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Forecast 2013

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ICR examines and studies the cement, concrete, concrete equipment sector for the coming year. The study was done basically to comprehend and analyse the current state of each sector. Also, ICR bring to you the opinions of dealers, who know the real pulse of the market.The first half of the year 2012 of the cement industry witnessed a sluggish demand and almost the other half felt the cost pressure. In the states like Andhra Pradesh, the year ended on a discouraging note since the prices dipped further by Rs 40-45. However as per the Working Committee report on cement industry suggests that the Government of India plans to increase its investment in infrastructure to US $ 1 trillion in the Twelfth Five Year Plan (2012-17) as compared to US $ 514 billion expected to be spent on infrastructure development under the Eleventh Five Year Plan (2007-12). Further, infrastructure projects such as the dedicated freight corridors, upgraded and new airports and ports are expected to enhance the scale of economic activity, leading to a substantial increase in cement demand. Housing sector and road also provide significant opportunities. The cement demand is likely to be sensitive to the growth in these sectors and also the policy initiatives. Further, capacity addition in cement would continue to be preferably front loaded. It may be desirable to create some excess capacity rather than operate with shortages or supply bottlenecks. Keeping in view the factors responsible for the increasing demand for the sector and the assumptions mentioned below, four lines of projection in the demand for cement up to next 25 years (2027) have been given. The annual average growth in the demand, production and installed capacity of the cement during the period could be within the range of 10-11.75 per cent. The production of cement would be sensitive to the GDP growth and the growth of sectors which are major users of cement. A step up in demand of these sectors could provide some stimulus to the cement sector as well.Assumptions??Base line growth from 2014-15 is kept at assumed GDP growth, or an elasticity of 1.0.??The growth is expected to increase by 1 per cent above the base line in scenario 2 assuming NH and SH to be initially covered.??In scenario 3, assuming a further increase in growth by 0.5 per cent and in scenario 4 growth is scaled up further by 0.25 per cent.??Base Growth kept a little lower than GDP growth in first three years because of pickup in demand may take some time.??With all the three expectations being met, growth improves to 10.75 per cent or with an assumed elasticity of roughly 1.2, as against observed elasticity of 1.07 during 12th Plan and further to 11.75 per cent in the next 10 years. Elasticity tapers off to 1.175.12 The Task Force for the 11th Plan for the Cement sector also mentioned that the concrete roads, besides providing an excellent surface, enjoy a lower life cycle cost. In the current scenario, however, concrete roads enjoy an initial cost advantage as well.2012 a mixed bagThe year 2012 for the cement industry was full of controversies. Be it the issue of catelisation, wherein the 11 cement giants were penalised with a mammoth amount of Rs 6,304 crore or the reduction in prices of cement by the end or the year. The cement market was volatile and slowed signs of improvement. The acquisition of Calcom in the beginning of the year and Adhunik in September 2012 by Dalmia proved that consolidation remains the key for the cement business. By the end of the year they increased their stake in Calcom by 26 per cent.Expressing his opinion on the market scenario in the year 2012, Jagdeep Verma, Head- Business Consulting, Holtec Consulting said, "The good news was that cement consumption grew by 8 per cent, despite a slowdown in GDP growth. Retail prices too increased by an average 6-7 per cent over the last year, though there were large price fluctuations in some states and key consumption centres on account of consumption-supply imbalances. The price increase enabled most producers to offset the increased cost of inputs, significant offenders being fuel and logistics."He further explained the negative side of the sector. "On the flip side, industry sentiment was adversely affected, not only by the penalty proposed by the Competition Commission of India, but also by general economic sluggishness, the current prevalence of market surplus, high borrowing rates/ poor liquidity conditions in user segments, difficulties faced in land acquisition/ procuring environmental clearances and ambivalent perceptions regarding the emerging politico-economic scenario. All this manifested itself in a reining in of capacity addition initiatives. Firms with high costs pressures are opening up to M&A possibilities and PE funding in order to smoothen their cash flow obligations."However Prakash Raja, the Committee Member of Cement Dealers’ Stockist Association feels that on one hand where there was a hike in cement prices, on the other hand, the demand that showed signs of pick up never really caught on, which brought a lot of volatility in the market. "We have seen cement companies, which have been region specific for almost decades, now venturing out in hunt for newer markets. Consequently, a mini price war was witnessed this year. In fact the rates are still far from being stable. Since many construction companies do not utilise input Value Added Tax (‘VAT’) credit, they prefer buying material against C-form, ensuring concessional rate of Central Sales Tax (‘CST’) and consequently, lowering of input costs. This has made it worthwhile for the new market seeking companies to do business across states, without really breaking the bank." The slump has impacted their business in a threefold manner. Jugal Raja, King’s Trade Links said that the slump has a threefold effect on the dealers. "Higher borrowing costs, higher prices of cement and elongation of credit period offered to the buyers are the three negatives that have ensured that most of our revenues are literally wiped out. To illustrate, if we take the cement price hike on a smoothened average basis to be Rs.40, the cost of borrowings rise at 2.5-3 per cent per annum and the elongation of credit period on an average by 40-60 days, the income remaining constant, one can imagine the impact on the margins. Given the slow down and overall slug-gishness, lowering volumes have made this worse than it looks. Many dealers have been raising their voice against the stagnant commission and pass-on since the last 5 years.Although the prices of cement have risen, the absolute value of dealers’ pass-on has been kept constant by the manufacturers, citing growth in volumes to be enough to compensate the dealers. Now that there is slow down, there is a strong case for the hike in dealers’ margins, albeit only at the manufacturers’ discretion."Even the concrete equipment sector witnessed severe disappointment. Anand Sundaresan, Managing Director, Schwing Stetter said that the entire industry went through a bad phase and the concrete equipment industry was no exception to that which led to drop in their numbers. Talking about the percentage in slouch he said,"It will be very difficult to talk about by what percentage has our business gone down since the Finance Minister is also trying his level best to improve the sector by introducing new policies which might work out and we might be in a better position."Recently Lucky Cement, Pakistan’s largest cement manufacturer was keen on setting up a cement plant in India. Generally cements from Pakistan are said to be of a cheaper rate and of a better quality. But Jugal Raja, Dealer, King’s Trade Links believes that India being the second largest producer of cement in the world is producing almost three times the total output of the third largest producer – Iran. We firmly believe there is no case, be it quality or affordability that makes our economy open up to such imports, more so when such notorious activities have been un-earthed. If the pricing is so enticing, there must be a reason for it. We see it and it’s high time the end users as well as the authorities see it. This may sound like a very Nationalist and even slightly jingoistic view, but imagine where cement companies from South of India are finding it difficult in terms of costs to move the material to areas such as Mumbai at Rs 270 per bag, how would it be a profitable affair for an economy such as Pakistan which is surviving on external aid to push it from longer distances at Rs 220 per bag."Challenges

