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Demonetisation and After | Positive Outlook

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Vaibhav Agarwal visited north India to assess the impact of the government’s radical move on the region’s cement industry.

We visited cement manufacturers, channel partners, builders and contractors in north India for an update on the situation and outlook after the government’s demonetisation move.

The channel mechanism in north India is very different from the south; channel partners aren’t as happy, and this is a key reason for price volatility in this region. Even so, most partners sounded positive, especially on demand. A majority of them said that pricing is bound to improve in the region and that all players, including the large northern majors, appear to be in favour of better prices.

Prices should recover steadily in the north over Q4/Q1. The impact of demonetisation is now neutralised. Most of the respondents said that although demonetisation has had an impact, it was much lower than initially anticipated.

North India is a largely cash and carry economy. Most traders either adapted to the situation (accepting payments through bank transfers) or were accepting old currency even after 8 November 2016. In many cases, traders said that a lot of their outstandings were cleared in old currency; a few even recovered written off debts ‘ which kept the cycle up. Most channel partners/dealers we met complained of low net margins irrespective of cement prices. This is one of the key reasons why prices there remain more unstable despite high capacity utilisations.

Also the main reason why most price hikes in the north do not flow through as effectively as they do in the south, is because channel partners simply do not participate in companies’ price hike announcements (a key issue that has remained unaddressed for long).

This segment has also not taken to e wallets and swipe machines and it demands more stringent laws for cheque returns due to the weak channel margin structure in the north. Ergo, almost all partners said that they are not in favour of moving to digital payments.

A 1-2 per cent charge on digital transactions, they say, is a very high cost ‘ one that would take away most of their margins. Barring a few, most dealers didn’t have the mechanism for digital payments. It was said that the largest cement major rolled back the idea of installing swipe machines for channel partners. Trade associations here have approached the government to make laws more stringent for cheque returns, as issuing post dated cheques is the most common business practice there. A change in target customer segments has also helped a few manufacturers.

Smart shift
A few cement manufacturers have made a deliberate and smart shift in focus to accounts within their non-trade sales. These are a sub-segment of non-trade customers where the order flow is more regular, with no payment issues, and no extended credits. We understand that this deliberate shift has helped a few north-based manufacturers (such as JK Cement) to sail through demonetisation better. Construction of toilets and roads are some of the key demand drivers. Almost the entire channel expects prices to be up by a minimum (net) of Rs 25/bag over H1CY17.

We reiterate JK Cement as our top northern pick. Other companies like JK Lakshmi Cement, and Mangalam Cement are also attractive bets. Shree Cement will continue to command a premium due to its ability to perform well in all scenarios.

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Concrete

Adani Cement to Deploy World’s First Commercial RDH System

Adani Cement and Coolbrook partner to pilot RDH tech for low-carbon cement.

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Adani Cement and Coolbrook have announced a landmark agreement to install the world’s first commercial RotoDynamic Heater (RDH) system at Adani’s Boyareddypalli Integrated Cement Plant in Andhra Pradesh. The initiative aims to sharply reduce carbon emissions associated with cement production.
This marks the first industrial-scale deployment of Coolbrook’s RDH technology, which will decarbonise the calcination phase — the most fossil fuel-intensive stage of cement manufacturing. The RDH system will generate clean, electrified heat to dry and improve the efficiency of alternative fuels, reducing dependence on conventional fossil sources.
According to Adani, the installation is expected to eliminate around 60,000 tonnes of carbon emissions annually, with the potential to scale up tenfold as the technology is expanded. The system will be powered entirely by renewable energy sourced from Adani Cement’s own portfolio, demonstrating the feasibility of producing industrial heat without emissions and strengthening India’s position as a hub for clean cement technologies.
The partnership also includes a roadmap to deploy RotoDynamic Technology across additional Adani Cement sites, with at least five more projects planned over the next two years. The first-generation RDH will provide hot gases at approximately 1000°C, enabling more efficient use of alternative fuels.
Adani Cement’s wider sustainability strategy targets raising the share of alternative fuels and resources to 30 per cent and increasing green power use to 60 per cent by FY28. The RDH deployment supports the company’s Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi)-validated commitment to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050.  

