Connect with us

Process

Reviving Consumer Interest

Published

on

Shares

Though it was supposed to be an interim budget, it has given a direction for the whole year by announcing different schemes to boost disposable income, which will eventually help revive consumer demand, including for cement.

The Union Interim Budget 2019-20 has taken a detour from the normally practice of confining to "Vote on Account" (providing for the government expenses till the new government assumes charge), to make its intentions clear – attractive sops for various sections of population, farmers and industry, before the upcoming general elections. Though it can be considered a directional budget for the whole year with a clear populist streak, it has given something for every section of the population and industry to cheer about.

Most of the economists and analysts Indian Cement Review had the opportunity to study have said that the real estate sector was the biggest beneficiary among all the corporate sectors in the interim budget. Even the sops given to individuals increasing their disposable income will lead to demand for affordable housing, which will result in pent up demand for cement.

In its post-budget analysis, CARE Ratings said though the budget is positive for real estate, it has neutral rating for impact on cement sector. "We expect the current consumption growth to continue for the cement sector and the capacity utilization to sustain in FY19 & 20," says Madan Sabnavis, Chief Economist, CARE Ratings.

Real estate in spotlight
It was raining incentives for the real estate segment, which is expected to have a positive rub off on cement demand. They have come in the form of increased disposable income with people, capital gains relaxations on sale of property, tax exemption for owning second house, and extension of timeframe for benefits available under the Affordable Housing scheme till March 2020. All these incentives are expected to push demand and supply side factors in the beleaguered real estate sector, says Shishir Baijal, Chairman & Managing Director, Knight Frank India.

"For the demand side, the budget has ensured better liquidity and lower tax burdens on the purchase of homes. The benefit of rollover of capital gains has been increased from one house to two houses, up to Rs 2 crore (once in lifetime), is a tremendous step by the government that will boost sales in both primary and secondary markets," adds Baijal.

Stating that both real estate and cement segments were winners from the budget proposals, Vaibhav Agarwal, Vice President, Institutional Equity Research, PhillipCapital (India) says that all cement players, especially players who remain more focused on building brands and increase their trade segment sales, will be the winners, while in the real estate segment those who are focused on affordable housing and those who have a high inventory overhang will benefit. Emphasis on increasing income in the hands of rural households and reviving the real-estate sector augurs well for the sectors though the momentum may not be visible immediately, Agarwal added.

Infra push
Infrastructure spend is expected to continue in the same pace in the next few quarters, if the projects announced in the budget are executed in the same spirit.

"Execution in infrastructure has been splendid. The revised capital outlay (budgetary allocation + internal and extra budgetary resources) for infrastructure for this fiscal is 11% higher vs the budget estimate, with civil aviation and power seeing the highest achievement ratios. A note of caution is, however, warranted since actual expenditure this fiscal fell short by 10 per cent compared with the revised estimate then presented," says Amish Mehta, COO, CRISIL Ltd.

The interim budget has also increased allocations to the Ministry of Railways by 21.1 per cent this year. This, adding to 11.8 per cent rise in allocations for the Ministry of Housing and Urban Affairs, are kindling hopes of increased demand for steel during the next couple of years. "Increased allocation towards these ministries implies expansion in railway infrastructure and rise in development of residential and non-residential projects. This is expected to result in higher demand of steel (especially long steel products) during the year," says Sabnavis.

Samir Lambay, Co-Founder & CEO, FreightCrate Technologies, says the budget initiatives like duty free inputs of capital goods will improve the global price competitiveness of Indian companies. "The initiative to allow duty free inputs of capital goods for manufacturing sector and simplified customs approvals will increase the global price competitiveness of our manufacturing companies and consequently boost exports."

Moreover, the improvement in RFID technologies if implemented properly will reduce indirect logistics costs, which as per industry bodies have been historically as much as 38 per cent of logistics costs for Indian companies, adds Lambay.

Fiscal math
The first three years of the Modi government saw prudence in fiscal policy, encouraged by low oil prices. Strains appeared in 2018 as the economy slowed, tax receipts suffered, revenue expenditure overshot, and oil subsidy bill soared. Consequently, fiscal deficit slipped 20 basis points to 3.3 per cent of GDP despite a cut in capex. Now the need to address farm distress and support to middle class have stretched that further.

"For fiscal 2020, divestments will need to be front-loaded to achieve the ambitious target of Rs 90,000 crore and tax collections aggressively pursued. This will be important to keep government bond yields in check," says Dharmakirti Joshi, Chief Economist, CRISIL Ltd.

