Economy & Market
Subdued demand hits cement cos
Published
10 years agoon
By
admin
Indian cement industry hit a slowdown in the beginning of this year as cement production was down by 0.5 per cent in the Jan-March 2015 period. Cement price also came under pressure due to weak demand.
Due to weak demand from end-user segment, the nationwide cement demand remained sluggish. Cement price also came under pressure due top the weak demand.
Cement demand remains subdued due to weak demand from end user indusries Cement demand has remained sluggish in Q4 FY15 which is traditionally a seasonally strong quarter for the cement industry. All-India cement production declined by 0.5% YoY during Jan-Mar 2015 as against an increase of 9.7% during Apr-Sept 2014. While pre-election spending and delayed monsoon had supported the growth in cement demand in H1 FY15, the growth slowed down in H2 FY15 once the election cycle was over. Cement demand was also impacted by cut down in government spending in Q4 FY15, muted demand from real estate and construction projects and slow recovery in infrastructure spending. Further, decline in kharif crops production owing to poor monsoons affected agricultural incomes and post-monsoon rural demand for cement for housing and other purposes. Regional factors such as extension of monsoon in South, extremely cold weather in North India and unseasonal rains in North in Q4 FY15 also affected construction activities and consequently cement demand in some areas. The demand has showed no signs of recovery in April 2015 with cement production declining by 2.4% YoY during the month.
Significant slowdown in fresh capacity addition in FY17 to aid improvement in capacity utilisation
The industry has seen slowdown in addition of new capacities due to supply glut faced in recent times. For instance, between FY11-FY15, the industry added 92 MTPA cement capacities as against 122 MTPA in the preceding 4-year period FY07-FY11. However, slowdown in demand (cement production grew by 6.0% during FY11-FY15 as against 7.6% during FY07-FY11) resulted in decline in capacity utilization from 77% in FY12 to 72% in FY14 despite slowdown in fresh capacity addition. Going forward, we expect the industry to add 28 MTPA capacities during FY16-FY17- 21 MTPA in FY16 and 8 MTPA in FY17 as against the peak addition of 50 MTPA in FY10. Eastern region will lead the capacity expansion and is expected to witness about 12 MTPA capacity additions during FY16-FY17.
Southern region, which had witnessed the highest capacity addition in the last five years, will see a considerable slowdown adding only 6 MTPA of capacity addition in the next 2 years. Assuming a demand growth of 7% over the next two years, the incremental demand will be 19-20 MTPA, which will just match the incremental supply in FY16 resulting in stable capacity utilization vis-a-vis previous year. However, with slowdown in new project execution in FY17, the all-India cement capacity utilisation is likely to improve to 75% in FY17.
Prices come under pressure due to weak demand1
- North: Cement companies in North raised prices by Rs. 20/bag in Jan 2015 ahead of the busy season in anticipation of recovery in demand. However, they were unable to sustain these hikes due to weak demand and unseasonal rains. For example, average wholesale cement prices in Chandigarh increased from Rs. 264/bag in Dec 2014 to Rs. 285/bag in Jan 2015 but declined to Rs. 276/bag in Feb 2015 due to subdued demand. Cement companies again raised prices by Rs. 10-15/bag in the month of Mar 2015 but prices corrected by Rs. 20/bag in May 2015. Cement prices in North have slid below last year?s prices.
- West: Western region, particularly Maharashtra has seen a steep decline in prices. Average wholesale prices in Mumbai have declined to Rs. 285/bag from their peak level of Rs. 364/bag in Jan 2015. Prices in Ahmedabad have also declined by Rs. 15-20.bag due to weak demand.
- East: The average wholesale prices in Kolkata market remained in the range of Rs. 340-360/ bag during FY15 and have increased to Rs. 363/bag in May 2015.
- South: Cement companies took a major price hike in Dec 2014 to pass on the rising costs. For example, in the Hyderabad market, cement prices rose sharply by Rs. 60/bag MoM to Rs. 350/bag in Jan 2015. While there has been some disruption in pricing discipline in May 2015, the prices continue to be significantly higher on a YoY basis.
Q4 FY15 revenue growth remains modest due to weak demand; South based companies report healthy profitability in Q4 FY15
Most cement companies in ICRA Sample2 reported either a decline or a modest YoY increase in revenues in Q4 FY15. Only two companies, namely OCL India Limited and JK Cement Limited registered a double-digit YoY revenue growth due to volumetric growth aided by capacity expansion. The revenues of companies in ICRA sample registered mere 0.6% YoY growth. On a sequential basis, all companies reported an increase in revenues with revenues for ICRA Sample increasing by 9.0% QoQ in Q4 FY15.
