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Rerating Quarter

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It’s time to revisit mid-cap stock valuations and there are potential target upgrades over the medium to long term, says VAIBHAV AGARWAL of PhillipCapital India.

Ground checks and interactions with various stakeholders in the cement industry suggest that significant potential upsides exist for mid-cap stocks over the medium to long term. Given a favourable demand scenario, we understand cement prices have been raised across pockets by ~10 per cent and further price hikes of 3-5 per cent cannot be ruled out in May 2017.

After the monsoon arrives, cement prices are unlikely to be increased until the end of H1FY18. Even if prices drop, we expect them to remain 5-6 per cent higher than March prices. The Goods and Services (GST) tax regime is unlikely to make an unfavourable impact on cement prices; if it benefits due to GST, the industry may pass on some of those gains. EBITDA may surge in FY18/19 if robust cement price hikes sustain. Rerating of valuations is imminent for mid-cap stocks and we do not rule out potential target upgrades in the medium to long term.

Positive Volume Commentary
Even assuming flat volumes in Q1, this will be a rerating quarter for the sector. We have seen volume commentary turning positive, but volume concerns persist in a few pockets (Tamil Nadu, Kerala and parts of Central India). Despite assuming flat volume growth for the sector, Q1 earnings are likely to surprise quite positively, driven by price hikes. In a conservative scenario (0 to -5 per cent), year-on-year (y-o-y) volume growth and with the current cement prices, Q1 sectoral EBITDA/tonne is likely to improve by 20-40 per cent quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q), 15-20 per cent y-o-y; absolute EBITDA could shoot up by a minimum of 15-20 per cent. With volumes turning favourable and no rollbacks in cement prices over the next two months, the potential is huge.

Mid-cap cash flows are robust and likely to accelerate debt repayments. Mid-cap stock valuations have always had the overhang of higher debt versus large caps. However, debt repayment for most mid-caps is likely to accelerate in Q1 as the sector sees robust cash generation. This will be a key rerating factor and is likely to drive valuations. We expect good sense will prevail in the sector and players will not rush in with fresh capex announcements.

Players are evolving and this makes prices more stable over the long run. Historically, price hikes have always been a call for concern (break in price discipline). We do not rule out intermittent price disturbances, but we understand that players are evolving.

Stable Pricing
Even newcomers to the industry understand the need for stable prices; they are also debt-ridden and cannot afford to operate in an unfavourable price scenario. This gives us confidence that price hikes are more sustainable than in the past. FY18 should be a turnaround year for stock valuations; we do not rule out the possibility of a partial rollback of the recent price hikes. However, even in a conservative scenario (if only 4-5 per cent price hikes sustain in FY18), EBITDA/tonne has the potential to improve by 10-15 per cent or even higher in certain cases.

Valuation gaps
The largest major of the sector trades at a per tonne valuation of $200, while most mid-caps trade at $70-120. As the scenario turns favourable and as mid-caps get rid of debt faster than expected, this valuation gap could narrow, to say, about 25 per cent discount to large-caps. The potential upsides can be huge.

We do not rule out potential target upgrades in the medium to long term; our current price targets for most mid-caps have built-in target valuations of $70-120/tonne. We see the valuation gap between mid-caps and large caps narrowing as sectoral dynamics turn favourable. We see further re-rating of mid-caps over the medium to long term.

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Concrete

The RAHSTA to Innovation

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As part of the 10th India Construction Festival, the RAHSTA Awards recognised outstanding contributions to the road construction industry.

