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The logistics sector is fundamental to the development of a country. Logistics is a sector where the trend is determined by the country’s overall economic performance.

Logistics including transportation, inventory management, warehousing, materials handling and packaging, and integration of information, is related to management of flow of goods between the point of origin and the point of consumption. With the growing Indian economy and changing business perspectives, the scope of the logistics industry has broadened from rudimentary transportation of goods to include end-to-end supply chain solutions including warehousing and express delivery.

The Indian logistics industry was estimated to be approximately $160 billion in FY17. The key segments include road, rail, coastal, warehousing, cold chain and container freight stations and inland container depots (CFS/ICD). The domestic logistics market is expected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 10 per cent. Indian logistics market is expected to be driven by the growth in the manufacturing, retail, FMCG and e-commerce sectors.

Development of logistics-related infrastructure such as dedicated freight corridors, logistics parks, free trade warehousing zones, and container freight stations are expected to improve efficiency. The industry is dominated by transportation, which accounts for over 85 per cent of total value, and its share is expected to remain high over the next few years. The sector provides employment to more than 22 million people. Improving logistics sector has significant bearing on exports and media sources estimate that a 10 per cent decrease in indirect logistics cost could potentially increase 5 to 8 per cent of exports.

Of the various modes of transportation, roads and railway are the most preferred mode accounting for approximately 60 per cent and 30 per cent of the total cargo volumes handled, respectively. The share of other transportation modes comprising Inland shipping, pipelines and airways remains minimal accounting for the balance 10 per cent. The higher transportation costs in India can be associated with poor road infrastructure leading to lowering of the maximum distance that can be covered by any commercial vehicle, old vehicles fleet and higher cess and toll on the highways while the higher warehousing costs are on account of shortage of warehousing capacity in India, non-standardisation of warehouses in terms of IT application, etc.

As per the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways, India’s logistics cost as a per cent of GDP stood at 13-14 per cent compared to 10- 11 per cent for BRIC countries and 8-9 per cent for developed countries. The US spends 9.5 per cent and Germany 8 per cent of their GDP on logistics costs. A significant proportion of the higher cost can be attributed to the absence of an efficient intermodal and multimodal transport systems. Going forward, the logistics cost as a per cent of GDP for India is expected to decline driven by initiatives such as implementation of GST, investments towards road infrastructure, development of inland waterways and coastal shipping, thrust towards dedicated freight corridors, etc.

Currently the Indian logistics industry is highly fragmented and unorganised. Owing to the presence of numerous unorganised players in the industry, it remains fragmented with the organised players accounting for approximately 10 per cent of the total market share. With the consumer base of the sector encompassing a wide range of industries including retail, automobile, telecom, heavy industries, etc., logistics industry has been increasingly attracting investments in the last decade.

The sector is facing challenges such as under-developed material handling infrastructure, fragmented warehousing, multiple regulatory/policymaking bodies, lack of seamless movement of goods across modes, minimal integrated IT infrastructure. In order to develop this sector focus on new technology, improved investment, skilling, removing bottlenecks, improving intermodal transportation, automation, single-window system for giving clearances, and simplifying processes would be required.

Global scenario
Warehousing primarily refers to the storage of goods to be transported, whether inbound or outbound. The warehousing industry includes establishments operating warehousing and storage facilities for general merchandise, refrigerated goods and other warehouse products. Warehouses are one of the major segments of the rapidly growing logistics industry. Currently the segment has evolved from providing not only custody for goods but also offering value added services such as sorting, packing, blending and processing. With evolution of an organised retail sector modern warehouses for the storage of perishable goods have become indispensable In 2017, the global warehousing and storage market was estimated to be around $475 billion. The global warehousing and storage accounted for approximately 8 per cent of the overall logistics market in 2017. The warehousing and storage market was the fifth largest market in the global logistics market in 2017. North America is the largest geographic region accounting for nearly 28 per cent of the global market.

Globally, warehousing has moved ahead from single storey to multi-story warehouses in densely populated cities and expensive land spaces. A multi-story warehouse consists of more than one floor and is designed to increase the available floor space. It results in better land utilisation rate and enhances operational efficiency. Multi-story warehouses have been successful in densely populated cities predominantly in Asian countries such as China, Japan, Hong Kong and Singapore, due to high land and construction costs, small site areas and limited industrial land availability.

Domestic scenario
The warehousing market in India is highly fragmented with most warehouses having an area of less than 10,000 sq.ft. Approximately 90 per cent of the warehousing space in the country is controlled by unorganised players with smaller sized warehouses which have limited mechanisation. Fragmented warehousing footprint results in higher average inventory holding, in addition to resulting in higher storage and handling losses, driven by lower level of mechanisation.

Warehouses have become one of the major segments of the rapidly growing Indian logistics industry. Today they do not only provide custody for goods but also offer value added services such as sorting, packing, blending and processing. With evolution of an organised retail sector modern warehouses for the storage of perishable goods have become essential. The government’s initiatives to promote the growth of warehouses in the country through measures such as enactment of the Warehousing Act, 2007, investments in the establishment of logistic parks and Free trade warehouse zones (FTWZs) together with the introduction of Goods & Service Tax (GST) regime augurs well for the industry’s growth. Sensing the tremendous growth potential of the warehouse sector, the private players (including both domestic and international) have ventured with a view to bridge the gap between cost and efficiency of operations.