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Concrete

Birla Corporation Q2 EBITDA Surges 71%, Net Profit at Rs 90 Crore

Stronger margins and premium cement sales boost quarterly performance.

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Birla Corporation Limited reported a consolidated EBITDA of Rs 3320 million for the September quarter of FY26, a 71 per cent increase over the same period last year, driven by improved profitability in both its Cement and Jute divisions. The company posted a consolidated net profit of Rs 900 million, reversing a loss of Rs 250 million in the corresponding quarter last year.
Consolidated revenue stood at Rs 22330 million, marking a 13 per cent year-on-year growth as cement sales volumes rose 7 per cent to 4.2 million tonnes. Despite subdued cement demand, weak pricing, and rainfall disruptions, Birla Jute Mills staged a turnaround during the quarter.
Premium cement continued to drive performance, accounting for 60 per cent of total trade sales. The flagship brand Perfect Plus recorded 20 per cent growth, while Unique Plus rose 28 per cent year-on-year. Sales through the trade channel reached 79 per cent, up from 71 per cent a year earlier, while blended cement sales grew 14 per cent, forming 89 per cent of total cement sales. Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan remained key growth markets with 7–11 per cent volume gains.
EBITDA per tonne improved 54 per cent to Rs 712, with operating margins expanding to 14.7 per cent from 9.8 per cent last year, supported by efficiency gains and cost reduction measures.
Sandip Ghose, Managing Director and CEO, said, “The Company was able to overcome headwinds from multiple directions to deliver a resilient performance, which boosts confidence in the robustness of our strategies.”
The company expects cement demand to strengthen in the December quarter, supported by government infrastructure spending and rural housing demand. Growth is anticipated mainly from northern and western India, while southern and eastern regions are expected to face continued supply pressures.

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Concrete

Ambuja Cements Delivers Strong Q2 FY26 Performance Driven by R&D and Efficiency

Company raises FY28 capacity target to 155 MTPA with focus on cost optimisation and AI integration

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Ambuja Cements, part of the diversified Adani Portfolio and the world’s ninth-largest building materials solutions company, has reported a robust performance for Q2 FY26. The company’s strong results were driven by market share gains, R&D-led premium cement products, and continued efficiency improvements.
Vinod Bahety, Whole-Time Director and CEO, Ambuja Cements, said, “This quarter has been noteworthy for the cement industry. Despite headwinds from prolonged monsoons, the sector stands to benefit from several favourable developments, including GST 2.0 reforms, the Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS), and the withdrawal of coal cess. Our capacity expansion is well timed to capitalise on this positive momentum.”
Ambuja has increased its FY28 capacity target by 15 MTPA — from 140 MTPA to 155 MTPA — through debottlenecking initiatives that will come at a lower capital expenditure of USD 48 per metric tonne. The company also plans to enhance utilisation of its existing 107 MTPA capacity by 3 per cent through logistics infrastructure improvements.
To strengthen its product mix, Ambuja will install 13 blenders across its plants over the next 12 months to optimise production and increase the share of premium cement, improving realisations. These operational enhancements have already contributed to a 5 per cent reduction in cost of sales year-on-year, resulting in an EBITDA of Rs 1,060 per metric tonne and a PMT EBITDA of approximately Rs 1,189.
Looking ahead, the company remains optimistic about achieving double-digit revenue growth and maintaining four-digit PMT EBITDA through FY26. Ambuja aims to reduce total cost to Rs 4,000 per metric tonne by the end of FY26 and further by 5 per cent annually to reach Rs 3,650 per metric tonne by FY28.
Bahety added, “Our Cement Intelligent Network Operations Centre (CiNOC) will bring a paradigm shift to our business operations. Artificial Intelligence will run deep within our enterprise, driving efficiency, productivity, and enhanced stakeholder engagement across the value chain.”

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