On October 10, 2024, the RAHSTA Awards were held at the Jio Convention Centre in Mumbai, forming a significant part of the 10th India Construction Festival. This esteemed event serves as a pivotal platform for recognising and honouring outstanding contributions in the road construction industry, particularly those that prioritise sustainability, innovation and excellence.
RAHSTA, an acronym for ‘Roads and Highways Sustainable Technologies & Advancement’, has become synonymous with the promotion of advancements in road construction equipment and technologies. Organised by the FIRST Construction Council, the awards seek to highlight the importance of sustainable practices in infrastructure development and celebrate those organisations that lead the way in this critical area.
At the event, Pratap Padode, Founder, FIRST Construction Council, underscored the importance of skilling the workforce in the construction sector. He pointed out that construction is India’s second-largest employer, with the potential to reach 100 million jobs by 2030. However, he emphasised that a significant portion of this workforce remains unskilled, with 80 per cent of the 70 million workers lacking adequate training.
“To bridge this skill gap, we must incorporate practical orientation in engineering and management courses,” Padode urged. He highlighted the Indian Government’s initiative to onboard 1 crore interns through CSR funding over five years, encouraging construction companies to participate actively
in this programme. By doing so, he said, the industry could not only enhance skill development but also position itself for future growth and sustainability.

The RAHSTA Awards recognised seven outstanding contributions to the road construction sector, celebrating innovations that drive sustainability and efficiency:

  • Award for Highest Standards of Excellence in Road Engineering & Construction: Patel Infrastructure
  • Award for Excellence in Bridge Engineering: L&T Construction, DIAL Phase 3A Project
  • Best Road Financier Award: HDFC Bank
  • Award for Best Use of Waste Material Recycling in Road Construction: Tata Steel
  • Best Digital Technology Award in Road Building: Cube Highways and Transport Assets Advisors
  • Award for Excellence in Project Management: Haryana Rural Road Infrastructure Development Agency
  • Innovation Award in Project Execution:
  • CC Precast Solutions
    Indeed, the RAHSTA Awards 2024 were more than just a ceremony; they represented a vital call to action for the road construction sector in India. By highlighting the importance of sustainability and technological advancement, the awards inspired industry stakeholders to strive for excellence
    and innovation.
    As the event concluded, it left attendees with a renewed sense of purpose and a collective vision for a more sustainable and efficient future in infrastructure development. The RAHSTA Awards stand as a testament to the possibilities that lie ahead when industry leaders come together to embrace change and foster growth.

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Concrete

Equipment India Awards 2024!

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The titans of the construction equipment industry were honoured at the 12th BKT Equipment India Awards 2024.

On October 10, 2024, Mumbai played host to the much-anticipated 12th BKT Equipment India Awards 2024, an event that recognised and celebrated the outstanding achievements within the construction equipment sector. The grand ceremony took place at Jio Convention Centre and was among the highlights of the India Construction Festival, which gathered industry leaders, manufacturers and financiers from across the nation to honour innovation and excellence in this vital sector.
The inaugural addresses set a reflective tone for the evening, emphasising the importance of collaboration and information sharing within the industry. In his opening speech, Pratap Padode, Founder, First Construction Council, remarked, “At Equipment India, we have always tried to enhance the standard of the industry. During this 17th year of our existence, we still find that companies are trying to hide behind a veil as far as the disclosure of factual data is concerned.” His emphasis on transparency resonated with the audience, highlighting the critical need for the construction equipment sector to adopt best practices for data sharing, akin to those seen in the automobile industry.
For his part, Vipin Sondhi, Chairman, RAHSTA Committee, and former MD and CEO, JCB India and Ashok Leyland, also shared optimistic insights, stating, “Today, we celebrate not just the figures but the remarkable individuals behind them – the innovators, manufacturers and teams that push the boundaries of what’s possible.” He highlighted the impressive growth of equipment sales, which saw a 26 per cent increase during FY2023-24, reflecting strong market recovery and renewed confidence.
The 12th BKT Equipment India Awards not only celebrated the achievements of key players in the construction equipment sector but also served as a reminder of the collective effort required to drive the industry forward. The event reaffirmed its commitment to supporting the industry’s ongoing evolution, ensuring that India remains a significant player in the global construction equipment market. With the industry poised to grow at a CAGR of 12 per cent, reaching $25 billion by the end of the decade, the evening left attendees inspired and motivated to continue pushing boundaries in their respective fields.
A significant highlight of the evening was the presentation of the Equipment India Person of the Year 2024 award to Jaideep Shekhar, Managing Director, Terex India. Under his astute leadership, the company has achieved remarkable growth, marked by innovation and a commitment to excellence. The jury praised his strategic vision, which has not only propelled the company’s success but also contributed positively to the broader industry landscape.
Receiving the award, Shekhar expressed heartfelt gratitude, stating, “I’m deeply grateful to the jury and Equipment India for this remarkable honour. This award reflects not only my contributions but also the dedication and hard work of my team. I have been associated with the industry for more than 25 years and this award motivates me to keep pushing boundaries and to lead the growth
with integrity.”
The award presentation was made all the more special by the presence of previous winners of the Equipment India Persons of the Year, including Vipin Sondhi, former MD and CEO, JCB India (Equipment India Person of the Year 2013); Sandeep Singh, Managing Director, Tata Hitachi Construction Machinery (Equipment India Person of the Year 2015); and Dimitrov Krishnan, Managing Director, Volvo Construction Equipment India (Equipment India Person of the Year 2013).
The event also witnessed the recognition of numerous companies across various categories, showcasing the best of the best in the construction equipment sector. Indeed, as the industry gears up for future challenges, the awards stood as a testament to resilience, creativity and the unwavering spirit of collaboration. Together, the participants are set to build a brighter tomorrow for the construction equipment industry in India, fostering innovation and sustainable practices that will serve the nation for years to come.