Richard Heald, CEO, UK India Business Council (UKIBC), says that the Interim Budget, with its emphasis on increasing the disposable incomes of the urban middle class and the hundreds of millions in rural India, will drive consumption and therefore economic activity and that business will welcome this. However, he has wants to see "the continued fiscal discipline and low inflation, which will give confidence to the markets and the wider investor community in the long-term sustainability of India’s economic growth."

– B.S. SRINIVASALU REDDY

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Process

Price hikes, drop in input costs help cement industry to post positive margins: Care Ratings

Published

on

By

Shares

Region-wise,the southern region comprises 35% of the total cement capacity, followed by thenorthern, eastern, western and central region comprising 20%, 18%, 14% and 13%of the capacity, respectively.

The cement industry is expected to post positive margins on decent price hikes over the months, falling raw material prices and marked drop in overall production costs, said an analysis of Care Ratings.

Wholesale and retail prices of cement have increased 11.9% and 12.4%, respectively, in the current financial year. As whole prices have remained elevated in most of the markets in the months of FY20, against the corresponding period of the previous year.

Similarly, electricity and fuel cost have declined 11.9% during 9M FY20 due to drop in crude oil prices. Logistics costs, the biggest cost for cement industry, has also dropped 7.7% (selling and distribution) as the Railways extended the benefit of exemption from busy season surcharge. Moreover, the cost of raw materials, too, declined 5.1% given the price of limestone had fallen 11.3% in the same aforementioned period, the analysis said.

According to Care Ratings, though the overall sales revenue has increased only 1.3%, against 16% growth in the year-ago period, the overall expenditure has declined 3.2% which has benefited the industry largely given the moderation in sales.

Even though FY20 has been subdued in terms of production and demand, the fall in cost of production has still supported the cement industry by clocking in positive margins, the rating agency said.

Cement demand is closely linked to the overall economic growth, particularly the housing and infrastructure sector. The cement sector will be seeing a sharp growth in volumes mainly due to increasing demand from affordable housing and other government infrastructure projects like roads, metros, airports, irrigation.

The government’s newly introduced National Infrastructure Pipeline (NIP), with its target of becoming a $5-trillion economy by 2025, is a detailed road map focused on economic revival through infrastructure development.

The NIP covers a gamut of sectors; rural and urban infrastructure and entails investments of Rs.102 lakh crore to be undertaken by the central government, state governments and the private sector. Of the total projects of the NIP, 42% are under implementation while 19% are under development, 31% are at the conceptual stage and 8% are yet to be classified.

The sectors that will be of focus will be roads, railways, power (renewable and conventional), irrigation and urban infrastructure. These sectors together account for 79% of the proposed investments in six years to 2025. Given the government’s thrust on infrastructure creation, it is likely to benefit the cement industry going forward.

Similarly, the Pradhan Mantri Awaas Yojana, aimed at providing affordable housing, will be a strong driver to lift cement demand. Prices have started correcting Q4 FY20 onwards due to revival in demand of the commodity, the agency said in its analysis.

Industry’s sales revenue has grown at a CAGR of 7.3% during FY15-19 but has grown only 1.3% in the current financial year. Tepid demand throughout the country in the first half of the year has led to the contraction of sales revenue. Fall in the total expenditure of cement firms had aided in improving the operating profit and net profit margins of the industry (OPM was 15.2 during 9M FY19 and NPM was 3.1 during 9M FY19). Interest coverage ratio, too, has improved on an overall basis (ICR was 3.3 during 9M FY19).

According to Cement Manufacturers Association, India accounts for over 8% of the overall global installed capacity. Region-wise, the southern region comprises 35% of the total cement capacity, followed by the northern, eastern, western and central region comprising 20%, 18%, 14% and 13% of the capacity, respectively.

Installed capacity of domestic cement makers has increased at a CAGR of 4.9% during FY16-20. Manufacturers have been able to maintain a capacity utilisation rate above 65% in the past quinquennium. In the current financial year due to the prolonged rains in many parts of the country, the capacity utilisation rate has fallen from 70% during FY19 to 66% currently (YTD).

Source:moneycontrol.com

Continue Reading

Process

Wonder Cement shows journey of cement with new campaign

Published

on

By

Shares

The campaign also marks Wonder Cement being the first ever cement brand to enter the world of IGTV…

ETBrandEquity

Cement manufacturing company Wonder Cement, has announced the launch of a digital campaign ‘Har Raah Mein Wonder Hai’. The campaign has been designed specifically to run on platforms such as Instagram, Facebook and YouTube.

#HarRaahMeinWonderHai is a one-minute video, designed and conceptualised by its digital media partner Triature Digital Marketing and Technologies Pvt Ltd. The entire journey of the cement brand from leaving the factory, going through various weather conditions and witnessing the beauty of nature and wonders through the way until it reaches the destination i.e., to the consumer is very intriguing and the brand has tried to showcase the same with the film.

