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Ready for the juggler’s act?

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Trade pundits had predicted a slow season for cement in the second quarter of 2022, primarily due to a decrease in construction activities. While cement companies were forewarned, what they did not expect was a severe cost inflation to make a grand entrance. This has negatively affected the profit margins for the September quarter. Increased input costs and straggling prices caused the tectonic plates of market dynamics to clash, resulting in a disheartening quarterly performance.
But the industry is not one to let setbacks derail its momentum. Most cement companies reported multi-year low margins, in terms of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) per tonne. However, once the monsoon season was behind us, and construction restarted in earnest, they were quick to recover. The following quarter is witnessing a rise in cement prices across the country, excepting parts of central India. Although the market response has not been as enthusiastic as it was in the previous year’s festive period, certain corrections are definitely being made. One of the important factors of these economic corrections is softening of input prices such as coal and pet coke. This combined with increase in cement prices can translate into a positive outlook for the cement sector in the current quarter. However, there is the big bull’ called ‘demand’ still to contend with! Softening of input costs and rising cement prices aren’t enough to bring the margins out of the red. The third ball that cement companies have to juggle with is the demand for cement.
To understand the demand quotient, we need to look at the socio-political scenario of our country. With the next general elections looming in 2024, the central government is likely to expedite several turnkey projects like the ones under the Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana (PMAY)-Gramin. With the government likely to allocate an additional Rs.28,000 crore for the flagship rural housing programme, the social-political ball in this juggling act is likely to be the top most. Moreover, as the Russia-Ukraine war continues, there is the energy price volatility to contend with. And with that we have another ball to juggle!
Cement stocks’ performance largely depends on the growth of the economy as they are cyclical in nature. Cement companies are investing heavily in capex, thereby boosting the investor’s confidence.
With our expert eyes focussed on the economic trends of the cement industry, we are optimistically watching cement companies perform a juggling act by keeping the balls of input costs, demand, prices and socio-political influences, firmly in the air.

Concrete

Indian Railways Plans Green Fly Ash Transport Network

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Specialised rail logistics will move fly ash from power plants to infrastructure industries.

New Delhi

Indian Railways is planning a large-scale green logistics initiative to transport fly ash from thermal power plants to industries where it can be reused in infrastructure and construction activities.

The initiative was discussed during a review meeting chaired by Union Minister for Railways Ashwini Vaishnaw. Union Ministers of State for Railways V Somanna and Ravneet Singh Bittu were also present.

India generates nearly 340 million tonnes of fly ash every year from thermal power plants. The proposed initiative aims to create an efficient rail-based transport system using specialised containers and dedicated logistics arrangements to move fly ash safely from power plants to end-use industries.

Fly ash is widely used in road construction, cement manufacturing, brick production, concrete, blocks and boards. By improving its movement through the railway network, the initiative is expected to support better utilisation of this industrial by-product while reducing environmental concerns linked to storage and disposal.

The move also aligns with India’s circular economy goals by converting waste from thermal power generation into a useful raw material for the construction and infrastructure sectors. Wider availability of fly ash can help reduce material costs in areas such as bricks and cement, supporting more affordable infrastructure and housing development.

Through this initiative, Indian Railways aims to provide a cleaner, safer and more organised transport solution for fly ash, turning an environmental challenge into an infrastructure resource.

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Concrete

ACC To Expand Cement Capacity Amid Strong Infrastructure Demand

Chairman signals calibrated growth and sustainability focus

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ACC will continue to expand its cement capacity in a calibrated manner, deepen its ready-mix concrete (RMC) footprint and accelerate the adoption of low-carbon technologies, the company chairman conveyed in the latest annual report. The note emphasised a balanced and disciplined approach as the business pursues growth while maintaining environmental safeguards.

He argued that the long-term growth outlook for the Indian economy remains strong but that demand conditions in the near term were likely to stay moderate, necessitating cautious expansion. He pointed to India’s relatively low per capita cement consumption compared with global averages as an indicator of significant long-term potential and highlighted the rise in public capital expenditure to Rs 12 trillion (Rs 12 tn), which he said accounted for about four point four per cent of the GDP.

Against this backdrop, ACC and the wider Adani Cement business are positioning themselves as integrated building materials solution providers rather than traditional commodity suppliers, prioritising capability creation over consolidation. The chairman framed cement as the ingredient and concrete as the performance and said that infrastructure and real estate development increasingly demand engineered solutions delivered at site.

He described how deeper integration across energy, logistics and digital systems is intended to improve responsiveness and efficiency across manufacturing, transport and market operations. The company intends to strengthen technical engagement, mix optimisation and application support to improve project timelines, reduce wastage and enhance structural durability while embedding data analytics and predictive systems.

On sustainability, ACC affirmed its commitment to reducing its environmental footprint through greater use of blended cement, renewable energy, alternative fuels and improved thermal efficiency, presenting industrial growth and environmental responsibility as parallel objectives. The message positioned the group to supply engineered concrete solutions at the point of application as it scales capacity and service offerings.

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Ambuja Sees Cement Demand Easing To Around Five Per Cent In FY27

Company Cites Housing, Infrastructure And Government Capex

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Ambuja Cements has said in its latest annual report that cement demand in India is likely to moderate to around five per cent in fiscal year twenty seven, marking a slowdown from the estimated six point five to seven point five per cent growth anticipated for fiscal year twenty six. The company described this as a transition to a more measured pace of expansion after several years of strong momentum in the sector.

It said that underlying demand drivers such as housing, infrastructure development, urbanisation and government capital expenditure remain intact and are expected to sustain cement consumption across regions. The report noted that global geopolitical uncertainties and weather risks, including forecasts of a below normal monsoon, could influence near term demand, while emphasising that the longer term infrastructure story for India continues to provide a solid foundation for the sector.

Industry observers have said that the sector may move towards mid single digit growth rates in fiscal year twenty seven after stronger performances in recent years. The company outlined a calibrated expansion strategy with capacity additions phased to match project pipelines, regional demand patterns and market absorption, seeking to avoid oversupply and pressure on pricing.

Ambuja has crossed the 100 million tonnes per annum capacity milestone (100 mn t per annum) following acquisitions and organic expansion, strengthening its position in the competitive market. The outlook in the report broadly aligns with other market assessments that placed demand at around five per cent in fiscal year twenty five, a recovery to six point five to seven point five per cent in fiscal year twenty six and an easing in fiscal year twenty seven as capacity increases. Executives remain focused on long term demand fundamentals driven by infrastructure and housing.

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