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Decline of PE Investments in Real Estate | A reality or an illusion?

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Amid concerns over the decline (5 per cent YOY in FY18) in private equity (PE) investments entering India, the impact on real estate appears to be nearly four-folds higher (19 per cent YOY). While the numbers spin a gloomy picture for inflows, a detailed analysis reveals that large one-off deals such as the Hiranandani – Brookfield deal and the DLF-GIC deal skewed the numbers in FY17. Therefore, it might be incorrect to believe that PE investments in FY 18 are on a declining trend. This whitepaper is an attempt to capture the true picture of PE capital in Indian realty and looks at the quintessential question – is the decline of PE investments in real estate a reality or an illusion?
The lifeline of capital movement, PE investments in India, saw a slowdown in FY18 following the staggering growth trajectory over the recent past. While overall PE investments dropped by 5 per cent YOY, funds foraying into the real estate sector declined by significant 19 per cent YOY during this period. Investments in sectors other than realty however, held steady.Did investments into real estate actually decline?
At one glance, the decline of 19 per cent YOY in investments could reflect turbulence in the real estate sector. But when we delve deeper and dissect the flow of funds, it provides a different picture. During FY17, there have been several large ticket brownfield transactions particularly in commercial real estate covering office and retail assets (malls). For example, the $1.4 billion DLF-GIC deal and $1 billion Hiranandani-Brookfield deal which elevated the total investments for FY17. Such transactions do not happen often due to the sheer size of assets that are involved in the transactions, as those assets have a long gestation period and take more than a decade to mature and become operationally efficient.
If we look at table 2, the PE investments have been on an increasing trend since FY15 and the strong momentum which was observed in FY17 has sustained in FY18.Commercial r.e. more attractive for equity investments
The structural reforms introduced by the government over the past 2-3 years have helped the real estate sector in India to move towards a relatively transparent environment. This transformation has attracted a significant number of organised players. The process is still on and shall stabilize in short to medium term. We believe that the reforms have brought in a paradigm shift in the sector and made it more conducive for investors. Taking cognizance of these reforms, investors have invested around USD 24 billion in the form of debt and equity into real estate since FY15.
Among the asset classes, residential sector is reeling under pressure for the last 3-4 years but commercial real estate is moving from strength to strength. While the office market is maintaining its robust annual transaction volumes, retail spaces, particularly select shopping centres in tier I and II cities are catching the attention of international funds. Warehousing is one of the most promising sectors in India. The implementation of the Goods and Services Act (GST), continued government focus on building industrial corridors and the unabated growth of the Indian consumption market have whipped up the growth potential of the sector.
While the PE investments into residential asset between FY15 and FY18 were primarily in the form of structured debt courtesy inherent risk of the sector, those into commercial assets were in the form of equity. Out of $24 billion, around $10 billion (42 per cent) was in the form of equity investments into commercial assets such as prime office assets and select retail malls.
The last couple of years have seen unprecedented interest for good quality rent yielding office and retail assets in cities across India among global financial institutions such as the private equity giants, sovereign funds and wealth funds. This demand coupled with scarcity in supply of good quality assets, strong performance of the office sector, reduced interest rate regime, decline in risk expectations on account of reforms and a strong bench of long term investors did result in compression of capitalisation (cap) rate for good quality commercial assets from 9-11 per cent to 7.5-9 per cent during the last three to four years.Would the cap rate compression in commercial assets continue?
Despite the compression in cap rates, investors’ appetite for quality space seems undeterred. Investors entering the market today are expecting the cap rates to compress further up to 150 bps in the years to come. The projections are also in sync with the estimated exit time. They are hoping to get dual benefits – primarily from the growth in rental income and secondly from compression in cap rates.
On the rental front, we are optimistic about the growth prospects, as there has been a significant crunch in the supply of good quality office space across major cities in India. Vacancy rates in some of the most sought after business districts in India such as the Bandra-Kurla Complex, Lower Parel in Mumbai, Outer Ring Road in Bengaluru and DLF Cyber City in NCR have shrunk to single digit levels. These prime business districts have limited scope for substantial new supply. The supply crunch coupled with strong occupier demand has been driving up the rentals for good quality office space. With business environment in India improving and the country’s GDP growth rate expected to improve in the coming years, the occupier demand would strengthen. This would provide tailwinds for future office rental growth.
The oversupply of retail assets (malls) coupled by strata title sales of malls in India led to underperformance and closure of a large number of properties. Select retail assets which survived and were successful are witnessing strong occupier demand and rental growth. These particular retail assets are attracting investors’ attention at par with or in some cases higher than that witnessed in case for office assets. The demand is primarily driven by scope for better rental growth. Unlike office assets, which generally have a standard rental appreciation clause of 15 per cent every three years on the base rent, retail assets come with revenue sharing opportunities, in addition to the escalation on base rent. There is a significant potential for mall revenues to grow on account of the rising consumer demand and ongoing structural changes taking shape in select malls to accommodate new anchors and entertainment options in order to remain relevant against the competition from online retail. Hence, with respect to the expectation of rental growth in office and retail assets the investors would be able to achieve their desired objective.
However, with respect to expectations of cap rate compression, one needs to be cautious. Globally, the days of zero/low interest rates regimes are coming towards an end. The U.S. fed has ended its quantitative easing program and has already hiked the rates several times and has indicated of more hikes in the coming years. This has led to increase in cost of funds globally. Even in India the reducing interest rate regime prevailing for the last three years is likely to end soon and so is the case with Government Securities (G-sec) yields.
We believe that our economy is at the bottom of the current interest rate cycle and going forward the rates would start hardening. The government breaching of fiscal deficit targets currently, have already put upwards pressure on G-sec yields. Further additional factors such as expectation of higher inflation, weakened capital reserve position of banks owing to NPAs, treasury losses on bank’s G-sec holdings and the early sign of pick up in credit growth have been pushing banks to raise lending rates. With election in several states and the general election approaching, the volatility would be higher in the next two years.
While it is too early to comment on the extent of rise in lending rates and G-sec yields, in the short term they are likely to have an impact on the current trend of cap rate compression. If the rise in lending rates and G-sec goes up beyond 100-150 bps the expectation of returns from real estate investments would go up. Thus, particularly in the short-term, the case for cap rate compression would weaken and it may hold steady or increase marginally to keep the spread constant. Overall the institutional investor may have to rely more on rental growth to make up for their expected returns from their investments in the near future.
When it comes to long-term perspective, India’s macro-economic fundamentals and GDP growth outlook remain strong on the back of settling of the ongoing structural reforms and completion of mega infrastructure projects in the next five years. In turn, as the economy matures the perceived risk pertaining to invest in India is likely to come down. With the Reserve Bank of India’s continuous focus on keeping the inflation under 4 per cent and government’s efforts for fiscal consolidation, the cap rates are going to see required compression. Hence, investors with longer investment horizons like endowment funds, sovereign funds, pension funds and insurance companies would achieve returns at par with their expectations. A note of caution: unforeseen catastrophe like global financial crisis of 2007-08 should not repeat, current low intensity trade war should not exacerbate
and India should have a stable government beyond 2019.