Nearly 60 per cent of the modern warehousing capacity in India is concentrated in the top six cities namely Ahmedabad, Bangalore, Chennai, Mumbai, NCR and Pune, with Hyderabad and Kolkata being the other major markets. This is driven by concentration of industrial activity and presence of sizeable urban population around these clusters. Going forward, due to factors like quality of infrastructure and availability of labour, these advantages are likely to remain with these cities. In all the segments of warehousing industry barring the agricultural segment, the majority of the capacity is controlled by the private sector. In the agricultural segment, approximately three-fourth is controlled by different government entities. The primary objective of a majority of these warehouses is to only store food grains and ensure food security.

Types of warehouses
Traditionally, warehouses were broadly classified into public-private, bonded, government and co-operative warehouses. Lately, cold chains, container freight stations (CFS) and inland container depots (ICD) are gaining importance.

Private warehouses: These warehouses are owned by private entities or individuals and are used exclusively for the goods owned, imported by or on behalf of the licensee. The warehouses are usually constructed at strategic locations to cater various manufacturing, business and service units. They are flexible enough to be customised in terms of storage and placement, according to the nature of the products.

Public warehouses: These Warehouses are licensed by the government to private entities, individual or cooperative societies to store goods of the general public. They are rented out against a fee and usually set up at transportation points of railways, highways and waterways, providing the facilities of receipt, dispatch, loading and unloading of goods. The government also regulates the functions and operations of these warehouses used mostly by manufacturers, wholesalers, exporters, importers, government agencies, etc.

Bonded warehouses: These warehouses are licenced by the Government to accept imported goods for storage until the payment of customs duty. They are located near the ports. They are either operated by the Government or work under the control of customs authorities. The warehouse is required to give an undertaking or "Bond" that it will not allow the goods to be removed without the consent of the custom authorities. The goods are held in bond and cannot be withdrawn without paying the customs duty. Such warehouses are very helpful to importers and exporters. If an importer is unable to pay customs duty immediately after the arrival of goods he can store the goods in a bonded warehouse. He can withdraw the goods in instalments by paying the customs duty proportionately. Goods lying in a bonded warehouse can be packaged, graded and branded for the purpose of sale.

Container freight stations (CFS)/inland container depots (ICDs): CFSs/ICDs are custom-bonded facility with public authority status for the handling and storage for containers. These depots equipped with warehousing space, adequate handling equipment and IT infrastructure.

Cold storage: A cold storage is a temperature controlled storage space catering mainly to agriculture and food industries. Cold stores are used for the storage and distribution of perishable goods such as fruits and vegetables, dairy products; frozen foods such as meat and ice cream, and temperature-sensitive pharmaceutical products. Given that India is primarily an agriculture country, cold storage has huge potential in India.

Government storage: The primary objectives of any government storage are 1) to ensure food security, and 2) enable trade movement both within and out of the country. Consequently, the Central Warehousing Corporation operates 431 warehouses (storage capacity of 100.28 lakh MT) including 44 custom bonded warehouses, 29 CFSs/ICDs, 3 air cargo complexes (ACCs) (5,961 MT) and 3 cold storage warehouses (2,419 MT). Further, various State Warehousing Corporations (SWC) manage a total capacity of 283.34 MT across 1,831 warehouses. The Food Corporation of India (FCI) works for holding agricultural produce to meet the requirements of various government schemes. FCI has its own storage capacity but also hires capacities from CWC, SWCs and the private sector.

Cold storage: There are over 7,700 cold storage warehouses with a capacity of over 36 million MT in India with a significant portion of the facilities being privately owned. India’s cold storage capacity is unorganised and dominated by traditional cold storage facilities. The distribution of cold storages is highly uneven with majority of the cold storages located in Uttar Pradesh, Gujarat, Punjab and Maharashtra. Further nearly two thirds of the total cold storage capacity is used for horticulture crops including potato. Despite the storage capacity, the Central Institute of Post-Harvest Engineering and Technology estimates that close to 15 per cent-16 per cent of fruits and vegetables perish as cold storages are located near consumption centres rather than farms. The cold storage segment is driven by growth in trading of perishable products both agricultural and others (e.g. pharmaceutical).

Regulations
WDRA rules:
Warehouses (especially agricultural) in India are regulated and governed under The Warehousing (Regulatory and Development) Act, 2007. The main objective of this Act is to develop and regulate warehouses, negotiability of warehouse receipts, establishment of Warehousing Development and Regulatory Authority (WRDA) and for related matters.

Registration: The act makes it compulsory for a person to carry on warehousing business as a business and issue a negotiable receipt to obtain a certificate of registration.

Warehousing receipt: The warehouse would issue receipts only after ascertaining quantity, quality / grade and other particulars as may be mentioned in the receipts.

Authority and Powers under the Act: Some of the authorities and powers conferred under the Act are granting registration and cancellation/renewal of registration, specifying qualification of warehouseman, and regulating rates, advantages, terms and conditions that may be offered by warehouseman in respect of warehousing business.

Offenses under the Act: Failing to ascertain quality and quantity, failing to surrender negotiable receipt by depositor or endorsee and payment of all his lawful charges and cancellation of encumbrances endorsed on the receipt to deliver the goods represented by the receipt are some of the offences under the act.

Penalties: The offences committed under this Act shall be punishable with imprisonment of a term of up to three years or with fine of Rs 1,00,000 or both.