With the mismatch of demand and supply faced by the cement industry is expected to encounter with a lot of challenges, which will further impact all the related industries.According to Sundaresan, the major challenge faced by the equipment manufacturing sector is substantial increase in input costs due to a hike in commodity prices, increase in interest rates, increase in employee and power costs and almost an increase of 25 per cent in the dollar exchange rate between April 2011 and average exchange rate in the year 2012.Whilst Verma feels that the cement industry will face a series of challenges like dwindling natural resources, cost reduction, optimisation of logistics, acute shortage of dom-estic coal and the increase in costs and gestation period. "Shortage of natural resources is a serious cause of concern. Among these, limestone, fossil fuel and water, if not conserved, could definitely inhibit the long term growth of the industry. The onus of conservation, till now, has generally been technology-based and, therefore, largely driven by equipment suppliers. Wasteful practices need much higher attention and cement producers must pick up the baton on directly arresting these in the course of normal operations." He further said that the life of limestone reserves being limited to the next 40 years or so, initiatives to use poorer grades appear imminent; despite conventional wisdom, high quality limestone imports are, possibly, inevitable.Cost reduction will be another issue which is expected to dominate the upcoming two to three fiscals. The biggest costs in cement business are energy and logistics, thus adequate attention has, only been recently directed at one of the largest components of delivered cost, viz. input and output freight. Given the acute shortage of domestic coal and the increase in costs in imported coal, alternate fuels would continue to receive enhanced attention and could provide 7-10 per cent of the total thermal fuel requirements by FY 2015-16. The usage of gas, especially in plants enjoying logistical proximity to gas resources, could well become a reality. While Greenfield plants would setup captive power plants to ensure reliable power supply, the existing plans would consider use of alternative fuels and also installation of Waste Heat Recovery systems to keep costs under control Verma further explained, "An analysis of the components of the final delivered cost of cement shows that 40 per cent is constituted by production costs, 25 per cent by the transport costs of inputs and outputs and 35 per cent by direct and indirect taxes. Optimisation of transportation logistics, spanning modes, nodes and routes, is thus an area deserving a higher degree of focused attention.The potential for reducing costs in non-equipment related domains, e.g. material inventories, consumable consumption rates and tariffs, financial expenses, etc. has still not been adequately harnessed.Also with the pre-project activities, such as land acquisition and statutory clearances, being expected to consume more time, the gestation period in the future is likely to be in the range of 5-7 years.Industry players could attempt to bring down actual construction time by employing more steel in civil engineering structures.According to SN Subrahmanyan, Member of the Board and Sr. EVP (Infrastructure & Construction), L&T Construction, the cement equipmeny industry is also going through alot of changes. The current focus is on savings in energy consumption and emission control methods, with stringent pollution control norms which are tightened day by day and the introduction of PAT (Perform, Achieve and Trade) scheme. "Cement manufacturers are expected to operate their plant in optimised conditions all the time. Power availability is also a key factor that affects cement plant operations. Clients are looking for equipment which reduces energy, fuel consumption, and effective utilisation of waste heat. Due to this trend waste heat recovery systems and alternate fuel firing systems have become common requirements in cement plant tenders."Regarding future trends:In India Municipal Waste Firing (MWF) in cement plants is an area with great potential but still underutilised. The reason for that is non-homogeneity and lack of continuous availability of the wastes. This irregularity creates fluctuations in the cement process and causes undesirable emission levels, increase in energy consumption patterns and also affects clinker quality. Every state should have waste collection centres to ensure continuous supply of wastes to cement plants. Substantial research is required to develop municipal waste firing systems suitable for Indian conditions considering mode of transport and hygiene. Existing designs are predominantly based on western country municipal wastes, but the wastes generated in western countries are quite different from the municipal wastes generated in Indian cities due to cultural differences. This change in type of waste impacts the system performance and firing rate. Availability of municipal waste is also inconsistent in India. If flexible firing systems are developed then Municipal wastes can be substituted for fossil fuels by 20-30 per cent. Currently cement plants are able to substitute only 5-15 per cent of waste for fuel fired in the system due to above said reasons. We believe with increasing coal prices and non-availability of power may encourage more cement plant clients to prefer municipal waste firing systems in the near future.Government intervention

