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.8 per cent. The report noted that this growth target is in consistent with the industry’s long-term average growth from FY15 to FY24.

Despite this substantial increase in capacity, experts believe that the Indian steel sector is poised to enter a favorable phase.

“We estimate India’s steel industry will add approx. 23MT crude steel capacity over FY24-27F, at an implied 4.8 pc CAGR, in line with the FY15-24 long-term average” said the report.

The report noted that the steel majors JSW, JSPL, Tata Steel and ArcelorMittal & Nippon Steel should account for nearly 87 per cent of the ongoing capacity expansion. Although the report noted that significant capacity will come onstream over the next three years.

The JSW steel is set to add 7MT by FY28F at a 5 per cent CAGR over FY24-28F, according to the report. While the JSPL is set to add 6.3MT by FY27F at an 18 per cent CAGR over FY24- 27F.

The report also suggested that even under a conservative assumption of 6 per cent CAGR in steel demand through FY27 (compared to 7 per cent over the last five years), capacity additions are still expected to fall behind demand growth during this period. This could lead to an improvement in the domestic supply-demand balance, reducing the need for steel companies to rely on exports for volume growth.

“Improvement in domestic supply-demand fundamentals through FY27F would suggest reduced dependence on exports for volume growth” added the report.

India’s steel companies are well-positioned within the global metals sector, according to analysts. These companies benefit from operating at the lower end of the global cost curve, mainly due to lower labor costs. Additionally, India’s iron ore costs remain competitive compared to other countries, even for non-integrated steel producers.

The future expansion of India’s steel industry is expected to be driven largely by brownfield projects, where existing facilities are expanded or upgraded. Strong domestic demand is another factor that could help reduce the industry’s reliance on exports.

Over the past few years, India’s steel production has grown at a 6 per cent CAGR between 2019 and 2023, far outpacing China’s 1 per cent growth and the rest of the world’s 1 per cent decline. With these factors in place, Indian steel companies are seen as some of the best-positioned producers globally, offering significant growth potential in the coming years.

“We believe Indian steel majors are among the best-placed producers globally” the report noted.

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India’s April-October Finished Steel Imports Reach 7-Year High

India is the world’s second-largest crude steel producer, had become a net importer in 2023/24.

Published

6 days ago

November 15, 2024

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India’s finished steel imports during April-October reached a seven-year high of 5.7 million metric tons, according to provisional government data reviewed by Reuters on Wednesday.

India, the world’s second-largest crude steel producer, had become a net importer in 2023/24, and this trend continued during the April-October period, the data indicated.

From April to September, China had been the leading exporter of finished steel to India, and this was widely expected to remain the case during the April-October period. Further details would be revealed later in the month.

A senior government official had informed Reuters last month that India’s steel ministry was in favor of implementing a safeguard duty or a temporary tax to curb the rising imports of steel.

India’s steel demand remained strong, primarily driven by infrastructure and the automotive sector, although it had slowed down in the United States and Europe.

The consumption of finished steel in India reached a seven-year high of 85.7 million metric tons during April-October, according to the data. Meanwhile, India’s finished steel exports during this period slumped to their lowest in seven years, totaling 2.8 million metric tons. The country’s finished steel production amounted to 82.7 million metric tons, marking a 4.4% increase compared to the previous year. Crude steel production stood at 84.9 million metric tons, reflecting a 3% year-on-year rise.

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NMDC Steel Q2 loss expands to Rs 5.95 bn, income at Rs 15.35 bn

The company had reported a loss of Rs 131.10 crore during the same period last year.

Published

6 days ago

November 15, 2024

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NMDC Steel announced on Tuesday that its loss had widened to Rs 595.37 crore in the September quarter, primarily due to a surge in expenses. The company had reported a loss of Rs 131.10 crore during the same period last year, according to an exchange filing.

The company’s total income increased to Rs 1,535.46 crore, up from Rs 290.27 crore a year earlier. However, NMDC Steel’s expenses escalated to Rs 2,364.39 crore in the second quarter of the current fiscal year, compared to Rs 464.93 crore in the corresponding period of the previous year.

NMDC Steel Ltd, which was demerged from the mining firm NMDC, owns and operates the 3 million-tonne Nagar Steel Plant at Nagarnar in Chhattisgarh. The Nagarnar plant, set up with an investment of about Rs 23,000 crore, is referred to as India’s youngest steel unit. NMDC Steel commenced commercial operations at this unit on August 31, 2023.

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Shalimar Paints reports a net loss of Rs 196.2 Mn in Q2 FY25

It had registered loss after tax of Rs 252.2 million in the corresponding quarter of the previous fiscal.

Published

1 week ago

November 14, 2024

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Shalimar Paints has reported net consolidated loss after tax of Rs 196.2 million during the quarter ended September 30, 2024.

It had registered loss after tax of Rs 252.2 million in the corresponding quarter of the previous fiscal, the company said in a BSE filing.

The company’s net consolidated total income stood at Rs 1.46 billion in Q2 FY25, a growth of 20.15% from Rs 1.21 billion it recorded in the similar quarter last year.