The industry also remains governed by various acts such as: Multimodal Transportation of Goods Act, 1993, Foreign Trade (Development and Regulation) Act, 1992, Customs Act, 1962, Carriage of goods law etc. regulating the movement of goods and allied services. Various policy changes have impacted the warehousing sector in India. These include the introduction of the Goods and Service Tax (GST), National Policy on Handling, Storage and Transportation, and increasing Public-Private Partnerships (PPP). Following are a few such policy measures:

GST: GST has consolidated the tax regime across states which will result in cost and time efficiencies across the supply chain. GST will also hasten the consolidation of warehouses thus accentuating the formalisation of the largely unorganised warehousing sector. For most logistics services like e-commerce logistics, warehousing and air freight (export), the tax rate is 18 per cent, which is an increase from the earlier rate of 15 per cent which includes service tax and cess. Services like ocean freight and road transportation are in the 5 per cent slab. Under GST, the tax on warehouse, storage and other labour services has increased from 15 per cent to 18 per cent.

Logistics Parks Policy: Launch of multi-modal logistics parks and the grant of "industry" status to the logistics sector.

Domestic manufacturing emphasis: The focus on "Make in India" is expected to increase domestic manufacturing and increase the requirement for associated activities such as warehousing.
Agri-warehousing activity covered under Priority Sector Lending by RBI Subsidy schemes such as 1) Grameen Bhandaran Yojana – a capital investment subsidy scheme offered by the NABARD, which ranges from 15 per cent to 33 per cent of project cost, depending on the location and operator, 2) National Agricultural Renewal Fund. Govt. of India – encourage private investment in the creation of agriculture infrastructure
Tax incentives such as 1) Tax relief under 80(I)(B): tax holiday on warehousing income, 2) Investment-linked deduction under Section 35AD: 100 per cent upfront depreciation for tax purposes
The government permits 100 per cent FDI under the automatic route for all logistics services except courier and air transportation services. In case of courier services, 100 per cent FDI is permitted subject to the approval of the Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB) while FDI up to 74 per cent is permitted under the automatic route for air transport services including air cargo services. Further according to media reports, the government is working on a policy to create new logistics hubs by preparing an integrated logistics plan. The new integrated logistics plan would be prepared by the logistics division in the department of commerce in consultation with various stakeholders.

Trends
Warehouse consolidation due to GST:
With the advent of GST and the consequent redrawing of supply chains, there will be significant consolidation of warehouses by companies in the consumption space. A bigger warehouse in an appropriate location would be able to better serve a larger area. This will lead to development of large modern technology based warehousing operations and rapid modernisation of unorganised godowns. Smaller local developers and property owners are expected to exit the space by selling out to the large institutional developers in existing clusters.

Reduction in inventory holding costs: Further the combining of smaller warehouses into a single larger one is also expected to reduce the inventory level requirements which are expected to positively impact the companies as inventory carrying cost is a significant share of costs.

Smart warehouses: With the increase in the warehousing and storage market there has been a concurrent increase in technology usage especially in the grade A/B warehouses. These warehouses use internet of things (IOT) to track a product in the warehouse and also helps in increasing efficiency and speed across supply chains. Variety of devices such as wearables, sensors and radio frequency identification tags are used to locate the products in the warehouse. This reduces the time to deliver the product to the customer and increases accuracy.

Rise of Direct Port Delivery (DPD): DPD involves the delivery of a shipment directly from a port to the consignee instead of initially holding it at a CFS (Container Freight Station). The DPD initiative under "Ease of Doing Business" has witnessed steady growth in terms of proportion of total containers handled. At JNPT, the share of Direct Port Delivery (DPD) has increased from 5.4 per cent in April 2016 to 39.2 per cent March 2018. This is likely to have an impact on the CFS. However, shortage of space at warehouses poses a challenge to service DPD clients efficiently.

High tonnage trucks sales are expected to rise: Supply chain realignment and check post discontinuation has led to a reduction in the travel time as well as fuel costs. This has led to a demand for larger more efficient trucks as warehouses are consolidating and larger loads are required at lower number of locations. Despite the higher upfront costs, such trucks are expected to reduce overall shipment costs by carrying a larger load per trip.

Negotiable warehouse receipts
Negotiable Warehouse Receipts (NWR) issued by registered warehouses enables farmers to seek loans from banks against NWRs and enables them to extend the sales period of modestly perishable products beyond the harvesting season. Consequently, NWRs can avoid distress sale of agricultural produce by the farmers in the peak marketing season. However, NWRs have not witnessed substantial growth due to 1) low levels of registered warehouses with WDRA, 2) minimal concession from banks for loans against NWRs, 3) presence of other collateral based lending entities, which do not require registration under WDRA.

Demand drivers for logistics
Emergence of MNCs and organised retail:
One of the key demand drivers for the logistics industry has been emergence of MNCs and the share of organised retail has been increasing over the years. Most of the global MNCs prefer low cost manufacturing locations connecting the consuming market at the lowest possible cost and through highly efficient supply chain.

Emergence of 3PL and 4PL: Third party logistics or 3PL is a concept where a single logistics service provider manages the entire logistics function for a company. While the Indian 3PL market is still very much in its infancy compared with other countries, it is experiencing healthy growth and attracting new companies eager to capitalise on the plentiful opportunities it offers, In fourth party logistics 4PL, logistics is controlled by a service provider that does not own the assets to carry out logistics activities but outsources to subcontractors, the 3PL. 4PLs facilitate single-point reference for all logistics needs, possess knowledge of logistics to obtain most efficient and effective solutions, have manpower resources of higher quality to supervise vendors and ensure continuous process improvements and, above, all an IT base to network customer systems.

