Ujjwal Parwal, Founder & Director, RationalStat LLC, shares a report on the role of green hydrogen as an alternative fuel for cement production.
According to the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) most recent predictions, which were released at the end of 2019, the world’s energy demand will rise by 25 to 30 per cent by 2040, resulting in an increase in CO2 emissions in an economy dependent on coal and oil and exacerbating climate change. Decarbonizing the earth envisions a different world in 2050, powered by clean energy like green hydrogen, which is more accessible, effective and sustainable. To create green hydrogen, low-carbon or renewable energy sources are used, which significantly reduces carbon emissions as compared to grey hydrogen, the majority of the hydrogen market is produced by steam-reforming natural gas. The cement industry might use green hydrogen as an alternative fuel, reducing its carbon footprint.
Challenges of Using Green Hydrogen However, the cost of manufacturing green hydrogen is currently higher than conventional fossil fuels, and there is still a lack of infrastructure for the production, storage, and transportation of green hydrogen. Despite these challenges, there are already instances of cement manufacturers looking into using green hydrogen. For example, Cemex announced its intention to power its cement mill in Germany with green hydrogen in 2021, and HeidelbergCement aims to run its manufacturing process on carbon-neutral fuels like green hydrogen by 2030.
Market Insights on Green Hydrogen According to RationalStat, the green hydrogen industry is expected to experience rapid growth in the years to come, with global green hydrogen production capacity anticipated to increase from 2,000 MW in 2020 to 2,852 MW by the end of 2021. Although this is a substantial rise in capacity, it still represents only a small portion of the overall world energy demand. Nonetheless, several nations and businesses have ambitious goals for the development of the green hydrogen sector. For instance, Germany plans to add 5 GW of electrolyser capacity by 2030, while the European Union has set a goal of 40 GW by the same year. Australia aims to lead the green hydrogen export industry to Asia, with plans to produce 1 GW and 10 GW of hydrogen by 2025 and 2040, respectively.
The India Perspective India is well-positioned to become a leading producer and consumer of green hydrogen as a result of ample and low-cost raw materials. India’s Green Hydrogen production capacity is likely to reach at least 5 million tonnes per annum during the forecast period, annually. The Indian government has been strongly striving to use green hydrogen as energy in the cement and steel industry in place of coal in a bid to protect the environment. A strong government push towards green hydrogen production under its National Green Hydrogen Mission will scale up the production. The government’s incentive aims to make green hydrogen cheaper and bring down its production cost, currently at INR 300 to INR 400 per kg.
Notable Events across India’s Green Hydrogen Market In April 2022, Oil India, a Government of India enterprise, commissioned the country’s only pure green hydrogen pilot plant with an installed capacity of 10 kg per day at its Jorhat Pump Station in Assam. In February 2023, the Department of Science and Technology and Germany’s Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems signed a letter of intent for a long-term collaboration focusing on hydrogen and other clean technologies.
Also, the European Investment Bank signed a memorandum of understanding with the India Hydrogen Alliance to provide ~US$1.06 billion to develop large-scale green hydrogen hubs and projects across India.
In January 2023, Essar Group announced to invest US$ 1.2 billion for green hydrogen production.
In 2022, L&T installed a green hydrogen plant that will produce 45 kg of green hydrogen daily, which will be used for captive consumption at the company’s Hazira manufacturing complex.
In 2022, Karnataka signed two major projects relating to hydrogen production, adding to the ongoing efforts to cement energy security through green initiatives.
Key Countries Exploring Green Hydrogen While there are several countries exploring or using green hydrogen as an alternative fuel for the cement industry, it is important to note that this is still an emerging technology, and adoption varies widely by region. Germany: The German cement industry is actively exploring the use of green hydrogen as an alternative fuel to reduce CO2 emissions. A joint research project between the German Cement Works Association and the Technical University of Munich aims to develop a large-scale pilot plant for green hydrogen use in cement production. Norway: Norwegian company Norcem is the first cement producer in the world to use hydrogen as a fuel in cement production. The company has been using hydrogen since 2020 and aims to achieve zero emissions by 2030. Spain: Spanish cement company Cemex has signed an agreement with energy company Iberdrola to develop a green hydrogen production plant in the Canary Islands that will supply the cement industry. Australia: Australian cement company Adelaide Brighton Cement is partnering with the Australian Renewable Energy Agency to investigate the use of green hydrogen as a fuel in cement production. Netherlands: Dutch cement company HeidelbergCement is partnering with Dutch gas infrastructure company Gasunie to develop a pilot project for the use of hydrogen in cement production.
Largest Green Hydrogen Producer China maintains the first place in hydrogen production and consumption of more than 24 million metric tonnes (Mt) followed by the European Union (EU), India, Japan, South Korea, and the United States. The development of Chinese markets and technologies at each stage of the value chain is strongly supported by the Chinese government as part of the country’s push toward green hydrogen. State-owned businesses and state research and development institutions are working enthusiastically to create hydrogen technologies in anticipation of a significant expansion of the sector. By 2050, it is predicted that hydrogen would make up 10–12 per cent of China’s energy consumption and up to 22 per cent globally. For the country to reach this point sustainably and in line with its emission targets, cheap and scalable green hydrogen technology such as electrolysers is needed. Within a few years, green hydrogen is predicted to be priced at parity with grey hydrogen, which is currently less expensive, as costs for carbon-rich fuels rise and electrolysis technology develops. According to RationalStat, the following are the four pillars of China’s Green Hydrogen Industry:
R&D Investment: More than half of the green hydrogen (water electrolysis) patents filed in 2018 and 2019 worldwide were registered in China.