The profitability margins of most cement companies declined on a YoY basis (except for South based companies). Despite this, the operating margins of ICRA Sample increased by 100 basis points to 19.2% n Q4 FY15 driven by performance of South based cement companies as well as ACC Limited. The operating profitability margins of South based companies namely, The Ramco Cements Limited and The India Cements Limited improved significantly both on a sequential and YoY basis due to significant hike in cement prices in South in Dec 2014. Cement companies in North had witnessed healthy profitability margins in Q4 FY14 driven by shutdown of 6MTPA capacity of Binani cement Limited and subsequent increase in cement prices in the region. As a result, on a YoY basis, the profitability margins in North (JK Cement Limited, JK Lakshmi Cement Limited, shree Cement Limited) came under pressure in Q4 FY15.
1Source for region-wise price data: CMIE
2ICRA Sample Includes ACC Limited, Ambuja Cements Limited, OCL India Limited, Shree Cement Limited, Ultratech cement Limited, JK Cement Limited, JK Lakshmi Cement Limited, Prism Cement Limited, the India Cements Limited, The Ramco Cements Limited
By Sabyasachi Majumdar, Sr.VP, Co-head, Corporate Sector Ratings, ICRA Ltd
Exhibit 3: Revenues and Profitability of Key Cement Players (Q4 FY15) | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (Rs. Billion) |
YoY Revenue Growth |
QoQ Revenue Growth |
Operating Profits (Rs. Billion) |
Operating Profitability Margin (%) |
|||||
Q4 FY15 |
% | % | Q4 FY14 |
Q4 FY15 |
Q3 FY15 |
Q4 FY14 |
Q4 FY15 |
Q3 FY15 |
|
ACC Limited | 30.8 | 1.8% | 8.6% | 4.25 | 6.09 | 2.57 | 14.0% | 19.8% | 9.1% |
Ambuja Cements Limited |
24.6 | -7.1% | 2.4% | 5.89 | 5.10 | 3.58 | 22.2% | 20.7% | 14.9% |
JK Cement Limited | 9.2 | 10.0% | 14.7% | 1.63 | 1.64 | 1.01 | 19.6% | 17.9% | 12.6% |
JK Lakshmi Cement Limited |
5.8 | -10.8% | 4.0% | 1.12 | 0.71 | 0.75 | 17.3% | 12.4% | 13.6% |
OCL India Limited | 6.7 | 24.4% | 22.2% | 0.92 | 1.01 | 0.87 | 17.2% | 15.2% | 16.0% |
Prism Cement Limited | 15.3 | 0.4% | 14.3% | 1.19 | 0.84 | 0.37 | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
Shree Cement Limited | 15.8 | -5.3% | 2.1% | 4.31 | 3.41 | 3.06 | 25.9% | 21.6% | 19.8% |
The India Cements Limited |
10.4 | -7.3% | 0.3% | 1.19 | 2.00 | 1.63 | 10.6% | 19.2% | 15.7% |
The Ramco Cements Limited |
10.0 | 1.2% | 22.2% | 1.29 | 2.74 | 1.30 | 13.1% | 27.5% | 15.9% |
Ultratech Cement Limited |
62.1 | 4.3% | 10.9% | 12.71 | 13.10 | 9.57 | 21.3% | 21.1% | 17.1% |
TOTAL (ICRA Sample) |
190.6 | 0.6% | 9.0% | 34.50 | 36.65 | 24.71 | 18.2% | 19.2% | 14.1% |
Source: Financial Results of Companies, ICRA92s estimates |
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Adani’s Strategic Emergence in India’s Cement Landscape
Published
5 days agoon
September 16, 2025By
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Milind Khangan, Marketing Head, Vertex Market Research, sheds light on Adani’s rapid cement consolidation under its ‘One Business, One Company’ strategy while positioning it to rival UltraTech, and thus, shaping a potential duopoly in India’s booming cement market.
India is the second-largest cement-producing country in the world, following China. This expansion is being driven by tremendous public investment in the housing and infrastructure sectors. The industry is accelerating, with a boost from schemes such as PM Gati Shakti, Bharatmala, and the Vande Bharat corridors. An upsurge in affordable housing under the Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana (PMAY) further supports this expansion. In May 2025, local cement production increased about 9 per cent from last year to about 40 million metric tonnes for the month. The combined cement capacity in India was recorded at 670 million metric tonnes in the 2025 fiscal year, according to the Cement Manufacturers’ Association (CMA). For the financial year 2026, this is set to grow by another 9 per cent.
In spite of the growing demand, the Indian cement industry is highly competitive. UltraTech Cement (Aditya Birla Group) is still the market leader with domestic installed capacity of more than 186 MTPA as on 2025. It is targeted to achieve 200 MTPA. Adani Cement recently became a major player and is now India’s second-largest cement company. It did this through aggressive consolidation, operational synergies, and scale efficiencies. Indian players in the cement industry are increasingly valuing operational efficiency and sustainability. Some of the strategies with high impact are alternative fuels and materials (AFR) adoption, green cement expansion, and digital technology investments to offset changing regulatory pressure and increasing energy prices.