Robust trade growth: Post liberalisation there has been significant increase in economic growth which has led to an improvement in the domestic and international trade volumes. Consequently the requirement for transportation, handling and warehousing is growing at a robust pace and is driving the demand for integrated logistics solutions.

Globalisation of manufacturing systems: IT plays a key role in transportation and logistics industry. Today technology is present in all the areas for a logistics service provider. Technology helps organised logistics companies score over the unorganised ones, and will be key to their operations going ahead given the competition

Increasing investment in logistics parks: The concept of Logistics Park has gained attention from both public as well as private players. A large number of special economic zones have also necessitated the development of logistics centre for the domestic market as well as for trade purposes

Growth in the organised retail and the food processing sector is driving growth in the cold chain storage segment in India.

Challenges
Lower Standardisation:
India’s logistics industry has been adversely affected by the lower standardisation of cargo and containerisation of logistics traffic, hampering the overall speed and thus increasing cost of storage and movement.
Need for large capital and issues related to land acquisition have also tempered the growth of the sector. However, with expected increase in investment by international players, the gap in funding requirement is expected to be addressed in the near future.
The industry revenue has grown at a modest CAGR of 2.5 per cent over the FY12 – FY17 period. Concurrently, the annual revenue growth rate has varied significantly over the same period. The companies generate the largest share of their revenues from rental i.e. storage charges; other sources of earnings include income from value added services such as such as sorting, packing, blending and processing. On the other hand, the key heads of expenses include employee costs, depreciation, SG&A costs, power & fuel costs and interest costs. Over the FY12-FY17 period, EBITDA margin has moved down as well as up ranging from a low of 7.2 per cent in FY14 to a high of 11 per cent in FY16 and declining to 10.1 per cent, while PAT margin has generally remained at around 2.5 per cent-4 per cent.

Although the debt levels of the companies have trended upwards, the debt to equity has generally remained stable, on the other hand, the interest coverage having peaked in FY15, has trended marginally downwards in the next two years. The decline in credit quality in the transportation and storage sector is on account of delays in debt servicing, liquidity constraints, decline in profitability and deterioration in the capital structure.

Outlook
CARE Ratings estimates that the warehousing industry will grow at a rate of 13-15 per cent in the medium term driven by the growth in manufacturing, retail, FMCG and ecommerce sector. Growth in overall production and consumption, organised retail, logistics outsourcing, and regulatory interventions such as WRDA Act and GST, private investments in logistics and other infrastructure developments such as Dedicated Freight Corridor (DFC) have also improved prospects of the organised professional warehousing segment. Further the implementation of GST is eliminating inefficiencies arising out of the erstwhile complex tax structure as well as interstate taxes.

Additionally, the government’s decision to allow FDI in retailing with emphasis on backend infrastructure such as modern warehousing space is also expected to provide further impetus to the sector.

Industrial warehousing is expected to grow due to various factors including the anticipated increase in global demand, growth in organised retail and increasing manufacturing activities, expansion of e-commerce options and growth in international trade. This segment is expected to witness significant activity as the presence of the unorganised segment which is dominant in the segment is also expected to significantly reduce and the companies would also be rationalising and consolidating their space requirements based on time to serve the market and not taxation.

Demand for agriculture warehousing is expected to grow moderately on account of high base and expected normal monsoons.

Integrated models, diversification across end-user industries are expected to drive growth of cold chain segment. Significant demand is also seen coming from storage of fruits and vegetables, and pharmaceutical segments.

The container freight station (CFS)/ inland container depot (ICD) industry although on a growth curve is expected to be under pressure due to the growth of Direct Port Delivery (DPD) and profitability is expected to be hampered with the anticipated loss of volumes and consequential lower utilisation.

However, the overall growth potential is limited by several key challenges like limitations in infrastructure connectivity, need for large capital and issues related to land acquisition which would need to be addressed for ensuring sustainable growth.

Source: CARE Ratings’ Industry Research on Overview of the India Warehousing Industry

India’s first multi-modal terminal on inland waterways! Prime Minister Narendra Modi inaugurated India’s first multi-modal terminal on the Ganga river in his parliamentary constituency and received the country’s first container cargo transported on inland waterways from Kolkata.

This is the first of the four multi-modal terminals being constructed on the National Waterway-1 (River Ganga) as part of the World Bank-aided "Jal Marg Vikas Project" of the Inland Waterways Authority of India. The total estimated cost of the project is Rs 5,369.18 crore, which will be equally shared between the Government of India and the World Bank. Its objective is to promote inland waterways as a cheap and an environment-friendly means of transportation, especially for cargo movement. The Inland Waterways Authority of India (IWAI) is the project implementing agency. The project entails construction of three multi-modal terminals (Varanasi, Sahibganj and Haldia), two inter-modal terminals, five roll-on-roll-off (Ro-Ro) terminal pairs, new navigation lock at Farakka, West Bengal, assured depth dredging, integrated vessel repair and maintenance facility, differential global positioning system (DGPS), river information system (RIS) and river training.

Disclaimer:
This report is prepared by CARE Ratings Ltd. CARE Ratings has taken utmost care to ensure accuracy and objectivity while developing this report based on information available in public domain. However, neither the accuracy nor completeness of information contained in this report is guaranteed. CARE Ratings is not responsible for any errors or omissions in analysis/inferences/views or for results obtained from the use of information contained in this report and especially states that CARE Ratings has no financial liability whatsoever to the user of this report.