Policy Support: Over 500 hydrogen-related policies have been released by the local and provincial governments.
Project Development: More than 120 green hydrogen projects are under construction, further increasing the production capacity.
Industrial Build-up: China has installed an electrolyzer capacity to reach 38GW by 2030.
These are just a few examples of countries and companies exploring the use of green hydrogen as an alternative fuel for the cement industry. However, it’s important to note that this is an emerging technology and its adoption varies widely by region.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Ujjwal Parwal is the Director and Founder of RationalStat LLC, a leading global market research and procurement intelligence firm with 10+ years of industry expertise.
Cement stocks surged over 5% on Monday, driven by Jefferies’ positive outlook on demand recovery, supported by increased government capital expenditure and favourable price trends.
JK Cement led the rally with a 5.3% jump, while UltraTech Cement rose 3.82%, making it the top performer on the Nifty 50. Dalmia Bharat and Grasim Industries gained over 3% each, with Shree Cement and Ambuja Cement adding 2.77% and 1.32%, respectively.
“Cement stocks have been consolidating without significant upward movement for over a year,” noted Vikas Jain, head of research at Reliance Securities. “The Jefferies report with positive price feedback prompted a revaluation of these stocks today.”
According to Jefferies, cement prices were stable in November, with earlier declines bottoming out. The industry is now targeting price hikes of Rs 10-15 per bag in December.
The brokerage highlighted moderate demand growth in October and November, with recovery expected to strengthen in the fourth quarter, supported by a revival in government infrastructure spending.
Analysts are optimistic about a stronger recovery in the latter half of FY25, driven by anticipated increases in government investments in infrastructure projects.
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The Ministry of Steel has proposed a 25% safeguard duty on certain steel imports to address concerns raised by domestic producers. The proposal emerged during a meeting between Union Steel Minister H.D. Kumaraswamy and Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal in New Delhi, attended by senior officials and executives from leading steel companies like SAIL, Tata Steel, JSW Steel, and AMNS India.
Following the meeting, Goyal highlighted on X the importance of steel and metallurgical coke industries in India’s development, emphasising discussions on boosting production, improving quality, and enhancing global competitiveness. Kumaraswamy echoed the sentiment, pledging collaboration between ministries to create a business-friendly environment for domestic steelmakers.
The safeguard duty proposal aims to counter the impact of rising low-cost steel imports, particularly from free trade agreement (FTA) nations. Steel Secretary Sandeep Poundrik noted that 62% of steel imports currently enter at zero duty under FTAs, with imports rising to 5.51 million tonnes (MT) during April-September 2024-25, compared to 3.66 MT in the same period last year. Imports from China surged significantly, reaching 1.85 MT, up from 1.02 MT a year ago.
Industry experts, including think tank GTRI, have raised concerns about FTAs, highlighting cases where foreign producers partner with Indian firms to re-import steel at concessional rates. GTRI founder Ajay Srivastava also pointed to challenges like port delays and regulatory hurdles, which strain over 10,000 steel user units in India.
The government’s proposal reflects its commitment to supporting the domestic steel industry while addressing trade imbalances and promoting a self-reliant manufacturing sector.
The Indian government has introduced anti-dumping duties on anodized aluminium frames for solar panels and modules imported from China, a move hailed by the Aluminium Association of India (AAI) as a significant step toward fostering a self-reliant aluminium sector.
The duties, effective for five years, aim to counter the influx of low-cost imports that have hindered domestic manufacturing. According to the Ministry of Finance, Chinese dumping has limited India’s ability to develop local production capabilities.
Ahead of Budget 2025, the aluminium industry has urged the government to introduce stronger trade protections. Key demands include raising import duties on primary and downstream aluminium products from 7.5% to 10% and imposing a uniform 7.5% duty on aluminium scrap to curb the influx of low-quality imports.
India’s heavy reliance on aluminium imports, which now account for 54% of the country’s demand, has resulted in an annual foreign exchange outflow of Rupees 562.91 billion. Scrap imports, doubling over the last decade, have surged to 1,825 KT in FY25, primarily sourced from China, the Middle East, the US, and the UK.
The AAI noted that while advanced economies like the US and China impose strict tariffs and restrictions to protect their aluminium industries, India has become the largest importer of aluminium scrap globally. This trend undermines local producers, who are urging robust measures to enhance the domestic aluminium ecosystem.
With India’s aluminium demand projected to reach 10 million tonnes by 2030, industry leaders emphasize the need for stronger policies to support local production and drive investments in capacity expansion. The anti-dumping duties on solar panel components, they say, are a vital first step in building a sustainable and competitive aluminium sector.