With over 200 major construction projects pending in India, the entire construction industry is suffering with losses. "First and the foremost, the government should push investment in infrastructure projects, and bring in whatever policies changes that are necessary to speed this up and make it investment friendly," said Sundaresan. The other hindrance faced by the industry is most road contractors talk about land acquisitions as one of the major bottlenecks for speedy completion of projects.Definitely, this issue has to be addressed, which is pending for quite some time. Coming to the equipment industry he commented, "Concerning the equipment industry, the government should bring in similar kind of sops like what was done during the budget 2009, i.e., reduction in excise duty for capital equipments. In addition to that, we have other usual grievances like abolition of entry tax, GST, Uniform Tax Policy, etc."Even the dealers are of the opinion that the Government needs to clearances to the pending projects. "We require only one support and that is the clearing of proposed and further issuance of quality projects which will help build a new India. The money injected will churn into the economy fastest through this route as we have witnessed in the past. To supplement this, we believe India has a top-notch infrastructure funding mechanism in the form of multiple lending institutions. Perhaps, easing of certain eligibility criteria will do a host of good." He further added, "Maybe, a different, more ‘ambitious projects’ centric version of IDFC is the need of the hour. Also, as mentioned earlier, there is disparity among VAT and concessional rate of CST for end-users not utilising input VAT to pay output VAT. This disparity should be mitigated with the introduction of GST as early as possible."At a general level, the industry would like stable economic policies and lowering of interest rates leading to positive growth sentiments and increase in GDP, GFCF and thereby construction related investment. This would enable the industry to systematically plan its capacity expansions and focus on ways to meet cement demand.At an industry level, cogent policies to own mines and coals blocks, as also those associated with land acquisition, would be desired. This would facilitate ease of setting up cement plants within acceptable gestation periods, generate acceptable returns to stakeholders and keep debt related cash outflows low-in turn downward inflowing cement prices.According to Verma, "A regulatory body to ensure adherence to India Standards by all concrete producers (commercial and captive) would help the industry to ensure quality concrete is made available to all end users. With such an intervention, the industry could then further educate its customers on concrete production and usage. Malpractices followed by small-scale concrete producers would come to an end and prices narrow down within an acceptable band. This could impel more cement producers to forward integrate into the RMC industry and serve their customers better."Also for the dealers logistics remains the biggest challenge for the year 2013. Mumbai, (which is considered a separate region altogether, giving exclusivity to this market, separate from the rest of the Western region) has the threshold logistical permissibility of 750,000- 800,000 metric tonne a month. With rising demand in satellite areas and the ambitious projects waiting in the flanks, there is consensus that this constraint be dealt with. Same goes for Bangalore and even for some up and coming tier-two cities such as Mangalore and Bhopal, where demand has been robust. Another challenge that the industry faces is really something which is not in control of the industry, viz, the log-jam of various projects, both private and state/central funded. This log-jam is expected to be cleared out before the last budget of the UPA-2 on a populist count. Be that as it may be, the opportunity for the cement industry is huge, considering that the Indian growth story is still very much intact.Forecast 2013Most of the industries related to cement are expecting a sluggish year ahead. For the concrete equipment industry the year is expected to grow marginally. "Even though the government is bringing in a lot of policy reforms and steps for improving the economic growth, the award of contracts will take some time. Besides that, concreting comes at a much later stage, i.e. after excavation or earth moving. Therefore, for the concreting equipment industry, I feel 2013 will be a flat year or it will be with a marginal growth," said Anand. To combat the same the company is all set to launch new equipment in the upcoming bCIndia 2013.Cement consumption is expected to sustain in the range of 8-9 per cent, taking estimated cement consumption in FY 2013 from around 260 mio t to 280-285 mio t in FY 2014.Due to public perceptions of high cement prices, cement demand (not to be mistaken with consumption) would remain unfulfilled. Producing "affordable cement" without compromising the quantum (not per cent) of EBIDTA is possibly the one major initiative that would possibly dwarf all other initiatives. This would necessitate the harnessing of technology, amending operating practices and modifying customer mindsets. The net effect could be significant increase in customer base and consequentially a mini-explosion in the size of the cement market pie. There is also a strong likelihood of players announcing greenfield capacity additions, in order to ensure plants are operational by the time cement consumption overtakes capacity (FY 2018). Possible pre-conditions for these announcements to be translated into action would include a lowering of interest rates and expeditious action on statutory clearances.The likelihood of PE Firms playing a higher role to fund the cash-strapped companies would increase. M&A activities are also likely to accelerate, particularly with larger cement players having an opportunity to acquire plants under financial pressures.Capacities would most probably exchange ownership if the agreed valuation is in the range of USD 145-165/ t.On the technology front, efforts to utilise Alternative Fuels and install Waste Heat Recovery are initiatives which are likely to become much more widespread.For the dealers the summer of 2013 is touted to be the start of the new bull run for the entire infra space. With both, the Holcim group (ACC and Ambuja) and Aditya Birla group (Ultratech) having the right arsenal in place in the form of increased capacities, and with the other upcoming brands, the total tally of consumption in cement will see a huge pick up owing to moderated base of last two years. There were times when demand would be so high that companies were compelled to allocate the total arrivals in preference of consumer loyalty and buying patterns.We believe that won’t happen in the next bull run since the easing of logistical situation backed by the expansion of capacity has taken place since then.Thus only time will show that if the industry will regain its old pace or will deteriorate further.