Building Adani Cement brand
Vertex Market Research explains that the Adani Group is executing a comprehensive reorganisation and consolidation of its cement business under the ‘One Business, One Company’ strategy. The plan is to integrate its diversified holdings into one consolidated corporate entity named Adani Cement. The focus is on operating integration, governance streamlining, and cost reduction in its expanding cement business.
Integration roadmap and key milestones:
- September 2022: The consolidation process started with the $6.4 billion buyout of Holcim’s majority stakes in Ambuja Cements and ACC, with Ambuja becoming the focal point of the consolidation.
- December 2023: Bought Sanghi Industries to strengthen the firm’s presence in western India.
- August 2024: Added Penna Cement to the portfolio, improving penetration of the southern market of India.
- April 2025: Further holding addition in Orient Cement to 46.66 per cent by purchasing the same from CK Birla Group, becoming the promoter with control.
- Ambuja Cements amalgamated with Adani Cement: This was sanctioned by the NCLT on 18th July 2025 with effect from April 1, 2024. This amalgamation brings in limestone reserves and fresh assets into Ambuja.
- Subject to Sanghi and Penna merger with Ambuja: Board approvals in December 2024 with the aim to finish between September to December 2025.
- Ambuja-ACC future integration: The latter is being contemplated as the final step towards consolidation.
- Orient Cement: It would serve as a principal manufacturing facility following the merger.
Scale, capacity expansion and market position
In financial year-2025, Adani Cement, including Ambuja, surpassed 100 MTPA. This makes it one of the world’s top ten cement companies. Along with ACC’s operations, it is now firmly placed as India’s second-largest cement company. In FY25, the Adani group’s sales volume per annum clocked 65 million metric tonnes. Adani Group claims that it now supplies close to 30 per cent of the cement consumed in India’s homes and infrastructure as of June 2025.
The organisation is pursuing aggressive brownfield expansion:
- By FY 2026: Reach 118 MTPA
- By FY 2028: Target 140 MTPA
These goals will be driven by commissioning new clinker and grinding units at key sites, with civil and mechanical works underway.
As of 2024, Adani Cement had its market share pegged at around 14 to 15 per cent, with an ambition to scale this up to 20 per cent by FY?2028, emerging as a potent competitor to UltraTech’s 192?MTPA capacity (186 domestic and overseas).
Strategic advantages and competitive benefits
The consolidation simplifies decision-making by reducing legal entities, centralising oversight, and removing redundant functions. This drives compliance efficiency and transparent reporting. Using procurement power for raw materials and energy lowers costs per ton. Integrated logistics with Adani Ports and freight infrastructure has resulted in an estimated 6 per cent savings in logistics. The group aims for additional savings of INR 500 to 550 per tonne by FY 2028 by integrating green energy, using alternative fuel resources, and improving sourcing methods.
Market coverage and brand consistency
Brand integration under one strategy will provide uniform product quality and easier distribution networks. Integration with Orient Cement’s dealer base, 60 per cent of which already distributes Ambuja/ACC products, enhances outreach and responsiveness.
By having captive limestone reserves at Lakhpat (approximately 275 million tonnes) and proposed new manufacturing facilities in Raigad, Maharashtra, Adani Cement derives cost advantage, raw material security, and long-term operational robustness.
Strategic implications and risks
Consolidation at Adani Cement makes it not just a capacity leader but also an operationally agile competitor with the ability to reap digital and sustainability benefits. Its vertically integrated platform enables cost leadership, market responsiveness, and scalability.
Challenges potentially include:
- Integration challenges across systems, corporate cultures, and plant operations
- Regulatory sanctions for pending mergers and new capacity additions
- Environmental clearances in environmentally sensitive areas and debt management with input price volatility
When materialised, this revolution would create a formidable Adani–UltraTech duopoly, redefining Indian cement on the basis of scale, innovation, and sustainability. India’s leading four cement players such as Adani (ACC and Ambuja), Dalmia Cement, Shree Cement, and UltraTech are expected to dominate the cement market.
Conclusion
Adani’s aggressive consolidation under the ‘One Business, One Company’ strategy signals a decisive shift in the Indian cement industry, positioning the group as a formidable challenger to UltraTech and setting the stage for a potential duopoly that could dominate the sector for years to come. By unifying operations, leveraging economies of scale, and securing vertical integration—from raw material reserves to distribution networks—Adani Cement is building both capacity and resilience, with clear advantages in cost efficiency, market reach, and sustainability. While integration complexities, regulatory hurdles, and environmental approvals remain key challenges, the scale and strategic alignment of this consolidation promise to redefine competition, pricing dynamics, and operational benchmarks in one of the world’s fastest-growing cement markets.
About the author:
Milind Khangan is the Marketing Head at Vertex Market Research and comes with over five years of experience in market research, lead generation and team management.
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