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Concrete

UltraTech Cement expands green logistics with 600+ electric truck fleet

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The e-truck fleet will be used to transport five million MT of clinker and other key materials with potential of over 1,17,000 tonnes of net annual CO₂ reduction, displacing the equivalent of 39 million litres of diesel per year.

Mumbai

UltraTech Cement Limited, an Aditya Birla Group company and the world’s largest cement company by sales volume and capacity outside China, has announced that it will scale up its electric vehicle fleet in its logistics operations to 600+ EV trucks by December 2026.

UltraTech has signed service contracts with leading EV prime mover manufacturers including Tata Motors, Ashok Leyland, IPLTech, Energy in Motion and Sany, along with their subsidiaries and other third-party logistics providers, to deploy EV trucks.

The total fleet of 600+ EV trucks will transport about five million MT of clinker and other key materials per annum across Gujarat, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra and Odisha. Once fully operational, this fleet of over 600 EV trucks will enable a net annual CO₂ reduction of more than 1,17,000 tonnes, displacing the equivalent of 39 million litres of diesel per year.

K C Jhanwar, Managing Director, UltraTech Cement Limited, said, “UltraTech is expanding sustainability beyond its plants by adopting greener logistics solutions. This large-scale transition to green logistics underscores our focus on decarbonising every link of our value chain and supports our commitment to achieving Net Zero.”

UltraTech has been a pioneer in advancing sustainable transport in the cement sector, being the first cement company to deploy heavy-duty electric trucks for long-haul transport of clinker and other materials at scale. The company was among the first in India to introduce green logistics, deploying CNG trucks in 2021 and electric trucks in 2024. UltraTech currently operates 850+ trucks as part of its green logistics operations, including CNG and electric trucks.

UltraTech, with a grey cement capacity of over 200 MTPA in India, operates one of the country’s most complex logistics networks. Its electrification strategy covers the entire supply chain—from mine-to-plant movement to inter-plant transport of clinker and other key materials.

The $ 10 billion UltraTech, the cement flagship company of the Aditya Birla Group, has a total Grey Cement capacity of 205.5 MTPA and White Cement/Putty capacity of 3.2 MTPA. It is a signatory to the GCCA Climate Ambition 2050 and has committed to the Net Zero Concrete roadmap announced by GCCA.

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Concrete

Protect Your Margins

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In a research-backed article, Dr SB Hegde examines why carbon-adjusted profitability and LC3 will decide the next set of winners in cement manufacturing.

The Indian cement industry has achieved world-class operational efficiency through lower specific energy consumption, high plant utilisation and a reduced average clinker factor of approximately 67.5 per cent. These traditional measures of operational excellence remain essential. However, they are no longer sufficient. Carbon now carries a measurable financial cost under India’s Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS) and under European carbon markets. Future leadership will be defined by carbon-adjusted profitability, the ability to generate strong returns while systematically lowering the carbon intensity of every ton sold.
Limestone calcined clay cement (LC3) offers a practical, scalable pathway to achieve this dual objective. By replacing up to 50 per cent of clinker with calcined clay and limestone, LC3 can reduce CO2 emissions by 30–40 per cent while delivering comparable or superior durability performance.
This article examines the technical foundations of LC3, European industrial practices, the emerging Indian carbon market and a concrete roadmap for Indian companies to embed carbon-adjusted metrics and LC3 into daily operations, incentives and commercial strategy.

Limits of traditional operational excellence
For many years, plant performance has been judged primarily by five indicators: specific heat consumption, specific power consumption, kiln and mill utilisation, clinker factor and overall equipment effectiveness. These metrics drove continuous improvement and helped the industry reduce energy use and increase the share of blended cement. Three structural changes have rendered them incomplete as sole measures of success.
First, carbon now carries a real or opportunity cost. Plants that improve volume or lower cash cost while raising or stagnating emissions intensity create a hidden liability that will surface as CCTS trading matures and as green procurement expands.
Second, lower-carbon products such as LC3 and high-performance blended cements are creating differentiated market segments. Customers in infrastructure, real estate and export-oriented construction are beginning to specify embodied-carbon limits.
Third, investors and lenders increasingly treat carbon intensity as a financial risk factor. Traditional KPIs can mask the divergence between short-term cash profit and long-term carbon-adjusted value.

What is carbon-adjusted profitability?
Carbon-adjusted profitability evaluates normal profit after explicit adjustment for carbon performance. A practical expression is:
Carbon-Adjusted EBITDA = Conventional EBITDA – Carbon Cost + Green Premium Income
Carbon cost may be an internal carbon price, the actual cost of purchasing Carbon Credit Certificates under CCTS, or the opportunity cost of high emissions relative to peers. Green premium income arises when customers pay more for verified lower-carbon cement or when the company sells surplus credits. Tracking both conventional and carbon-adjusted profit side-by-side gives management a clearer picture of value creation under evolving market rules.