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Concrete

JK Cement Crosses 31 MTPA Capacity with Commissioning of Buxar Plant in Bihar

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JK Cement has commissioned a 3 MTPA Grey Cement plant in Buxar, Bihar, taking its total capacity to 31.26 MTPA and placing it among India’s top five grey cement producers. The ₹500 crore investment strengthens the company’s national footprint while supporting Bihar’s infrastructure growth and local economic development.

JK Cement Ltd., one of India’s leading cement manufacturers, has announced the commissioning of its new state-of-the-art Grey Cement plant in Buxar, Bihar, marking a significant milestone in the company’s growth trajectory. With the commissioning of this facility, JK Cement’s total production capacity has increased to 31.26 million tonnes per annum (MTPA), enabling the company to cross the 30 MTPA threshold.

This expansion positions JK Cement among the top five Grey Cement manufacturers in India, strengthening its national footprint and reinforcing its long-term growth strategy.

Commenting on the strategic achievement, Dr Raghavpat Singhania, Managing Director, JK Cement, said, “Crossing 31 MTPA is a significant turning point in JK Cement’s expansion and demonstrates the scale, resilience, and aspirations of our company. In addition to making a significant contribution to Bihar’s development vision, the commissioning of our Buxar plant represents a strategic step towards expanding our national footprint. We are committed to developing top-notch manufacturing capabilities that boost India’s infrastructure development and generate long-term benefits for local communities.”

The Buxar plant has a capacity of 3 MTPA and is spread across 100 acres. Strategically located on the Patna–Buxar highway, the facility enables faster and more efficient distribution across Bihar and adjoining regions. While JK Cement entered the Bihar market last year through supplies from its Prayagraj plant, the Buxar facility will now allow the company to serve the state locally, with deliveries possible within 24 hours across Bihar.

Sharing his views on the expansion, Madhavkrishna Singhania, Joint Managing Director & CEO, JK Cement, said, “JK Cement is now among India’s top five producers of grey cement after the Buxar plant commissioning. Our capacity to serve Bihar locally, more effectively, and on a larger scale is strengthened by this facility. Although we had already entered the Bihar market last year using Prayagraj supplies, local manufacturing now enables us to be nearer to our clients and significantly raise service standards throughout the state. Buxar places us at the center of this chance to promote sustainable growth for both the company and the region in Bihar, a high-growth market with strong infrastructure momentum.”

The new facility represents a strategic step in supporting Bihar’s development vision by ensuring faster access to superior quality cement for infrastructure, housing, and commercial projects. JK Cement has invested approximately ₹500 crore in the project. Construction began in March 2025, and commercial production commenced on January 29, 2026.

In addition to strengthening JK Cement’s regional presence, the Buxar plant is expected to generate significant direct and indirect employment opportunities and attract ancillary industries, thereby contributing to the local economy and the broader industrial ecosystem.