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Concrete

The primary high-power applications are fans and mills

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Alex Nazareth, Whole-time Director and CEO, Innomotics India, explains how plants can achieve both cost competitiveness and sustainability by lowering emissions, reducing downtime and planning for significant power savings.

As one of the most energy-intensive industries, cement manufacturing faces growing pressure to optimise power consumption, reduce emissions and improve operational reliability. Technology providers like Innomotics India are enabling this transformation by combining advanced motors, AI-driven digital solutions and intelligent monitoring systems that enhance process stability and reduce energy costs. From severe duty motors built for extreme kiln environments to DigiMine AI solutions that optimise pyro and mill operations, Alex Nazareth, Whole-time Director and CEO, Innomotics India, explains how the company is helping cement plants achieve measurable energy savings while moving closer to their sustainability goals.

How does your Energy Performance Contracting model typically reduce power consumption in cement plants—e.g., MWh saved?
Our artificial intelligence-based DigiMine AI Pyro and Mill solutions developed specifically for the cement industry, supports our customers in improving their process stability, productivity and process efficiency. In Pyro, this is achieved by optimising fuel consumption (Coal / AFR), reducing Specific Heat Consumption and reduction in emissions (CO2, SOx and NOx) through continuous monitoring of thermodynamics in pyro and recommending set-points of crucial parameters in advance for maintaining stable operations.
Within the mill, this is achieved by improving throughput, reduce energy / power consumption and maintaining stable operations on a continuous basis. Our ROI-based value proposition captures the project KPIs like reduction of coal usage, increase of AFR, reduction of specific heat consumption (Kcal / Kg), reduction of specific power consumption (KWH / tonne), reduction of emissions, etc., by a specific percentage. This gives clarity to our customers to understand the investment vis-à-vis savings and estimate the recovery time of their investment, which typically is achieved within one year of DigiMine AI Pyro and Mill solutions implementation.

