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Nomura: Indian steel majors among best-positioned producers worldwide

The report highlights a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.8%

Published

1 year ago

October 4, 2024

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India’s steel industry is set to expand significantly over the next few years, with plans to add around 23 million tonnes (MT) of crude steel capacity between FY24 and FY27, according to a report by Nomura.

As per the report, the industry is reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.8 per cent. The report noted that this growth target is in consistent with the industry’s long-term average growth from FY15 to FY24.

Despite this substantial increase in capacity, experts believe that the Indian steel sector is poised to enter a favorable phase.

“We estimate India’s steel industry will add approx. 23MT crude steel capacity over FY24-27F, at an implied 4.8 pc CAGR, in line with the FY15-24 long-term average” said the report.

The report noted that the steel majors JSW, JSPL, Tata Steel and ArcelorMittal & Nippon Steel should account for nearly 87 per cent of the ongoing capacity expansion. Although the report noted that significant capacity will come onstream over the next three years.

The JSW steel is set to add 7MT by FY28F at a 5 per cent CAGR over FY24-28F, according to the report. While the JSPL is set to add 6.3MT by FY27F at an 18 per cent CAGR over FY24- 27F.

The report also suggested that even under a conservative assumption of 6 per cent CAGR in steel demand through FY27 (compared to 7 per cent over the last five years), capacity additions are still expected to fall behind demand growth during this period. This could lead to an improvement in the domestic supply-demand balance, reducing the need for steel companies to rely on exports for volume growth.

“Improvement in domestic supply-demand fundamentals through FY27F would suggest reduced dependence on exports for volume growth” added the report.

India’s steel companies are well-positioned within the global metals sector, according to analysts. These companies benefit from operating at the lower end of the global cost curve, mainly due to lower labor costs. Additionally, India’s iron ore costs remain competitive compared to other countries, even for non-integrated steel producers.

The future expansion of India’s steel industry is expected to be driven largely by brownfield projects, where existing facilities are expanded or upgraded. Strong domestic demand is another factor that could help reduce the industry’s reliance on exports.

Over the past few years, India’s steel production has grown at a 6 per cent CAGR between 2019 and 2023, far outpacing China’s 1 per cent growth and the rest of the world’s 1 per cent decline. With these factors in place, Indian steel companies are seen as some of the best-positioned producers globally, offering significant growth potential in the coming years.

“We believe Indian steel majors are among the best-placed producers globally” the report noted.

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Jindal Stainless Launches First Stainless Steel Fabrication Unit in Mumbai

It will also serve as a centre of excellence for skill development, preparing India’s workforce for sustainable infrastructure projects.

Published

5 days ago

October 7, 2025

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Jindal Stainless, India’s largest stainless steel manufacturer, through its subsidiary Jindal Stainless Steelway (JSSL), has inaugurated its first stainless steel fabrication unit at Washivali, Patalganga, Mumbai. The 4 lakh sq ft facility is designed to serve the bridge sector, fabricating critical components such as girders, arches, nuts, bolts, and handles. The unit was inaugurated by CEO & CFO Tarun Khulbe in the presence of senior leadership.

Developed with an initial investment of Rs 1.25 billion, the facility strengthens Jindal Stainless’ position as a provider of end-to-end fabrication solutions for India’s growing infrastructure sector. The unit is expected to scale from 4,000 tonnes in FY25 to 18,000 tonnes annually by FY26-27, creating over 250 direct jobs and benefiting 150+ families indirectly. It will also serve as a centre of excellence for skill development, preparing India’s workforce for sustainable infrastructure projects.

Abhyuday Jindal, MD, Jindal Stainless, said, “This fabrication unit represents another step in our efforts to provide integrated solutions for customers. Bridges are critical connectors, and this facility ensures end-to-end quality management for safer and longer-lasting structures.”

Tarun Khulbe, CEO & CFO, added, “By combining material excellence with skilled fabrication and streamlined processes, we are bridging the gap between stainless steel production and high-quality infrastructure delivery.”

Jindal Stainless has supplied stainless steel for landmark projects nationwide, offering corrosion-free, durable solutions with lifespans exceeding 100 years. The Mumbai facility marks the company’s entry into direct fabrication, offering complete solutions to infrastructure developers. Future expansions will include solar-powered operations, aligning with the company’s ESG goals and commitment to sustainable growth.

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Kretinsky Exits Thyssenkrupp Steel Stake as JV Plans Stall

Stake sale clears path for talks with India’s Jindal Steel

Published

6 days ago

October 6, 2025

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Czech billionaire Daniel Kretinsky has sold his 20 per cent stake in Thyssenkrupp Steel Europe and abandoned plans for a 50:50 joint venture, the companies announced. The decision enables Thyssenkrupp to intensify discussions with Jindal Steel International for a possible acquisition.

The move follows stalled negotiations between Thyssenkrupp and Kretinsky’s EP Group amid union opposition. The European steel sector continues to face high energy costs, cheap Chinese imports and delayed hydrogen-based decarbonisation.

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Nippon Steel Buys 30% Stake In Canada’s Kami Iron Ore Project

Nippon Steel invests C$42 million in Canada’s Kami iron ore project.

Published

1 week ago

October 3, 2025

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Japan’s largest steelmaker, Nippon Steel, has acquired a 30 per cent stake in Canada’s Kami iron ore project, forming a joint venture with Australia’s Champion Iron and trading house Sojitz to secure supplies of high-grade ore for direct reduced iron production.

Through its subsidiary NS Canadian Resources, Nippon Steel has paid C$42 million (Rs 2.5 billion) of the total C$150 million (Rs 9 billion) investment, with the remaining C$108 million (Rs 6.5 billion) subject to an additional investment decision based on a feasibility study.

The deal builds on a December agreement in which Nippon Steel and Sojitz purchased a 49 per cent interest in the project from Champion Iron for C$245 million (Rs 14.7 billion). Under the new joint venture, Kami Iron Mine Partnership, the companies will advance the feasibility study for the Newfoundland and Labrador project.

Nippon Steel said the project’s high-grade ore is ideal for producing direct reduced iron, which, together with high-quality scrap, is crucial for operating large electric arc furnaces. The company plans to expand such furnaces to lower carbon emissions as part of its decarbonisation strategy.

Having recently acquired U.S. Steel, Nippon Steel has been strengthening its stakes in coking coal and iron ore mines worldwide to ensure long-term security of critical raw materials.