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NUVOCO-EMAMI Yet another debt-driven deal

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Cement companies are becoming the target of sales by debt-laden industry groups, but consolidation is a blessing in disguise v/s Greenfield expansion for industry margins.

Nuvoco Vistas Corp, a Nirma group company, has chosen an inorganic route in February to expand its business by taking over Emami Group’s 8.3-million-tonne-per-annum (mtpa) cement business for an enterprise value of Rs 5,500 crore in an all-cash deal. The deal, expected to consummate in three to four months time, will take Nuvoco’s total capacity to 23.5 mtpa, after necessary regulatory approvals. This is yet another debt-driven deal in the cement industry. Last year, Emami Group decided to monetise its cement assets for around Rs 7,000 crore to become debt-free at the group level by March 2020, including repaying its own debt of about Rs 2,500 crore. However, Emami promoters will have to create an 8 per cent fresh pledge to Nuvoco to provide additional comfort against a limestone mining lease disputes. However, this deal falls short of Rs 500-600 crore for the group to become debt-free even as the group’s founders have sold 20 per cent stake in their flagship household goods company, Emami, for Rs 2,830 crore as part of the plan, in 2018-19.

Emami Cement operates an integrated cement plant and three grinding units spread across Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Bihar and West Bengal. The sale also includes all the assets and mining leases in Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan and Andhra Pradesh, on 300 million tonnes of limestone deposits that will last for 60 years.

Prize catch
Nuvoco has bought out the Kolkata-based Emami’s cement business at $110/tonne valuation. This compares positively with its own acquisition of 11-mtpa Lafarge Holcim’s plants at an estimated $125/tonne in July 2016, and that of UltraTech Cement, which had taken over Binani Cement for $130/tonne, in a prolonged battled through Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) process last year.

Nuvoco had beaten bigger player like Ambuja, multinational Heidelberg and local rival Star Cement to the post to further consolidate its position in the east, where it has a market share of over 10 per cent already.

This acquisition will bring Nuvoco’s total cement capacity in eastern, northern and western India to 23.5 mtpa, including the capacity expansion project underway at its Jojobera plant and over 60 ready-mix plants. The combined operations will span three facilities in Chhattisgarh, two each in Rajasthan and West Bengal and one each in Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha and Haryana.

At present, Nuvoco runs four integrated plants in Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan and three grinding plants in West Bengal, Jharkhand and Haryana with a total installed capacity of around 15.2 mtpa, besides having own captive limestone mines and clinker capacity.

The bolstered Nuvoco’s cement market will cover states such as Chhattisgarh, Odisha, West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, NCR region, Punjab, Uttar Pradesh and Haryana. It has a substantial presence in slag cement in the east, and a strong portfolio of Pozzolona Portland Cement (PPC) and Ordinary Portland Cement (OPC) products.

Nuvoco Chairman Hiren Patel says, "This acquisition is a momentous and transformational step in Nuvoco’s journey to becoming a major building materials company in India. It will enable us to take our cement business to the next level, and continue to serve our customers with innovative and high-quality products that they trust." The acquisition will catapult Nuvoco to the sixth position in terms of capacity in the industry, where UltraTech Cement is the leader with about 110 mtpa capacity. However, it will make the producer a serious player regionally in Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan. Nuvoco is in the process of setting up captive power plants and waste heat recovery systems during the current fiscal.

Ratings impact
India Ratings and Research had put Nuvoco’s long-term rating "Ind AA" under rating watch evolving (RWE), days after the company acquired a 100-per cent stake in Emami Cement. The rating agency believes that the acquisition will significantly strengthen Nuvoco’s market position, making it the sixth-largest cement manufacturer in India and the largest in the eastern region, it said, ahead of the company announcing its financing plan, which according to the rating agency could involve funding of the equity value through fresh equity/quasi equity infusion. The rating firm has also envisaged that the combined entity’s earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) could exceed Rs 2,000 crore in 2020-21 with EBITDA-per-tonne of over Rs 1,000, comparable to most of the major players in the industry, but may "delay Nuvoco’s deleveraging plan by a year".

Debt-free aim
The objective of Emami’s deal is part of the group’s plan to become debt-free. Last year, the group’s founders have sold 20 per cent stake in their flagship household goods company, Emami, for Rs 2,830 crore as part of the plan. The deal was also intended to completely clear the Rs 3,000 crore loans against promoter shares in the FMCG firm.

"This transaction is an important step in our group’s stated objective of becoming debt-free and with this transaction, we will substantially achieve this objective,"said Manish Goenka, Director of Emami Group. However, this deal falls short of Rs 500-600 crore for the group to become debt-free Goenka says that the promoter pledge in Emami will come down to less than 25 per cent from around 70 per cent of the total promoter holding after consummation of the deal. It would have come down to 15-17 per cent, but there is 8 per cent security guarantee given to Nuvoco in terms of promoter shares in Emami for a legal case against the cement company regarding some mines, he adds.