What role do digitalisation and motor monitoring play in overall plant energy optimisation?
Motors are being used extensively in cement production, and their monitoring play crucial role in ensuring continuous operation of applications. The monitoring system can automatically generate alerts for any anomaly / abnormalities in motor parameters, which allows plant team to take corrective actions and avoid any major equipment damage and breakdown. The alerts help maintenance team to plan maintenance schedule and related activity efficiently. Centralised and organised data gives overview to the engineers for day-to-day activities. Cement is amongst the top energy intensive industries in comparison to other industries. Hence, it becomes critically important to optimise efficiency, productivity and up-time of plant equipment. Motor monitoring and digitalisation plays a vital role in it. Monitoring and control of multiple applications and areas
within the plant or multiple plants becomes possible with digitalisation.
Digitalisation adds a layer on top of OT systems, bringing machine and process data onto a single interface. This solves the challenges such as system silo, different communications protocol, databases and most importantly, creates a common definition and measurement to plant KPIs. Relevant stakeholders, such as engineers, head of departments and plant heads, can see accurate information, analyse it and make better decisions with appropriate timing. In doing so, plant teams can take proactive actions before machine breakdown, enable better coordination during maintenance activities while improving operational efficiency and productivity.
Further using latest technologies like Artificial Intelligence can even assist operators in running their plant with minimal requirement of human intervention, which allows operators to utilise their time in focusing on more critical topics like analysing data to identify further improvements in operation.

Which of your high-efficiency IEC low-voltage motors deliver the best energy savings for cement mills or fans?
Innomotics India offers a range of IEC-compliant low-voltage motors engineered to deliver superior performance and energy savings, particularly for applications such as cement mills, large fans, and blowers. Innomotics has the complete range of IE4 motors from 0.37kW to 1000kW to meet the demands of cement industry. The IE5 range is also available for specific requirements.

Can safe area motors operate safely and efficiently in cement kiln environments?
Yes, safe area motors are designed to operate reliably in these environments without the risk of overheating. These motors have ingress protection that prevents dust, moisture ingress and can withstand mechanical stress. These motors are available in IE3 / IE4 efficiency classes thereby ensuring lower energy consumption during continuous operation. These motors comply with relevant Indian as well as international standards.

How do your SD Severe Duty motors contribute to lower emissions and lower cost in heavy duty cement applications?
Severe duty motors enhances energy efficiency and durability in demanding cement applications, directly contributing to lower emissions and operational costs. With high-efficiency ratings (such as IE3 or better), they reduce power consumption, minimising CO2 output from energy use. Their robust design handles extreme heat, dust and vibration—common in cement environments—ensuring reliable performance and fewer energy losses.
These motors also lower the total cost of ownership by reducing downtime, maintenance and replacement frequency. Their extended service life and minimal performance degradation help cement plants meet sustainability targets, comply with emissions regulations and improve overall energy management—all while keeping production consistent and cost-effective.

What pump, fan or compressor drive upgrades have shown approximately 60 per cent energy savings in industrial settings and can be replicated in cement plants?
In the cement industry, the primary high-power applications are fans and mills. Among these, fans have the greatest potential for energy savings. Examples, the pre-heater fan, bag house fan, and cooler fans. When there are variations in airflow or the need to maintain a constant pressure in a process, using a variable speed drive (VSD) system is a more effective option for starting and controlling these fans. This adaptive approach can lead to significant energy savings. For instance, vanes and dampers can remain open while the variable frequency drive and motor system manage airflow regulation efficiently.

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Concrete

We conduct regular internal energy audits

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Shaping the future of low-carbon cement production involves integrating renewables, digitalisation and innovative technologies. Uma Suryam, SVP and Head Manufacturing – Northern Region, Nuvoco Vistas, gives us a detailed account of how.

In an industry where energy consumption can account for a significant portion of operating costs, cement manufacturers are under increasing pressure to adopt sustainable practices without compromising efficiency. Nuvoco Vistas has taken a decisive step in this direction, leveraging digitalisation, renewable energy and innovative technologies to drive energy efficiency across its operations. In this exclusive conversation, Uma Suryam, SVP and Head Manufacturing – Northern Region, Nuvoco Vistas, shares its approach to energy management, challenges of modernising brownfield plants and its long-term roadmap to align efficiency with India’s net-zero vision.

How has your company improved energy efficiency over the past five years?
Over the past five years, we have prioritised energy conservation by enhancing operational efficiency and scaling up renewable energy adoption. Through strategic fuel mix optimisation, deployment of cleaner technologies, and greater integration of renewables, we have steadily reduced our environmental footprint while meeting energy needs sustainably.
Technological upgrades across our plants have further strengthened efficiency. These include advanced process control systems, enhanced trend analysis, grinding media optimisation and the integration of solar-powered utilities. Importantly, grid integration at our key plants has delivered significant cost savings and streamlined energy management.
A notable milestone has been the expansion of our solar power capacity and Waste Heat Recovery Systems (WHRS). Our solar power capacity has grown from 1.5 MW in FY 2021–22 to 5.5 MW, while our WHRS capacity has increased from 44.7 MW to 49 MW, underscoring our commitment to sustainable energy solutions.