Table 1. Traditional KPIs versus Carbon-Adjusted Leadership Metrics
Traditional Focus New Leadership Metric Why It Matters
Specific energy consumption Emissions intensity (kg CO2/t cement) Directly linked to future CCTS and CBAM costs
Kiln utilisation Carbon-adjusted contribution margin Reveals true value of incremental volume
Clinker factor Share of lower-carbon products sold (incl. LC3) Measures commercial success of the transition
Power cost per tonne Effective carbon cost per tonne sold Expose hidden liabilities
Absolute EBITDA Carbon-adjusted EBITDA + green premium Aligning profit with future market reality

LC3: Technical foundations and performance advantages
LC3 is a ternary blended cement that typically combines approximately 50 per cent clinker, 30 per cent calcined clay, 15 per cent limestone and 5 per cent gypsum (the classic LC3-50 formulation). The decisive technical advantage is that clay is calcined at 700–850 °C, far below the 1,450 °C required for clinker production. This lower temperature, together with the substantial reduction in clinker content, delivers CO2 reductions of 30–40 per cent relative to ordinary Portland cement (OPC).
Chemistry is synergistic. Calcined kaolinitic clay (metakaolin) reacts with calcium hydroxide from clinker hydration and with limestone to form additional C-A-S-H gel and carboaluminate phases. These phases densify the microstructure, reduce porosity and improve durability.
Field experience shows superior resistance to chloride ingress, sulphate attack and alkali–silica reaction. Early-age strength can match OPC with high-reactivity clays; later-age strengths routinely meet 42.5 and 52.5 grade requirements.
Importantly, LC3 does not require high-purity kaolin. Clays with 40 per cent or even lower kaolinite content can be activated successfully, expanding raw-material availability across India. Calcination can use adapted rotary kilns or dedicated flash calciners, making the technology compatible with existing plant infrastructure and far less capital-intensive than carbon capture.
Economic analyses show that LC3 can be produced at equal or lower cost than OPC in many locations because of reduced energy demand and cheaper clay. Life-cycle assessments consistently report 30–40 per cent lower embodied CO2 per tonne of cement.
Table 2. Comparative profile: OPC versus LC3-50
Parameter OPC LC3-50
Typical clinker content ~95 per cent ~50 per cent
CO2 emissions (relative) Baseline (≈0.85 t CO2/t cement process + fuel) 30–40 per cent lower
Clay calcination temperature Not applicable 700–850 °C
Key hydration products C-S-H, portlandite, ettringite C-A-S-H + carboaluminates
Chloride & sulphate resistance Good Superior
Production cost potential Baseline Equal or lower in most locations
Infrastructure compatibility Existing High (minor adaptations)

In India, commercial adoption has begun in earnest. JK Cement commenced the first commercial production of LC3 in the Indian subcontinent at its Mangrol plant in Rajasthan in 2025 under BIS standard IS 18189.
By early 2026, approximately 2,000 tonnes had been produced and sold, avoiding an estimated 500 tonnes of CO2. JK Lakshmi Cement followed with commercial launch of its Green PRO LC3 grade from the Jaykaypuram plant. As of mid-2026, two producers are supplying LC3 to the market. The first large-scale infrastructure application is the Noida International Airport (Jewar), where LC3 was used in the runway and a building complex, demonstrating full constructability and performance under demanding conditions. These early volumes are still small relative to national cement demand, but they mark the critical transition from pilot to commercial reality. Companies that scale capacity now will be positioned to capture both CCTS credits and emerging green-procurement demand.

Why the shift is accelerating
According to the World Bank’s State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2026, direct carbon pricing now covers nearly 30 per cent of global greenhouse-gas emissions and generated more than US$107 billion in public revenue in 2025. The average global carbon price stands at approximately US$21 per tonne, although regional prices vary widely.
In Europe, the EU ETS price has traded near €80–85 per tonen in mid-2026. Free allocation for cement is being withdrawn in parallel with CBAM. European producers therefore face a clear signal: every tonne of avoided CO2 improves both compliance and competitiveness. Holcim has scaled calcined-clay production, including Europe’s first dedicated line at Saint-Pierre-la-Cour (France) and a second line in the Czech Republic (2026). Heidelberg Materials, Cementir (FUTURECEM) and others have commercialised low-clinker calcined-clay blends across multiple markets, showing that carbon-adjusted profitability is already reshaping capital allocation in the world’s most mature carbon market.India’s CCTS is now operational. Binding emission intensity targets apply to 186 cement facilities for FY 2025–26 and FY 2026–27. Average required reductions for integrated plants are modest (around 2.7 per cent by FY 2027), yet the direction is clear.
Trading of Carbon Credit Certificates is expected in the second half of 2026, with early prices likely in the `800–1,500 per tonne range. Plants that outperform targets can sell credits; those that underperform must buy them or face compensation. Cement is well positioned to be a net supplier of credits if clinker factor continues to fall through LC3 and other low-clinker systems.

Way forward for India
India starts from a strong baseline, world-class energy efficiency and a clinker factor already lower than the global average. The next competitive frontier is the deliberate reduction of process emissions through clinker substitution at scale. LC3 is uniquely suited to Indian conditions because suitable clays are widely distributed, the technology fits existing kiln and grinding infrastructure, and the resulting product can meet the performance demands of both infrastructure and building construction.
A practical national pathway contains five interlocking elements:

