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Concrete

Ready for the juggler’s act?

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Trade pundits had predicted a slow season for cement in the second quarter of 2022, primarily due to a decrease in construction activities. While cement companies were forewarned, what they did not expect was a severe cost inflation to make a grand entrance. This has negatively affected the profit margins for the September quarter. Increased input costs and straggling prices caused the tectonic plates of market dynamics to clash, resulting in a disheartening quarterly performance.
But the industry is not one to let setbacks derail its momentum. Most cement companies reported multi-year low margins, in terms of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) per tonne. However, once the monsoon season was behind us, and construction restarted in earnest, they were quick to recover. The following quarter is witnessing a rise in cement prices across the country, excepting parts of central India. Although the market response has not been as enthusiastic as it was in the previous year’s festive period, certain corrections are definitely being made. One of the important factors of these economic corrections is softening of input prices such as coal and pet coke. This combined with increase in cement prices can translate into a positive outlook for the cement sector in the current quarter. However, there is the big bull’ called ‘demand’ still to contend with! Softening of input costs and rising cement prices aren’t enough to bring the margins out of the red. The third ball that cement companies have to juggle with is the demand for cement.
To understand the demand quotient, we need to look at the socio-political scenario of our country. With the next general elections looming in 2024, the central government is likely to expedite several turnkey projects like the ones under the Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana (PMAY)-Gramin. With the government likely to allocate an additional Rs.28,000 crore for the flagship rural housing programme, the social-political ball in this juggling act is likely to be the top most. Moreover, as the Russia-Ukraine war continues, there is the energy price volatility to contend with. And with that we have another ball to juggle!
Cement stocks’ performance largely depends on the growth of the economy as they are cyclical in nature. Cement companies are investing heavily in capex, thereby boosting the investor’s confidence.
With our expert eyes focussed on the economic trends of the cement industry, we are optimistically watching cement companies perform a juggling act by keeping the balls of input costs, demand, prices and socio-political influences, firmly in the air.

Concrete

Construction Costs Rise 11% in 2024, Driven by Labour Expenses

Cement Prices Decline 15%, But Labour Costs Surge by 25%

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The cost of construction in India increased by 11% over the past year, primarily driven by a 25% rise in labour expenses, according to Colliers India. While prices of key materials like cement dropped by 15% and steel saw a marginal 1% decrease, the surge in labour costs stretched construction budgets across sectors.

“Labour, which constitutes over a quarter of construction costs, has seen significant inflation due to the demand for skilled workers and associated training and compliance costs,” said Badal Yagnik, CEO of Colliers India.

The residential segment experienced the sharpest cost escalation due to a growing focus on quality construction and demand for gated communities. Meanwhile, commercial and industrial real estate remained resilient, with 37 million square feet of office space and 22 million square feet of warehousing space completed in the first nine months of 2024.

“Despite rising costs, investments in automation and training are helping developers address manpower challenges and streamline project timelines,” said Vimal Nadar, senior director at Colliers India.

With labour costs continuing to influence overall construction expenses, developers are exploring strategies to optimize operations and mitigate rising costs.

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Concrete

Swiss Steel to Cut 800 Jobs

Job cuts due to weak demand

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Swiss Steel has announced plans to cut 800 jobs as part of a restructuring effort, triggered by weak demand in the global steel market. The company, a major player in the European steel industry, cited an ongoing slowdown in demand as the primary reason behind the workforce reduction. These job cuts are expected to impact various departments across its operations, including production and administrative functions.

The steel industry has been facing significant challenges due to reduced demand from key sectors such as construction and automotive manufacturing. Additionally, the broader economic slowdown in Europe, coupled with rising energy costs, has further strained the profitability of steel producers like Swiss Steel. In response to these conditions, the company has decided to streamline its operations to ensure long-term sustainability.

Swiss Steel’s decision to cut jobs is part of a broader trend in the steel industry, where companies are adjusting to volatile market conditions. The move is aimed at reducing operational costs and improving efficiency, but it highlights the continuing pressures faced by the manufacturing sector amid uncertain global economic conditions.

The layoffs are expected to occur across Swiss Steel’s production facilities and corporate offices, as the company focuses on consolidating its workforce. Despite these cuts, Swiss Steel plans to continue its efforts to innovate and adapt to market demands, with an emphasis on high-value, specialty steel products.

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Concrete

UltraTech Cement to raise Rs 3,000 crore via NCDs to boost financial flexibility

UltraTech reported a 36% year-on-year (YoY) decline in net profit, dropping to Rs 825 crore

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UltraTech Cement, the Aditya Birla Group’s flagship company, has announced plans to raise up to Rs 3,000 crore through the private placement of non-convertible debentures (NCDs) in one or more tranches. The move aims to strengthen the company’s financial position amid increasing competition in the cement sector.

UltraTech’s finance committee has approved the issuance of rupee-denominated, unsecured, redeemable, and listed NCDs. The company has experienced strong stock performance, with its share price rising 22% over the past year, boosting its market capitalization to approximately Rs 3.1 lakh crore.

For Q2 FY2025, UltraTech reported a 36% year-on-year (YoY) decline in net profit, dropping to Rs 825 crore, below analyst expectations. Revenue for the quarter also fell 2% YoY to Rs 15,635 crore, and EBITDA margins contracted by 300 basis points. Despite this, the company saw a 3% increase in domestic sales volume, supported by lower energy costs.

In a strategic move, UltraTech invested Rs 3,954 crore for a 32.7% equity stake in India Cements, further solidifying its position in South India. UltraTech holds an 11% market share in the region, while competitor Adani holds 6%. UltraTech also secured $500 million through a sustainability-linked loan, underscoring its focus on sustainable growth driven by infrastructure and housing demand.

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