What technologies or practices have shown the highest energy-saving potential in cement production?
One of our most significant achievements in advancing energy efficiency has been the successful commissioning of a 132 KV Grid Integration Project, which unified three of our major manufacturing units under a single power network. This milestone, enabled by a dedicated transmission line and a state-of-the-art Line-In Line-Out (LILO) substation, has transformed our energy management and operational capabilities.
With this integration, we have substantially reduced our contract demand, eliminated power disruptions, and enhanced operational continuity. Supported by an optical fibre network for real-time communication and automation, this project stands as a testament to our innovation-led manufacturing excellence and underscores Nuvoco’s vision of building a safer, smarter, and sustainable world.

What role does digitalisation play in achieving energy efficiency in your operations?
Digitalisation plays a transformative role in driving energy efficiency across our operations. At Nuvoco, we are leveraging cutting-edge technologies and advanced digital tools to enhance productivity, optimise energy consumption and strengthen our commitment to sustainability and employee safety.
We are developing AI-enabled dashboards to optimise WHRS and kiln operations, ensuring maximum efficiency. Additionally, our advanced AI models evaluate multiple operational parameters — including fuel pricing, moisture content and energy output — to identify the most cost-effective fuel combinations in real time. These initiatives are enabling data-driven decision-making, improving operational excellence and reducing our environmental footprint.

What is your long-term strategy for aligning energy efficiency with decarbonisation goals?
As part of India’s climate action agenda, the cement sector has laid out a clear decarbonisation roadmap to achieve net-zero CO2 emissions by 2070. At Nuvoco, we view this as both a responsibility and an opportunity to redefine the future of sustainable construction. Our long-term strategy focuses on aligning energy efficiency with decarbonisation goals by embracing innovative technologies, alternative raw materials and renewable energy solutions.
We are making strategic investments to scale up solar power installations and enhance our renewable energy mix significantly by 2028. These initiatives are a key part of our broader vision to reduce Scope 2 emissions and strengthen our contribution to India’s net-zero journey, while continuing to deliver innovative and sustainable solutions to our customers.

How do you measure and benchmark energy performance across different plants?
We adopt a comprehensive approach to measure and benchmark energy performance across our plants. Key metrics include Specific Heat Consumption (kCal/kg of clinker) and Specific Power Consumption (kWh/tonne of cement), which are continuously tracked against Best Available Technology (BAT) benchmarks, industry peers and global standards such as the WBCSD-CSI and CII benchmarks.
To ensure consistency and drive improvements, we conduct regular internal energy audits, leverage real-time dashboards and implement robust KPI tracking systems. These tools enable us to compare performance across plants effectively, identify optimisation opportunities and set actionable targets for energy efficiency and sustainability.

What are the key challenges in adopting energy-efficient equipment in brownfield cement plants?
Adopting energy-efficient technologies in brownfield cement plants presents a unique set of challenges due to the constraints of working within existing infrastructure. Firstly, the high capital expenditure and relatively long payback periods often require careful evaluation before investments are made. Additionally, integrating new technologies with legacy equipment can be complex, requiring significant customisation to ensure seamless compatibility and performance.
Another major challenge is minimising production disruptions during installation. Since brownfield plants are already operational, upgrades must be planned meticulously to avoid affecting output. In many cases, space constraints in older facilities add to the difficulty of accommodating advanced equipment without compromising existing layouts.
At Nuvoco, we address these challenges through a phased implementation approach, detailed project planning and by fostering a culture of innovation and collaboration across our plants. This helps us balance operational continuity with our commitment to driving energy efficiency and sustainability.

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Concrete

Digitalisation is pivotal in driving energy efficiency

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As energy costs continue to dominate the cement industry, efficiency and sustainability are proving to be vital components. MM Rathi, Joint President, Power Management, Shree Cement, explains the company’s long-term strategy is focused on cutting emissions while powering growth with renewable energy solutions.

Energy efficiency has always been a cost-saving lever for the cement industry. Today, it is the backbone of sustainability and competitiveness. Cement manufacturers are under growing pressure to optimise consumption, diversify power sources and align with decarbonisation targets. Shree Cement has been at the forefront of this transformation, significantly scaling up its green power capacity and embedding advanced technologies across operations. In this exclusive conversation, MM Rathi, Joint President – Power Management, Shree Cement, shares insights on the company’s approach to energy efficiency, challenges in brownfield modernisation and long-term strategies for achieving net zero alignment.

