Economy & Market
Dissecting the Indian stimulus package
Published
5 years agoon
By
admin
Covid-19 has taken the economy off the cliff; recent enquiry by most of the banks and economists have put a tag of 3 to 5 per cent drop in the GDP for the full year, these numbers for the moment are not improving after the stimulus but actually deteriorating. Did something go wrong in the stimulus?
Well first of all any stimulus package has two components, the monetary component, which acts on the supply side and a fiscal component, which acts on the demand side as when additional spend items from the side of the government happens due to additional cash deployed from the government, the economic activities see a fresh lease of life. But this would mean additional cash spending that can only come from additional loans taken by the government over and above the existing ones at play.
Take the US stimulus, the first tranche of $2 trillion, which is 10 per cent of GDP and it is a great way to see how the stimulus works. Half of this is actually monetary in nature, these are loans, $500 billion for large businesses and $367 billion for small businesses and $150 billion to State and local governments. This makes 5 per cent of GDP. It will strengthen the supply side. The balance 5 per cent of GDP is actually cash transfers directly to the people ($1,200 for each adult and $500 for each child).
The whole stimulus package is worth one paragraph. The fiscal action of actually spending by the government is done though cash directly to the populace who can spend. But the Indian stimulus consisting of several tranches makes it difficult to dissect what is fiscal and what is monetary and what is reallocation of existing resources.
Let us take the overall numbers of the Indian stimulus package. The overall pledge of Rs 20 lakh crore looks just the kind of stimulus that India actually needs. But the stimulus is directed to monetary release, which by the way has been tried by RBI for the past several months to stimulate supply but the transmission channels showed no traction. The total pledge by the government is a staggering Rs 11.43 lakh crore and adding Rs 40,000 crore of MGNREGS it takes the tally to Rs 11.83 lakh crore of pledges, while the balance of the Rs 20 lakh crore is reallocation of resources.
But surprisingly, the real cash outgo is just Rs 1.37 lakh crore, this is not even 1 per cent of GDP.
The real cash outflow is what really matters now. Think of the US stimulus and the immediate cash outflow was 5 per cent of the GDP as direct payments to the people; the business loans and those to the State governments also released a significant chunk of the funds immediately (at least the ones to the airlines and hospitality sector was immediate). If I tried to dissect the myriad of initiatives that got added in the tranches like the Coal evacuation initiatives, that would add another Rs 50,000 crore as a fiscal stimulus taking the tally to Rs 2.5 lakh crore.
So the 10 per cent stimulus effectively comes to less than 1 per cent of actual cash release. This is the amount that the government is going to draw additional to what it is already committed to draw this year. This is all that will change in terms of the government’s fiscal position.
Isn’t it too little and how much of that is going to the most distressed people, the migrants, who have returned to their homeland? Well, giving food to them is the right thing to do, but is it a stimulus, that is a million dollar question; most of the purported items in the stimulus appear to be reallocation of resources.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR: Procyon Mukherjee works as Chief Procurement Officer at LafargeHolcim India. The ideas presented are his personal and have no connection to the beliefs of the company where he works.
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Roads form the backbone of any modern economy, facilitating trade, connectivity, and socio-economic growth. Across the world, road networks continue to expand, adapting to the challenges of sustainability, urbanisation, and technological evolution. India, the world’s second-largest road network with 6.3 million km of highways, state roads, and local roads, has become a focal point for infrastructure transformation. With increasing investments in expressways, tunnels, and smart roads, the sector is poised for a technological revolution that balances innovation with sustainability.
With Bharatmala Pariyojana, India’s government has set an ambitious goal of constructing 50,000 km of expressways and access-controlled highways by 2047. The nation’s budget for road infrastructure has surged to Rs 2.6 trillion in 2023, with further increases expected in 2024. However, as roads continue to serve as a key economic driver, the industry must adapt to increasing demands for sustainable materials, automation, and intelligent transport solutions—precisely what RAHSTA Expo 2025 aims to address.