Winners of the 12th BKT Equipment India Awards

  • Equipment India Person of the Year 2024:Jaideep Shekhar, Managing Director, Terex IndiaGreen Factory of the Year: Tata Hitachi Construction Machinery
  • Best After-Sales Service Provider: Tata Hitachi Construction Machinery
  • Concrete Pumps: Schwing Stetter India
  • Truck Cranes: Sany Heavy Industry India
  • Asphalt Plants: Ammann India
  • Asphalt Finishers: Ammann India
  • Batching Plants: Schwing Stetter India
  • Crawler Cranes: Sany Heavy Industry India
  • Piling Rigs: Sany Heavy Industry India
  • Rigid Dump Trucks: Caterpillar India
  • Motor Graders: Caterpillar India
  • Mini Excavators: Tata Hitachi Construction Machinery
  • Crawler Excavators: Tata Hitachi Construction Machinery
  • Mobile Cranes: Action Construction Equipment
  • Crawler Dozers: BEML
  • Skid-Steer Loaders: Doosan Bobcat India
  • Wheel Loaders: LiuGong India
  • Self-Loading Concrete Mixers: AJAX Engineering
  • Tower Cranes: Action Construction Equipment
  • Compaction Equipment: Case Construction
  • Mobile Cranes: Action Construction Equipment

“I congratulate ASAPP Info Global on the outstanding success of the conference and award shows! It was a privilege to be part of such an insightful session with industry leaders.”
– Sanjay Koul, President- India and South East Asia and Managing Director, Timken India

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22nd CONSTRUCTION WORLD Global Awards Excellence Revisited!

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At the 22nd CONSTRUCTION WORLD Global Awards, over 50 awards in 21categories were presented to industry stalwarts.

The 22nd CONSTRUCTION WORLD Global Awards, was held on October 9 and 10, 2024, at the Jio World Convention Centre, Mumbai, and hosted by infrastructure think-tank FIRST Construction Council in partnership with CONSTRUCTION WORLD (CW) and Equipment India (EI) magazines. Incidentally, the spectacular RAHSTA Expo was India’s first indoor trade fair for construction equipment technology.

Benchmarked to global standards
At the inaugural session, Sanjay Bhatia, Upa-Lokayukta, Government of Maharashtra, along with Vipin Sondhi, Chairman, RAHSTA Expo Committee, and Pratap Padode, Founder, FIRST Construction Council, inaugurated the RAHSTA Expo. Expressing delight at the huge display of construction technology, Bhatia said, “The expo has put the construction industry on an international standard. India is experiencing nation-building at a robust pace and I am truly impressed with the work now being done by our youth with their startups, many of whom are showcasing their innovation here.”