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Economy & Market

From Vision to Action: Fornnax Global Growth Strategy for 2026

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Jignesh Kundaria, Director & CEO, Fornnax Recycling Technology

As 2026 begins, Fornnax is accelerating its global growth through strategic expansion, large-scale export-led installations, and technology-driven innovation across multiple recycling streams. Backed by manufacturing scale-up and a strong people-first culture, the company aims to lead sustainable, high-capacity recycling solutions worldwide.

As 2026 begins, Fornnax stands at a pivotal stage in its growth journey. Over the past few years, the company has built a strong foundation rooted in engineering excellence, innovation, and a firm commitment to sustainable recycling. The focus ahead is clear: to grow faster, stronger, and on a truly global scale.

“Our 2026 strategy is driven by four key priorities,” explains Mr. Jignesh Kundaria, Director & CEO of Fornnax.

First, Global Expansion

We will strengthen our presence in major markets such as Europe, Australia, and the GCC, while continuing to grow across our existing regions. By aligning with local regulations and customer requirements, we aim to establish ourselves as a trusted global partner for advanced recycling solutions.

A major milestone in this journey will be export-led global installations. In 2026, we will commission Europe’s highest-capacity shredding line, reinforcing our leadership in high-capacity recycling solutions.

Second, Product Innovation and Technology Leadership

Innovation remains at the heart of our vision to become a global leader in recycling technology by 2030. Our focus is on developing solutions that are state-of-the-art, economical, efficient, reliable, and environmentally responsible.

Building on a decade-long legacy in tyre recycling, we have expanded our portfolio into new recycling applications, including municipal solid waste (MSW), e-waste, cable, and aluminium recycling. This diversification has already created strong momentum across the industry, marked by key milestones scheduled to become operational this year, such as:

  • Installation of India’s largest e-waste and cable recycling line.
  • Commissioning of a high-capacity MSW RDF recycling line.

“Sustainable growth must be scalable and profitable,” emphasizes Mr. Kundaria. In 2026, Fornnax will complete Phase One of our capacity expansion by establishing the world’s largest shredding equipment manufacturing facility. This 23-acre manufacturing unit, scheduled for completion in July 2026, will significantly enhance our production capability and global delivery capacity.

Alongside this, we will continue to improve efficiency across manufacturing, supply chain, and service operations, while strengthening our service network across India, Australia, and Europe to ensure faster and more reliable customer support.

Finally: People and Culture

“People remain the foundation of Fornnax’s success. We will continue to invest in talent, leadership development, and a culture built on ownership, collaboration, and continuous improvement,” states Mr. Kundaria.

With a strong commitment to sustainability in everything we do, our ambition is not only to grow our business, but also to actively support the circular economy and contribute to a cleaner, more sustainable future.

Guided by a shared vision and disciplined execution, 2026 is set to be a defining year for us, driven by innovation across diverse recycling applications, large-scale global installations, and manufacturing excellence.

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Concrete

Why Cement Needs CCUS

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Cement’s deep decarbonisation cannot be achieved through efficiency and fuel switching alone, making CCUS essential to address unavoidable process emissions from calcination. ICR explores if with the right mix of policy support, shared infrastructure, and phased scale-up from pilots to clusters, CCUS can enable India’s cement industry to align growth with its net-zero ambitions.

Cement underpins modern development—from housing and transport to renewable energy infrastructure—but it is also one of the world’s most carbon-intensive materials, with global production of around 4 billion tonnes per year accounting for 7 to 8 per cent of global CO2 emissions, according to the GCCA. What makes cement uniquely hard to abate is that 60 to 65 per cent of its emissions arise from limestone calcination, a chemical process that releases CO2 irrespective of the energy source used; the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) therefore classifies cement as a hard-to-abate sector, noting that even fully renewable-powered kilns would continue to emit significant process emissions. While the industry has achieved substantial reductions over the past two decades through energy efficiency, alternative fuels and clinker substitution using fly ash, slag, and calcined clays, studies including the IEA Net Zero Roadmap and GCCA decarbonisation pathways show these levers can deliver only 50 to 60 per cent emissions reduction before reaching technical and material limits, leaving Carbon Capture, Utilisation and Storage (CCUS) as the only scalable and durable option to address remaining calcination emissions—an intervention the IPCC estimates will deliver nearly two-thirds of cumulative cement-sector emission reductions globally by mid-century, making CCUS a central pillar of any credible net-zero cement pathway.