What percentage of your total operational cost is attributed to energy consumption?
At Shree Cement, energy is one of the most significant components of production cost, accounting for nearly 30 per cent to 40 per cent of total operational expenses. Within this, thermal energy typically contributes around 20 per cent to 25 per cent, while electrical energy forms about 10 per cent to 15 per cent. The exact share varies depending on factors such as the fuel mix (coal, pet coke or alternative fuels and raw materials), the power source (grid-based or captive like solar, wind or thermal), raw mix quality, and regional fuel and electricity price variations. This makes energy efficiency and the adoption of sustainable power sources a key focus area, both from a cost and sustainability perspective.

How has your company improved energy efficiency over the past five years?
Over the past five years, Shree Cement has consistently invested in enhancing energy efficiency across operations. Our green power capacity, covering wind, solar and Waste Heat Recovery (WHR), has more than doubled from 245 MW in 2020 to 592 MW in 2025. All grinding units are now equipped with biomass firing facilities, reducing dependence on conventional fuels. From the project stage itself, we prioritise efficiency by selecting advanced technologies such as six-stage kilns with integrated WHR, CFD-designed plants, and equipment fitted with VFDs, centrifugal compressors and high-efficiency fans. We also review and upgrade equipment systematically, replacing fans, compressors, blowers, pumps, boilers and turbines with more efficient options. This continuous approach has reduced costs while significantly advancing our sustainability journey.
What technologies or practices have shown the highest energy-saving potential in cement production?
WHR stands out as one of the most effective solutions, offsetting a significant portion of electricity required for clinker production. Hot air recirculation has also proven highly beneficial in reducing heat losses. Additionally, regular energy audits help us identify opportunities for improvement and implement corrective measures in daily operations. Together, these practices play a critical role in optimising energy efficiency and driving sustainable operations.

What are the key challenges in adopting energy-efficient equipment in brownfield cement plants?
The biggest challenge is the significant upfront investment required for upgradation. Retrofitting existing facilities often involves complex civil and structural modifications, which add costs and extend downtime. Integration is another hurdle, as new high-efficiency equipment may not align seamlessly with older kiln systems, fans, mills or automation setups. These factors make the transition in brownfield plants more resource-intensive and time-consuming compared to greenfield projects.

How do you measure and benchmark energy performance across different plants?
We track key performance indicators such as specific heat consumption and specific power consumption for each unit, benchmarking them against internal and external standards. Thermal Substitution Rate (TSR percentage) is another critical metric, measuring the share of alternative fuels in the thermal energy mix. Internally, we benchmark performance across plants to encourage best practice sharing. Externally, we compare against national averages and align with the Bureau of Energy Efficiency’s PAT (Perform, Achieve, Trade) scheme, which sets Specific Energy Consumption (SEC) baselines and targets for cement plants. This multi-layered approach ensures continuous monitoring, improvement, and industry leadership in energy efficiency.

What role does digitalisation play in achieving energy efficiency in your operations?
Digitalisation is pivotal in driving energy efficiency at Shree Cement. IoT sensors integrated with SCADA and DCS systems allow real-time monitoring of parameters like heat consumption and energy use, moving beyond periodic reports. Our digital platforms consolidate plant data, enabling management to compare metrics such as SPC, SHC, kWh per tonne and kcal per kg across units in real time. This visibility supports data-driven decisions, faster corrective actions, and higher operational efficiency.

How do government policies and incentives influence your energy-saving decisions?
Government policies and incentives strongly shape our energy-saving decisions. The Perform, Achieve, Trade (PAT) scheme sets plant-specific SEC targets. Non-compliance incurs penalties, while compliance earns tradable energy-saving certificates. This ensures energy efficiency is both cost-driven and regulatory. Additionally, subsidies and viability gap funding for renewable energy projects in wind, solar and AFR co-processing help reduce payback periods and make energy-saving investments more viable.

What is your long-term strategy for aligning energy efficiency with decarbonisation goals?
Our long-term strategy aligns energy efficiency with India’s net zero 2070 goals. Key levers include improving efficiency, expanding green electricity, producing more blended cement, and increasing alternative fuel use. Today, more than 60 per cent of our electricity comes from green sources such as solar, wind, and WHR, the highest in India’s cement industry. Our blended cement products, which reduce limestone and fuel consumption, further lower emissions. These products are certified under the GreenPro ecolabel by CII, validating our sustainability practices and environmental standards.

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