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Nomura: Indian steel majors among best-positioned producers worldwide

The report highlights a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.8%

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India’s steel industry is set to expand significantly over the next few years, with plans to add around 23 million tonnes (MT) of crude steel capacity between FY24 and FY27, according to a report by Nomura.
As per the report, the industry is reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.8 per cent. The report noted that this growth target is in consistent with the industry’s long-term average growth from FY15 to FY24.
Despite this substantial increase in capacity, experts believe that the Indian steel sector is poised to enter a favorable phase.
“We estimate India’s steel industry will add approx. 23MT crude steel capacity over FY24-27F, at an implied 4.8 pc CAGR, in line with the FY15-24 long-term average” said the report.
The report noted that the steel majors JSW, JSPL, Tata Steel and ArcelorMittal & Nippon Steel should account for nearly 87 per cent of the ongoing capacity expansion. Although the report noted that significant capacity will come onstream over the next three years.
The JSW steel is set to add 7MT by FY28F at a 5 per cent CAGR over FY24-28F, according to the report. While the JSPL is set to add 6.3MT by FY27F at an 18 per cent CAGR over FY24- 27F.
The report also suggested that even under a conservative assumption of 6 per cent CAGR in steel demand through FY27 (compared to 7 per cent over the last five years), capacity additions are still expected to fall behind demand growth during this period. This could lead to an improvement in the domestic supply-demand balance, reducing the need for steel companies to rely on exports for volume growth.
“Improvement in domestic supply-demand fundamentals through FY27F would suggest reduced dependence on exports for volume growth” added the report.
India’s steel companies are well-positioned within the global metals sector, according to analysts. These companies benefit from operating at the lower end of the global cost curve, mainly due to lower labor costs. Additionally, India’s iron ore costs remain competitive compared to other countries, even for non-integrated steel producers.
The future expansion of India’s steel industry is expected to be driven largely by brownfield projects, where existing facilities are expanded or upgraded. Strong domestic demand is another factor that could help reduce the industry’s reliance on exports.
Over the past few years, India’s steel production has grown at a 6 per cent CAGR between 2019 and 2023, far outpacing China’s 1 per cent growth and the rest of the world’s 1 per cent decline. With these factors in place, Indian steel companies are seen as some of the best-positioned producers globally, offering significant growth potential in the coming years.
“We believe Indian steel majors are among the best-placed producers globally” the report noted.

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L&T wins Hindalco, Tata Steel projects in Odisha, Jamshedpur

L&T bags major aluminium and steel sector orders

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Infrastructure major Larsen & Toubro (L&T) announced on Friday that it has secured significant orders from Hindalco Industries and Tata Steel, strengthening its presence in the metals and minerals sector.

The company’s minerals and metals business vertical won an order from Hindalco to set up a 180 KTPA aluminium smelter and gas treatment centre for a greenfield project in Odisha, as well as a separate order from Tata Steel to construct a coke oven battery at Jamshedpur.

These are among several recent orders bagged by the vertical in India, L&T said in a filing to the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE).

The scope of the projects includes engineering, manufacturing, supply, construction, and plant installation.

T Kumaresan, Senior Vice President and Head of Minerals & Metals at L&T, said,

“These order wins across the aluminium and steel sectors are a testament to L&T’s engineering excellence, execution capability, and long-standing customer relationships. They further strengthen our role in shaping the nation’s industrial infrastructure, while deepening our engagement with the steel sector through world-class execution and technological excellence.”

The contracts underscore L&T’s strategic focus on expanding its footprint in India’s metals and industrial infrastructure segment, which continues to see strong growth driven by rising domestic demand and capacity expansion across core sectors.

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Shyam Metalics Unveils Rs 100 billion Capex Plan Under Vision 2031

Company targets Rs 400 billion topline by 2031 with 2.5x revenue growth

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Shyam Metalics and Energy Limited (SMEL) has announced its Vision 2031, outlining a Rs 100 billion capital expenditure plan to expand capacity and achieve a topline of Rs 400 billion by 2031—a 2.5x revenue growth from current levels.
The company plans to enhance its integrated operations by focusing on high value-added and downstream products, including specialty steel, stainless steel, flat products, and aluminium. It also aims to strengthen its presence across key sectors such as defence, railways, engineering, and infrastructure.
SMEL will leverage brownfield expansions in West Bengal, Odisha, and Madhya Pradesh to optimise capital efficiency and minimise execution risk. The Vision 2031 roadmap underscores the company’s commitment to sustainable, value-driven, and capital-efficient growth across the metals sector.

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Tata Steel, Air Water India Ink 20-Year Deal for Jamshedpur ASU

Partnership to operate 1,800-tonne daily oxygen unit enhances steel efficiency

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Tata Steel has signed a 20-year agreement with Air Water India Private Limited (AWIPL) to operate and maintain its advanced Air Separation Unit (ASU) in Jamshedpur. The partnership aims to boost Tata Steel’s industrial gas infrastructure and improve efficiency through the use of cutting-edge cryogenic technologies.

The agreement was signed between Peeyush Gupta, Vice President (TQM, GSP & SC), Tata Steel, and Kausik Mukhopadhyay, Managing Director, AWIPL. Under the contract, AWIPL will manage operations of the ASU, which can produce 1,800 tonnes of oxygen per day, along with nitrogen, argon, and dry compressed air. These gases are critical to Tata Steel’s blast furnaces and steel melting operations.

The ASU is currently in the stabilisation phase and will be officially handed over to AWIPL next month. The collaboration leverages AWIPL’s global expertise in cryogenic operations, particularly from its facilities in Japan, ensuring world-class maintenance and reliability.

The initiative underscores Tata Steel’s focus on integrating sustainable and efficient technologies across its facilities, aligning with its long-term commitment to responsible steelmaking and operational excellence.

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