Process emissions vs energy emissions
Cement’s carbon footprint is distinct from many other industries because it stems from two sources: energy emissions and process emissions. Energy emissions arise from burning fuels to heat kilns to around 1,450°C and account for roughly 35 to 40 per cent of total cement CO2 emissions, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). These can be progressively reduced through efficiency improvements, alternative fuels such as biomass and RDF, and electrification supported by renewable power. Over the past two decades, such measures have delivered measurable gains, with global average thermal energy intensity in cement production falling by nearly 20 per cent since 2000, as reported by the IEA and GCCA.
The larger and more intractable challenge lies in process emissions, which make up approximately 60 per cent to 65 per cent of cement’s total CO2 output. These emissions are released during calcination, when limestone (CaCO3) is converted into lime (CaO), inherently emitting CO2 regardless of fuel choice or energy efficiency—a reality underscored by the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Even aggressive clinker substitution using fly ash, slag, or calcined clays is constrained by material availability and performance requirements, typically delivering 20 to 40 per cent emissions reduction at best, as outlined in the GCCA–TERI India Cement Roadmap and IEA Net Zero Scenario. This structural split explains why cement is classified as a hard-to-abate sector and why incremental improvements alone are insufficient; as energy emissions decline, process emissions will dominate, making Carbon Capture, Utilisation and Storage (CCUS) a critical intervention to intercept residual CO2 and keep the sector’s net-zero ambitions within reach.

Where CCUS stands today
Globally, CCUS in cement is moving from concept to early industrial reality, led by Europe and North America, with the IEA noting that cement accounts for nearly 40 per cent of planned CCUS projects in heavy industry, reflecting limited alternatives for deep decarbonisation; a flagship example is Heidelberg Materials’ Brevik CCS project in Norway, commissioned in 2025, designed to capture about 400,000 tonnes of CO2 annually—nearly half the plant’s emissions—with permanent offshore storage via the Northern Lights infrastructure (Reuters, Heidelberg Materials), alongside progress at projects in the UK, Belgium, and the US such as Padeswood, Lixhe (LEILAC), and Ste. Genevieve, all enabled by strong policy support, public funding, and shared transport-and-storage infrastructure.
These experiences show that CCUS scales fastest when policy support, infrastructure availability, and risk-sharing mechanisms align, with Europe bridging the viability gap through EU ETS allowances, Innovation Fund grants, and CO2 hubs despite capture costs remaining high at US$ 80-150 per tonne of CO2 (IEA, GCCA); India, by contrast, is at an early readiness stage but gaining momentum through five cement-sector CCU testbeds launched by the Department of Science and Technology (DST) under academia–industry public–private partnerships involving IITs and producers such as JSW Cement, Dalmia Cement, and JK Cement, targeting 1-2 tonnes of CO2 per day to validate performance under Indian conditions (ETInfra, DST), with the GCCA–TERI India Roadmap identifying the current phase as a foundation-building decade essential for achieving net-zero by 2070.
Amit Banka, Founder and CEO, WeNaturalists, says “Carbon literacy means more than understanding that CO2 harms the climate. It means cement professionals grasping why their specific plant’s emissions profile matters, how different CCUS technologies trade off between energy consumption and capture rates, where utilisation opportunities align with their operational reality, and what governance frameworks ensure verified, permanent carbon sequestration. Cement manufacturing contributes approximately 8 per cent of global carbon emissions. Addressing this requires professionals who understand CCUS deeply enough to make capital decisions, troubleshoot implementation challenges, and convince boards to invest substantial capital.”

Technology pathways for cement
Cement CCUS encompasses a range of technologies, from conventional post-combustion solvent-based systems to process-integrated solutions that directly target calcination, each with different energy requirements, retrofit complexity, and cost profiles. The most mature option remains amine-based post-combustion capture, already deployed at industrial scale and favoured for early cement projects because it can be retrofitted to existing flue-gas streams; however, capture costs typically range from US$ 60-120 per tonne of CO2, depending on CO2 concentration, plant layout, and energy integration.
Lovish Ahuja, Chief Sustainability Officer, Dalmia Cement (Bharat), says, “CCUS in Indian cement can be viewed through two complementary lenses. If technological innovation, enabling policies, and societal acceptance fail to translate ambition into action, CCUS risks becoming a significant and unavoidable compliance cost for hard-to-abate sectors such as cement, steel, and aluminium. However, if global commitments under the Paris Agreement and national targets—most notably India’s Net Zero 2070 pledge—are implemented at scale through sustained policy and industry action, CCUS shifts from a future liability to a strategic opportunity. In that scenario, it becomes a platform for technological leadership, long-term competitiveness, and systemic decarbonisation rather than merely a regulatory burden.”
“Accelerating CCUS adoption cannot hinge on a single policy lever; it demands a coordinated ecosystem approach. This includes mission-mode governance, alignment across ministries, and a mix of enabling instruments such as viability gap funding, concessional and ESG-linked finance, tax incentives, and support for R&D, infrastructure, and access to geological storage. Importantly, while cement is largely a regional commodity with limited exportability due to its low value-to-weight ratio, CCUS innovation itself can become a globally competitive export. By developing, piloting, and scaling cost-effective CCUS solutions domestically, India can not only decarbonise its own cement industry but also position itself as a supplier of affordable CCUS technologies and services to cement markets worldwide,” he adds.
Process-centric approaches seek to reduce the energy penalty associated with solvent regeneration by altering where and how CO2 is separated. Technologies such as LEILAC/Calix, which uses indirect calcination to produce a high-purity CO2 stream, are scaling toward a ~100,000 tCO2 per year demonstrator (LEILAC-2) following successful pilots, while calcium looping leverages limestone chemistry to achieve theoretical capture efficiencies above 90 per cent, albeit still at pilot and demonstration stages requiring careful integration. Other emerging routes—including oxy-fuel combustion, membrane separation, solid sorbents, and cryogenic or hybrid systems—offer varying trade-offs between purity, energy use, and retrofit complexity; taken together, recent studies suggest that no single technology fits all plants, making a multi-technology, site-specific approach the most realistic pathway for scaling CCUS across the cement sector.
Yash Agarwal, Co-Founder, Carbonetics Carbon Capture, says, “We are fully focused on CCUS, and for us, a running plant is a profitable plant. What we have done is created digital twins that allow operators to simulate and resolve specific problems in record time. In a conventional setup, when an issue arises, plants often have to shut down operations and bring in expert consultants. What we offer instead is on-the-fly consulting. As soon as a problem is detected, the system automatically provides a set of potential solutions that can be tested on a running plant. This approach ensures that plant shutdowns are avoided and production is not impacted.”