  1. Standards and acceptance: Accelerated finalisation and promotion of BIS specifications for calcined-clay and limestone–calcined-clay cements will remove a key barrier to commercial uptake. Alignment with European practice (EN 197-5) can facilitate knowledge transfer and export readiness.
  2. Supply-chain development: Investment in flash calcination capacity and systematic characterisation of regional clay deposits will secure reliable, low-cost feedstock. Existing rotary kilns can be adapted for initial volumes while dedicated calciners are built.
  3. Incentive alignment: Part of variable compensation for plant managers, sales teams and senior leadership should be linked to emissions intensity reduction and to the volume of lower-carbon products (including LC3) sold. Without this link, traditional volume and cost targets will continue to dominate behaviour.
  4. Product-level carbon accounting: Reliable measurement of emissions intensity at the individual cement grade level, supported by third-party verification where required, is essential for both CCTS compliance and credible green claims.
  5. Demand-side pull: Green public procurement policies that specify maximum embodied-carbon thresholds for major infrastructure projects will create a predictable market for LC3 and other low-carbon cements, accelerating scale and cost reduction.
    Companies that treat LC3 as a strategic product line rather than a niche offering will be better positioned to generate surplus Carbon Credit Certificates, capture any emerging green premium, and protect margins as carbon costs rise.

Organisational changes required
Technical capability alone is insufficient. Three organisational shifts are required.
Daily management: Emissions intensity must appear on the same daily and monthly dashboards as heat consumption, power consumption and utilization. Plant reviews should examine both conventional and carbon-adjusted results.
Incentives: A meaningful portion of bonuses for plant heads, technical teams and sales leadership should be tied to lower emissions intensity and successful commercialisation of LC3 and other low-carbon grades.
Commercial approach: Sales teams need clear volume and pricing targets for lower-carbon products, supported by technical service that helps customers specify and place the material correctly. Without commercial pull, excellent technical performance remains under-utilised.

Table 3. Three-stage roadmap to carbon-adjusted profitability
Time Horizon Priority Actions Expected Outcome
Next 12 months Add emissions intensity to plant dashboards; establish internal carbon price; initiate LC3 pilot production and customer trials Visibility and early organisational learning
12–24 months Revise incentive systems; scale LC3 and other low-carbon grades to key accounts; secure third-party verification capability People and sales aligned with carbon goals
24–36 months Embed carbon-adjusted metrics in board reporting and capital allocation; expand calcined-clay capacity Full system integration and competitive advantage

Questions senior leaders should ask
Boards can accelerate the transition by insisting on answers to a short list of questions:
• Is our carbon-adjusted profit improving, stable or declining relative to conventional EBITDA?
• Did recent volume growth improve or worsen our emissions intensity?
• What share of sales already comes from lower-carbon products, including LC3, and what is the trajectory?
• How exposed is our capital expenditure plan to rising carbon costs under CCTS and potential CBAM-related requirements?
• Do our incentive systems still reward only volume and cost, or have they been updated to include carbon performance?
Treating carbon with the same seriousness as energy cost or kiln utilization does not diminish operational excellence; it expands the definition of excellence to match the new competitive reality.

Looking ahead
By 2030 the gap between leading and lagging cement companies will not be decided by who records the lowest specific heat consumption. It will be decided by who delivers the strongest carbon-adjusted profits.
Absolute emissions may still rise as national production grows. That is not the issue. Companies that reduce intensity year after year and successfully sell cleaner products will pull ahead in both domestic and export markets. Those that do not will fall behind, even if their traditional efficiency numbers look strong.
Operational excellence built the Indian cement industry. It remains the foundation. It is no longer the complete picture. Carbon-adjusted profitability is the clearer measure of success.
LC3 is not a distant technology. It is available now. It cuts CO3 by 30–40 per cent, works with existing plants, and is already in commercial production in India. Companies that treat it as a strategic product, not a pilot, will protect their margins and generate tradable credits.
Leaders who act now will place carbon metrics on daily dashboards, link incentives to intensity reduction and LC3 sales, invest in calcined-clay capacity, and build commercial capability to sell lower-carbon products. They will shape the next chapter of the industry.

References

  1. World Bank. (2026). State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2026. Washington, DC: World Bank Group.
  2. International Carbon Action Partnership (ICAP). (2026). India Carbon Credit Trading Scheme – Status and Coverage. Berlin: ICAP.
  3. Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change / Bureau of Energy Efficiency. (2025). Greenhouse Gases Emission Intensity Target Rules, 2025. New Delhi: Government of India.
  4. Scrivener, K., Martirena, F., Bishnoi, S., & Maity, S. (2018). Calcined clay limestone cements (LC3). Cement and Concrete Research, 114, 49–56.
  5. RMI. (2024). The Business Case for LC3. Rocky Mountain Institute.
  6. European Commission. (2026). EU Emissions Trading System – Allowance Price Data and Free Allocation Phase-out Schedule. Brussels.
  7. Holcim. (2025–2026). Scaling Calcined Clay for Sustainable Building – Corporate Updates on European and Latin American Capacity. Zurich: Holcim Ltd.
  8. LC3 Project / EPFL. (2026). LC3 – A Guide to Best Practices for Scalable, Affordable and Sustainable Low-Carbon Building. Lausanne: École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne.
  9. Business Today / Industry Reports. (2026). First Large-Scale LC3 Application at Noida International Airport, Jewar. New Delhi.
  10. NITI Aayog / Industry Analyses. (2026). Roadmap and Baseline Performance Indicators for the Indian Cement Sector. New Delhi.
  11. Springer / Innovative Infrastructure Solutions. (2026). LC3 Systems: A Review of Chemistry, Performance, Durability and Sustainability toward Market Adoption.
  12. Cementir Holding / Industry Sources. (2025–2026). FUTURECEM and Related Low-Clinker Technologies in Europe.
  13. Climate Risk Horizons & Independent Analyses. (2026). Assessment of Emission Intensity Targets under India’s CCTS for Cement and Other Hard-to-Abate Sectors.
  14. GCCA / TERI. (Various years). Decarbonization Roadmaps for the Indian Cement Industry.
  15. EN 197-5:2021. Cement – Part 5: Portland-composite cement CEM II/C-M and Composite cement CEM VI. European Committee for Standardization.