As per the stock exchange data, around 71.58 per cent shares of the total promoter holding of 52.73 per cent in Emami are pledged as of December 2019.

"We have committed that by March 2021 our debt should be down to zero. So, we are trying to monetise not just the pharmaceutical business but also other land parcels that we have," says Goenka.

Consolidation
Cement industry has been the oasis in the debt-laden corporate world. This is reflected in debt-laden corporate entities/groups trying to off-load their cement assets in many cases to repay lenders.

In 2016, Reliance Infrastructure sold its cement assets to Birla Corp for Rs 4,800 crore as part of the Anil Ambani-led company’s efforts to pare debt, while UltraTech Cement has been a serial acquirer of sorts – having acquired 21.2 mtpa cement capacity from Jaiprakash Associates, part of debt-laden Jaypee Group in June 2017, and bankrupt Binani Cement for around Rs 7,600 crore in 2018.

Thus, UltraTech has set the bar high for other players by taking its total capacity close to 110 mtpa and forcing others to follow if they want to be serious players. Changes in mining regulatory environment, has made it difficult for development of green filed projects. Thus, mergers and acquisitions (M&A) have become the best way as this process also protects the industry margins from eroding with the entry of new capacity.

– BS SRINIVASALU REDDY

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Price hikes, drop in input costs help cement industry to post positive margins: Care Ratings

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Region-wise,the southern region comprises 35% of the total cement capacity, followed by thenorthern, eastern, western and central region comprising 20%, 18%, 14% and 13%of the capacity, respectively.

The cement industry is expected to post positive margins on decent price hikes over the months, falling raw material prices and marked drop in overall production costs, said an analysis of Care Ratings.

Wholesale and retail prices of cement have increased 11.9% and 12.4%, respectively, in the current financial year. As whole prices have remained elevated in most of the markets in the months of FY20, against the corresponding period of the previous year.

Similarly, electricity and fuel cost have declined 11.9% during 9M FY20 due to drop in crude oil prices. Logistics costs, the biggest cost for cement industry, has also dropped 7.7% (selling and distribution) as the Railways extended the benefit of exemption from busy season surcharge. Moreover, the cost of raw materials, too, declined 5.1% given the price of limestone had fallen 11.3% in the same aforementioned period, the analysis said.

According to Care Ratings, though the overall sales revenue has increased only 1.3%, against 16% growth in the year-ago period, the overall expenditure has declined 3.2% which has benefited the industry largely given the moderation in sales.

Even though FY20 has been subdued in terms of production and demand, the fall in cost of production has still supported the cement industry by clocking in positive margins, the rating agency said.

Cement demand is closely linked to the overall economic growth, particularly the housing and infrastructure sector. The cement sector will be seeing a sharp growth in volumes mainly due to increasing demand from affordable housing and other government infrastructure projects like roads, metros, airports, irrigation.

The government’s newly introduced National Infrastructure Pipeline (NIP), with its target of becoming a $5-trillion economy by 2025, is a detailed road map focused on economic revival through infrastructure development.

The NIP covers a gamut of sectors; rural and urban infrastructure and entails investments of Rs.102 lakh crore to be undertaken by the central government, state governments and the private sector. Of the total projects of the NIP, 42% are under implementation while 19% are under development, 31% are at the conceptual stage and 8% are yet to be classified.

The sectors that will be of focus will be roads, railways, power (renewable and conventional), irrigation and urban infrastructure. These sectors together account for 79% of the proposed investments in six years to 2025. Given the government’s thrust on infrastructure creation, it is likely to benefit the cement industry going forward.

Similarly, the Pradhan Mantri Awaas Yojana, aimed at providing affordable housing, will be a strong driver to lift cement demand. Prices have started correcting Q4 FY20 onwards due to revival in demand of the commodity, the agency said in its analysis.

Industry’s sales revenue has grown at a CAGR of 7.3% during FY15-19 but has grown only 1.3% in the current financial year. Tepid demand throughout the country in the first half of the year has led to the contraction of sales revenue. Fall in the total expenditure of cement firms had aided in improving the operating profit and net profit margins of the industry (OPM was 15.2 during 9M FY19 and NPM was 3.1 during 9M FY19). Interest coverage ratio, too, has improved on an overall basis (ICR was 3.3 during 9M FY19).

According to Cement Manufacturers Association, India accounts for over 8% of the overall global installed capacity. Region-wise, the southern region comprises 35% of the total cement capacity, followed by the northern, eastern, western and central region comprising 20%, 18%, 14% and 13% of the capacity, respectively.

Installed capacity of domestic cement makers has increased at a CAGR of 4.9% during FY16-20. Manufacturers have been able to maintain a capacity utilisation rate above 65% in the past quinquennium. In the current financial year due to the prolonged rains in many parts of the country, the capacity utilisation rate has fallen from 70% during FY19 to 66% currently (YTD).