The economics of CCUS
Carbon Capture, Utilisation and Storage (CCUS) remains one of the toughest economic hurdles in cement decarbonisation, with the IEA estimating capture costs of US$ 80-150 per tonne of CO2, and full-system costs raising cement production by US$ 30-60 per tonne, potentially increasing prices by 20 to 40 per cent without policy support—an untenable burden for a low-margin, price-sensitive industry like India’s.
Global experience shows CCUS advances beyond pilots only when the viability gap is bridged through strong policy mechanisms such as EU ETS allowances, Innovation Fund grants, and carbon Contracts for Difference (CfDs), yet even in Europe few projects have reached final investment decision (GCCA); India’s lack of a dedicated CCUS financing framework leaves projects reliant on R&D grants and balance sheets, reinforcing the IEA Net Zero Roadmap conclusion that carbon markets, green public procurement, and viability gap funding are essential to spread costs across producers, policymakers, and end users and prevent CCUS from remaining confined to demonstrations well into the 2030s.

Utilisation or storage
Carbon utilisation pathways are often the first entry point for CCUS in cement because they offer near-term revenue potential and lower infrastructure complexity. The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that current utilisation routes—such as concrete curing, mineralisation into aggregates, precipitated calcium carbonate (PCC), and limited chemical conversion—can realistically absorb only 5 per cent to 10 per cent of captured CO2 at a typical cement plant. In India, utilisation is particularly attractive for early pilots as it avoids the immediate need for pipelines, injection wells, and long-term liability frameworks. Accordingly, Department of Science and Technology (DST)–supported cement CCU testbeds are already demonstrating mineralisation and CO2-cured concrete applications at 1–2 tonnes of CO2 per day, validating performance, durability, and operability under Indian conditions.
However, utilisation faces hard limits of scale and permanence. India’s cement sector emits over 200 million tonnes of CO2 annually (GCCA), far exceeding the absorptive capacity of domestic utilisation markets, while many pathways—especially fuels and chemicals—are energy-intensive and dependent on costly renewable power and green hydrogen. The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) cautions that most CCU routes do not guarantee permanent storage unless CO2 is mineralised or locked into long-lived materials, making geological storage indispensable for deep decarbonisation. India has credible storage potential in deep saline aquifers, depleted oil and gas fields, and basalt formations such as the Deccan Traps (NITI Aayog, IEA), and hub-based models—where multiple plants share transport and storage infrastructure—can reduce costs and improve bankability, as seen in Norway’s Northern Lights project. The pragmatic pathway for India is therefore a dual-track approach: utilise CO2 where it is economical and store it where permanence and scale are unavoidable, enabling early learning while building the backbone for net-zero cement.