Special bytes
At the 22nd CONSTRUCTION WORLD Global Awards, over 50 awards in 21 categories were presented to over 50 companies.
“I am thrilled to accept this award on behalf of Century Ply,” said Anup Mangaserri, Chief Executive Officer – Laminates, Century Plyboards India.
“It’s an honour to be recognised and I extend my heartfelt thanks.”
“Tata Consulting Engineers has made significant strides in nation-building projects in India and
high-impact engineering efforts abroad,” said BR Parthasarathy, Senior Vice President and Head – Infrastructure Cluster, Tata Consulting Engineers (TCE), sharing his pride in receiving the ENR Award. “This recognition underscores our global capabilities and we are honoured to be part of this journey.”
For his part, Sarat Chandak, CEO, H&R Johnson, said, “We are truly delighted to receive this award as the most admired brand in the construction world. This recognition reflects the dedication and hard work of the brand over its six-year journey in India. Thank you for acknowledging our efforts.”
And Sandeep Desai, Executive Director, and Ananta Rayaprolu, Director, Afcons Infrastructure, noted, “This is a proud moment for the entire Afcons team to have this particular trophy and prestigious award. Afcons has always been at the forefront of extreme engineering, and we are really happy for this acknowledgment, which motivates us to continue pushing the boundaries of innovation.”
Joining the chorus of gratitude, Manish Kumar, Executive Vice President, ITD Cementation, stated, “It is an incredible honour to receive this award and to be here for this event, which is very well organised. Being recognised among the best of our peers in the industry is truly a privilege. I accept this on behalf of my team and company and we are deeply grateful for this recognition.”
Many winners addressed the efforts that led to their recognition. “We are extremely proud and thankful that our founder has received the CW Person of the Year (Private Sector) award,” said Hardik Agrawal, Director, Dineshchandra Agrawal (DRAIPL). “This recognition reflects the relentless efforts of the entire Dinesh Chandra Group. We are deeply motivated by this honour and we thank the CONSTRUCTION WORLD Global Awards for this acknowledgment.” And Lalit Chhabra, Managing Director, PINI India, added, “It is a tremendous honour to receive this award. We are delighted that our global efforts have been recognised. This is a testament to what we have done in the past and our hard work. We look forward to improving our ranking in the years to come.”
Sharing his excitement, Ryoya Watanabe,
Senior Manager – BD & Marketing Division, Nippon Koei India, said, “We are headquartered in Tokyo and I am excited and honoured to accept this prestigious award. Thank you very much for this recognition.”
Meanwhile, Saji Samuel, Executive Vice President (Long Products), JSW Steel, brought the conversation around to India’s bright future. “I feel elated with this award because this is going to propel India into a five trillion-dollar economy as quickly as possible,” he remarked. “I wish CONSTRUCTION WORLD all the very best and hope many new companies will participate in this event going forward. I feel very proud to hold this trophy in my hand on behalf of my company.”
This collection of leaders from different sectors was a showcase of the diversity and excellence celebrated by these prestigious awards, marking significant milestones in their respective industries.
As Rajiv Poddar, Managing Director, BKT, observed, “India Construction Festival 2024 has once again proven to be an invaluable platform for the construction equipment industry. The convergence of innovative ideas and collaborative efforts showcased here reflects our collective commitment to growth and excellence. Congratulations to ASAPP Info Global for orchestrating such a successful event and to all the award winners – your achievements are a testament to the bright future of our industry.”

An event to remember Another highlight of the event was the launch of Pratap Padode’s book, Tarmac to Towers – India’s Infrastructure Story.
Indeed, in keeping with tradition, the annual CWGA Awards ceremony was a memorable celebration of architectural achievements and a platform for dialogue on critical issues affecting the construction industry.

 

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