Sanjay Joshi, executive director, Wonder Cement, said, "Cement as a product poses a unique marketing challenge. Most consumers will build their homes once and therefore buy cement once in a lifetime. It is critical for a cement company to connect with their consumers emotionally. As a part of our communication strategy, it is our endeavor to reach out to a large audience of this country through digital. Wonder Cement always a pioneer in digital, with the launch of our IGTV campaign #HarRahMeinWonderHai, is the first brand in the cement category to venture into this space. Through this campaign, we have captured the emotional journey of a cement bag through its own perspective and depicted what it takes to lay the foundation of one’s dreams and turn them into reality."

The story begins with a family performing the bhoomi poojan of their new plot. It is the place where they are investing their life-long earnings; and planning to build a dream house for the family and children. The family believes in the tradition of having a ‘perfect shuruaat’ (perfect beginning) for their future dream house. The video later highlights the process of construction and in sequence it is emphasising the value of ‘Perfect Shuruaat’ through the eyes of a cement bag.

Tarun Singh Chauhan, management advisor and brand consultant, Wonder Cement, said, "Our objective with this campaign was to show that the cement produced at the Wonder Cement plant speaks for itself, its quality, trust and most of all perfection. The only way this was possible was to take the perspective of a cement bag and showing its journey of perfection from beginning till the end."

According to the company, the campaign also marks Wonder Cement being the first ever cement brand to enter the world of IGTV. No other brand in this category has created content specific to the platform.

Continue Reading

Process

In spite of company’s optimism, demand weakness in cement is seen in the 4% y-o-y drop in sales volume. (Reuters)

Published

on

By

Shares

Cost cuts and better realizations save? the ?day ?for ?UltraTech Cement, Updated: 27 Jan 2020, Vatsala Kamat from Live Mint

Lower cost of energy and logistics helped Ebitda per tonne rise by about 29% in Q3
Premiumization of acquired brands, synergistic?operations hold promise for future profit growth Topics

UltraTech Cement
India’s largest cement producer UltraTech Cement Ltd turned out a bittersweet show in the December quarter. A sharp drop in fuel costs and higher realizations helped drive profit growth. But the inherent demand weakness was evident in the sales volumes drop during the quarter.

Better realizations during the December quarter, in spite of the 4% year-on-year volume decline, minimized the pain. Net stand-alone revenue fell by 2.6% to ?9,981.8 crore.

But as pointed out earlier, lower costs on most fronts helped profitability. The chart alongside shows the sharp drop in energy costs led by lower petcoke prices, lower fuel consumption and higher use of green power. Logistics costs, too, fell due to lower railway freight charges and synergies from the acquired assets. These savings helped offset the increase in raw material costs.

The upshot: Q3 Ebitda (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) of about ?990 per tonne was 29% higher from a year ago. The jump in profit on a per tonne basis was more or less along expected lines, given the increase in realizations. "Besides, the reduction in net debt by about ?2,000 crore is a key positive," said Binod Modi, analyst at Reliance Securities Ltd.

Graphic by Santosh Sharma/Mint
What also impressed analysts is the nimble-footed integration of the recently merged cement assets of Nathdwara and Century, which was a concern on the Street.

Kunal Shah, analyst (institutional equities) at Yes Securities (India) Ltd, said: "The company has proved its ability of asset integration. Century’s cement assets were ramped up to 79% capacity utilization in December, even as they operated Nathdwara generating an Ebitda of ?1,500 per tonne."

Looks like the demand weakness mirrored in weak sales during the quarter was masked by the deft integration and synergies derived from these acquired assets. This drove UltraTech’s stock up by 2.6% to ?4,643 after the Q3 results were declared on Friday.

Brand transition from Century to UltraTech, which is 55% complete, is likely to touch 80% by September 2020. A report by Jefferies India Pvt. Ltd highlights that the Ebitda per tonne for premium brands is about ?5-10 higher per bag than the average (A cement bag weighs 50kg). Of course, with competition increasing in the arena, it remains to be seen how brand premiumization in the cement industry will pan out. UltraTech Cement scores well among peers here.

However, there are road bumps ahead for the cement sector and for UltraTech. Falling gross domestic product growth, fiscal slippages and lower budgetary allocation to infrastructure sector are making industry houses jittery on growth. Although UltraTech’s management is confident that cement demand is looking up, sustainability and pricing power remains a worry for the near term.

Continue Reading

Trending News

SUBSCRIBE TO THE NEWSLETTER

 

Don't miss out on valuable insights and opportunities to connect with like minded professionals.

 


    This will close in 0 seconds