Policy, infrastructure and clusters
Scaling CCUS in the cement sector hinges on policy certainty, shared infrastructure, and coordinated cluster development, rather than isolated plant-level action. The IEA notes that over 70 per cent of advanced industrial CCUS projects globally rely on strong government intervention—through carbon pricing, capital grants, tax credits, and long-term offtake guarantees—with Europe’s EU ETS, Innovation Fund, and carbon Contracts for Difference (CfDs) proving decisive in advancing projects like Brevik CCS. In contrast, India lacks a dedicated CCUS policy framework, rendering capture costs of USD 80–150 per tonne of CO2 economically prohibitive without state support (IEA, GCCA), a gap the GCCA–TERI India Cement Roadmap highlights can be bridged through carbon markets, viability gap funding, and green public procurement.
Milan R Trivedi, Vice President, Shree Digvijay Cement, says, “CCUS represents both an unavoidable near-term compliance cost and a long-term strategic opportunity for Indian cement producers. While current capture costs of US$ 100-150 per tonne of CO2 strain margins and necessitate upfront retrofit investments driven by emerging mandates and NDCs, effective policy support—particularly a robust, long-term carbon pricing mechanism with tradable credits under frameworks like India’s Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS)—can de-risk capital deployment and convert CCUS into a competitive advantage. With such enablers in place, CCUS can unlock 10 per cent to 20 per cent green price premiums, strengthen ESG positioning, and allow Indian cement to compete in global low-carbon markets under regimes such as the EU CBAM, North America’s buy-clean policies, and Middle Eastern green procurement, transforming compliance into export-led leadership.”
Equally critical is cluster-based CO2 transport and storage infrastructure, which can reduce unit costs by 30 to 50 per cent compared to standalone projects (IEA, Clean Energy Ministerial); recognising this, the DST has launched five CCU testbeds under academia–industry public–private partnerships, while NITI Aayog works toward a national CCUS mission focused on hubs and regional planning. Global precedents—from Norway’s Northern Lights to the UK’s HyNet and East Coast clusters—demonstrate that CCUS scales fastest when governments plan infrastructure at a regional level, making cluster-led development, backed by early public investment, the decisive enabler for India to move CCUS from isolated pilots to a scalable industrial solution.
Paul Baruya, Director of Strategy and Sustainability, FutureCoal, says, “Cement is a foundational material with a fundamental climate challenge: process emissions that cannot be eliminated through clean energy alone. The IPCC is clear that in the absence of a near-term replacement of Portland cement chemistry, CCS is essential to address the majority of clinker-related emissions. With global cement production at around 4 gigatonnes (Gt) and still growing, cement decarbonisation is not a niche undertaking, it is a large-scale industrial transition.”

From pilots to practice
Moving CCUS in cement from pilots to practice requires a sequenced roadmap aligning technology maturity, infrastructure development, and policy support: the IEA estimates that achieving net zero will require CCUS to scale from less than 1 Mt of CO2 captured today to over 1.2 Gt annually by 2050, while the GCCA Net Zero Roadmap projects CCUS contributing 30 per cent to 40 per cent of total cement-sector emissions reductions by mid-century, alongside efficiency, alternative fuels, and clinker substitution.
MM Rathi, Joint President – Power Plants, Shree Cement, says, “The Indian cement sector is currently at a pilot to early demonstration stage of CCUS readiness. A few companies have initiated small-scale pilots focused on capturing CO2 from kiln flue gases and exploring utilisation routes such as mineralisation and concrete curing. CCUS has not yet reached commercial integration due to high capture costs (US$ 80-150 per tonne of CO2), lack of transport and storage infrastructure, limited access to storage sites, and absence of long-term policy incentives. While Europe and North America have begun early commercial deployment, large-scale CCUS adoption in India is more realistically expected post-2035, subject to enabling infrastructure and policy frameworks.”
Early pilots—such as India’s DST-backed CCU testbeds and Europe’s first commercial-scale plants—serve as learning platforms to validate integration, costs, and operational reliability, but large-scale deployment will depend on cluster-based scale-up, as emphasised by the IPCC AR6, which highlights the need for early CO2 transport and storage planning to avoid long-term emissions lock-in. For India, the GCCA–TERI India Roadmap identifies CCUS as indispensable for achieving net-zero by 2070, following a pragmatic pathway: pilot today to build confidence, cluster in the 2030s to reduce costs, and institutionalise CCUS by mid-century so that low-carbon cement becomes the default, not a niche, in the country’s infrastructure growth.

Conclusion
Cement will remain indispensable to India’s development, but its long-term viability hinges on addressing its hardest emissions challenge—process CO2 from calcination—which efficiency gains, alternative fuels, and clinker substitution alone cannot eliminate; global evidence from the IPCC, IEA, and GCCA confirms that Carbon Capture, Utilisation and Storage (CCUS) is the only scalable pathway capable of delivering the depth of reduction required for net zero. With early commercial projects emerging in Europe and structured pilots underway in India, CCUS has moved beyond theory into a decisive decade where learning, localisation, and integration will shape outcomes; however, success will depend less on technology availability and more on collective execution, including coordinated policy frameworks, shared transport and storage infrastructure, robust carbon markets, and carbon-literate capabilities.
For India, a deliberate transition from pilots to practice—anchored in cluster-based deployment, supported by public–private partnerships, and aligned with national development and climate goals—can transform CCUS from a high-cost intervention into a mainstream industrial solution, enabling the cement sector to keep building the nation while sharply reducing its climate footprint.

– Kanika Mathur

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