Source:moneycontrol.com

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Wonder Cement shows journey of cement with new campaign

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The campaign also marks Wonder Cement being the first ever cement brand to enter the world of IGTV…

ETBrandEquity

Cement manufacturing company Wonder Cement, has announced the launch of a digital campaign ‘Har Raah Mein Wonder Hai’. The campaign has been designed specifically to run on platforms such as Instagram, Facebook and YouTube.

#HarRaahMeinWonderHai is a one-minute video, designed and conceptualised by its digital media partner Triature Digital Marketing and Technologies Pvt Ltd. The entire journey of the cement brand from leaving the factory, going through various weather conditions and witnessing the beauty of nature and wonders through the way until it reaches the destination i.e., to the consumer is very intriguing and the brand has tried to showcase the same with the film.

Sanjay Joshi, executive director, Wonder Cement, said, "Cement as a product poses a unique marketing challenge. Most consumers will build their homes once and therefore buy cement once in a lifetime. It is critical for a cement company to connect with their consumers emotionally. As a part of our communication strategy, it is our endeavor to reach out to a large audience of this country through digital. Wonder Cement always a pioneer in digital, with the launch of our IGTV campaign #HarRahMeinWonderHai, is the first brand in the cement category to venture into this space. Through this campaign, we have captured the emotional journey of a cement bag through its own perspective and depicted what it takes to lay the foundation of one’s dreams and turn them into reality."

The story begins with a family performing the bhoomi poojan of their new plot. It is the place where they are investing their life-long earnings; and planning to build a dream house for the family and children. The family believes in the tradition of having a ‘perfect shuruaat’ (perfect beginning) for their future dream house. The video later highlights the process of construction and in sequence it is emphasising the value of ‘Perfect Shuruaat’ through the eyes of a cement bag.

Tarun Singh Chauhan, management advisor and brand consultant, Wonder Cement, said, "Our objective with this campaign was to show that the cement produced at the Wonder Cement plant speaks for itself, its quality, trust and most of all perfection. The only way this was possible was to take the perspective of a cement bag and showing its journey of perfection from beginning till the end."

According to the company, the campaign also marks Wonder Cement being the first ever cement brand to enter the world of IGTV. No other brand in this category has created content specific to the platform.

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In spite of company’s optimism, demand weakness in cement is seen in the 4% y-o-y drop in sales volume. (Reuters)

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Cost cuts and better realizations save? the ?day ?for ?UltraTech Cement, Updated: 27 Jan 2020, Vatsala Kamat from Live Mint

Lower cost of energy and logistics helped Ebitda per tonne rise by about 29% in Q3
Premiumization of acquired brands, synergistic?operations hold promise for future profit growth Topics

UltraTech Cement
India’s largest cement producer UltraTech Cement Ltd turned out a bittersweet show in the December quarter. A sharp drop in fuel costs and higher realizations helped drive profit growth. But the inherent demand weakness was evident in the sales volumes drop during the quarter.

Better realizations during the December quarter, in spite of the 4% year-on-year volume decline, minimized the pain. Net stand-alone revenue fell by 2.6% to ?9,981.8 crore.

But as pointed out earlier, lower costs on most fronts helped profitability. The chart alongside shows the sharp drop in energy costs led by lower petcoke prices, lower fuel consumption and higher use of green power. Logistics costs, too, fell due to lower railway freight charges and synergies from the acquired assets. These savings helped offset the increase in raw material costs.

The upshot: Q3 Ebitda (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) of about ?990 per tonne was 29% higher from a year ago. The jump in profit on a per tonne basis was more or less along expected lines, given the increase in realizations. "Besides, the reduction in net debt by about ?2,000 crore is a key positive," said Binod Modi, analyst at Reliance Securities Ltd.

Graphic by Santosh Sharma/Mint
What also impressed analysts is the nimble-footed integration of the recently merged cement assets of Nathdwara and Century, which was a concern on the Street.

Kunal Shah, analyst (institutional equities) at Yes Securities (India) Ltd, said: "The company has proved its ability of asset integration. Century’s cement assets were ramped up to 79% capacity utilization in December, even as they operated Nathdwara generating an Ebitda of ?1,500 per tonne."

Looks like the demand weakness mirrored in weak sales during the quarter was masked by the deft integration and synergies derived from these acquired assets. This drove UltraTech’s stock up by 2.6% to ?4,643 after the Q3 results were declared on Friday.

Brand transition from Century to UltraTech, which is 55% complete, is likely to touch 80% by September 2020. A report by Jefferies India Pvt. Ltd highlights that the Ebitda per tonne for premium brands is about ?5-10 higher per bag than the average (A cement bag weighs 50kg). Of course, with competition increasing in the arena, it remains to be seen how brand premiumization in the cement industry will pan out. UltraTech Cement scores well among peers here.

However, there are road bumps ahead for the cement sector and for UltraTech. Falling gross domestic product growth, fiscal slippages and lower budgetary allocation to infrastructure sector are making industry houses jittery on growth. Although UltraTech’s management is confident that cement demand is looking up, sustainability and pricing power remains a worry for the near term.

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