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Concrete

More Oversight Makes Cement Plants Less Safe

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Dijam Panigrahi makes a counterintuitive but data-backed argument that routing every sensor alert through human approval does not make cement plants safer.

India’s cement industry has spent the last two years wiring kilns, mills and coolers with sensors and automated control systems, and the safety case for doing so is strong on paper. Contract workers still make up the majority of the industry’s workforce, and fatal accidents remain a recurring problem. The Indian National Cement Workers Federation has noted that around 83 per cent of workers in the sector hold precarious positions, a fact that resurfaced after an oxygen cylinder explosion killed three contract workers at a plant in Chhattisgarh.
Industry tallies compiled by IndustriALL found cement plants recorded at least seventeen accidents in one year with 21 workers killed, and ten accidents the following year with nine killed, most of them contract staff. Automated monitoring, in theory, closes that gap. A sensor never gets complacent and never skips a check because a shift is short staffed.
However, plants that respond by routing every anomaly reading to a person for approval are quietly building a system that fails the same way understaffing does. When operators receive dozens of flagged deviations a shift, most of them minor, they learn a simple lesson: the fastest way through the queue is to approve without reading closely. The safety benefit disappears, not because the technology failed, but because the humans supervising it adapted to the volume.

Why alerts get ignored
A study cited by manufacturing technology publisher Applied SmartFactory found more than 95 per cent of alarms in a semiconductor fab were low priority, and only about 4 per cent ever triggered an action, with just 100 out of 5,000 alarms accounting for 70 per cent of all alarm activity. The mechanism is the same whether the trigger is a vibration sensor or an AI model flagging a kiln temperature swing. Once the ratio of noise to signal crosses a threshold, workers stop treating the system as a decision aid and start treating it as a formality to clear.
The scale of AI deployment underway makes this more than a theoretical risk. Stanford’s 2026 AI Index Report found organisational adoption of AI has reached 88 per cent, even as documented AI incidents rose to 362 in 2025, up sharply from 233 the year before, according to analysis of the report. The Index also found only about a third of organisations have adopted a formal governance framework, with NIST’s AI Risk Management Framework cited by 33 per cent and ISO/IEC 42001 cited by 36 per cent.
Most manufacturers are deploying monitoring systems faster than they are building the judgment for when a flagged event actually needs a person’s attention. In India, plants run by JK Cement have begun pairing CCTV feeds with AI to define safe zones around heavy machinery, a promising direction that still depends on operators trusting and reading the alerts the system generates.

A three-tier model for cement plant
The fix is not less monitoring or more monitoring. It is classifying decisions by risk and by novelty, rather than treating human oversight as a single switch that is either on or off. A workable model sorts factory floor events into three tiers.
The first tier, proceed, covers deviations the plant has seen before that fall within known safe bounds, such as a kiln feed rate adjustment within an established range. These should run without a stop for approval, because routing them to a person only trains that person to click through.
The second tier, pause, covers events that are unusual but not yet dangerous, such as a vibration reading trending toward a limit or a fuel blend shifting outside its typical mix. These warrant a brief human check before the system proceeds, giving an operator the chance to apply judgment the model does not yet have.
The third tier, escalate, covers events that are both high risk and unfamiliar, such as a pressure reading combined with a temperature spike that has no close precedent in the plant’s history. These should stop the process entirely and require a decision from someone with the authority to shut down a line.

Who should set the threshold
Where these tiers get drawn matters as much as the framework itself. Threshold setting is frequently handed to the vendor supplying the monitoring software or to a plant’s IT department, both of which understand the technology but not the specific tolerances of a given kiln, mill or line. Operations staff, who know that a particular grinding unit runs hotter under monsoon humidity or that a calciner behaves differently after a refractory reline, are better positioned to calibrate what counts as routine on their own equipment.
Handing threshold ownership to operations does not remove IT or vendors from the process, but it puts the calibration decision closest to the people who live with its consequences on the floor.

Signals that oversight is actually working
A few concrete indicators reveal whether a monitoring setup is functioning as intended or simply providing the appearance of safety. The escalation rate over time is the first: a rate that stays flat or climbs slowly as operations mature is healthy, while one that spikes and then falls sharply often means operators have started overriding the system rather than engaging with it. Time to resolution is the second: escalations that take progressively longer to close suggest fatigue or confusion about ownership, not diligence. The third, and most telling, is how accurate the system’s own uncertainty estimates turn out to be, meaning whether events flagged as high risk actually correlated with real incidents, and whether events waved through stayed incident free. A system whose escalations do not track with actual outcomes trains operators toward the same complacency that unmonitored equipment produces.
None of this argues against automation in Indian cement manufacturing, where a labor structure built on contract work and a track record of serious accidents make better monitoring an urgent need. It argues for treating human oversight as a design problem with three distinct settings, rather than a single
dial turned up whenever a plant wants to look safer on paper.

About the author:
Dijam Panigrahi, Co-founder and COO, GridRaster, is a spatial computing platform for industrial enterprises and manufacturers.

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