The 15th RAHSTA Expo—Asia’s premier roads and highways exhibition—will be held on September 3rd and 4th, 2025, at the Jio World Convention Centre. As part of the 11th India Construction Festival, this grand event is presented by First Construction Council and backed by key industry associations such as the National Highways Builders Federation, International Road Federation – India Chapter, and CSIR -Central Road Research Institute. With an expected 10,000+ visitors, 200+ exhibitors, and 50+ speakers, RAHSTA Expo 2025 will bring together industry leaders, policymakers, engineers, and innovators to discuss, exhibit, and implement new technologies in the global road construction industry.
RAHSTA, an acronym for Roads and Highways, encapsulates the expo’s mission: to revolutionise the road construction industry with cutting-edge technologies, materials, and safety standards. The event stands as a vital international platform where stakeholders can explore solutions for high-quality, cost-effective, and sustainable road construction. With exhibitors and attendees spanning continents, this expo fosters cross-border collaborations that shape the future of mobility.
One of the focuses of the expo is road safety, a global challenge that sees over 1.3 million deaths annually due to poorly designed and maintained roads. The event will introduce automation in construction, a transformative force that enhances efficiency in this traditionally labour-intensive industry. Attendees will witness demonstrations of AI-powered predictive maintenance, automated asphalt laying, and drone-based road inspections.
Future-proofing road construction
With growing concerns over carbon emissions, resource depletion, and climate resilience, RAHSTA Expo 2025 is putting sustainability at the forefront. Roads must not only support increasing traffic loads but also be built with environmentally friendly materials.
New innovations to be showcased at the expo include self-healing roads, plastic roads, permeable pavements, solar roads, and nano-technology-enhanced materials. These advancements will help the industry align with global sustainability goals, ensuring that infrastructure growth does not come at the cost of environmental degradation.
With the rise of smart infrastructure, the integration of Internet of Things (IoT) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) is transforming roads into intelligent transport networks. RAHSTA Expo 2025 will feature groundbreaking developments such as: smart roads with real-time traffic monitoring, predictive maintenance using Digital Twin Technology, autonomous construction machinery, and drones for surveying and quality control.
This fusion of digital technology with civil engineering is paving the way for more resilient, efficient, and adaptive road networks globally.
The India Construction Festival
RAHSTA Expo 2025 will be a flagship event under the 11th India Construction Festival, a multi-event platform that celebrates advancements in infrastructure. Alongside RAHSTA Expo, the festival will feature:
- 15th India RAHSTA Conference – Engaging discussions on policy, investment, and future technologies.
- 13th Equipment India Awards – Recognising excellence in construction equipment innovation.
- 23rd Construction World Global Awards (CWGA) – Honouring the industry’s most impactful projects and leaders.
- 20th Construction World Architect & Builder (CWAB) Awards – Honour the visionaries shaping the country’s skyline – Top Architects, Top Builders, and Noteworthy Projects.
Attendees at RAHSTA Expo will have access to these prestigious industry events, making it the most comprehensive construction and infrastructure gathering in Asia.
Be a Part of RAHSTA Expo 2025
The 15th RAHSTA Expo 2025 presents a golden opportunity for stakeholders, investors, and innovators from across the globe to converge in Mumbai and explore cutting-edge advancements in road construction. As the world moves towards more intelligent, sustainable, and resilient infrastructure, this expo will serve as the ultimate platform to drive change and innovation in the sector.
To book your exhibition space, explore sponsorship opportunities, or register as a delegate, visit:
- www.RAHSTAexpo.com
- www.IndiaConstructionFestival.com
For booking exhibition space and sponsorships, contact:
- Sujoy Gomes: +91 86577 95881 | Email: Sujoy.G@ASAPPinfoGlobal.com
For delegate registrations, contact:
- Siraj: +91 97695 77206 | Email: Siraj.K@ASAPPinfoGlobal.com
RAHSTA Expo 2025 is not just about roads—it’s about the future of mobility, sustainability, and innovation. Be there to witness the transformation of the global infrastructure industry!
Road Development Projects in Maharashtra
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These projects represent a significant opportunity for infrastructure development, particularly in the road construction sector, which will see substantial demand for advanced construction machinery and technology.
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This rapid growth is primarily driven by increasing infrastructure investments, including large-scale road and highway projects, which require advanced machinery, automation, and AI-powered equipment to meet the scale and complexity of these developments.
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