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Bad News in New Year

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This December, we were privileged to organise the ICR Cement Expo and Cement Conference concurrently. The theme of the conference was ‘Infrastructure to drive cement demand’. When we planned the conference a few months back, and narrowed down on to the proposed theme, it seemed perfectly logical that the cement demand would look up in 2017, and it also looked certain that new upcoming infrastructure projects will help drive up cement demand, duly aided by the positive effects of a great monsoon on rural housing demand.

Little did we know that on 8th November, an upheaval will be triggered in the economy in general, and in all such sectors which substantially transact in cash, including cement, and all our expectations based on industry analysis, would be rudely belied.

The sudden shock of demonetisation adversely impacted the trade or retail component of cement off-take, because at the cement counters of retailers all over India, bags are purchased mostly in cash. However, different regions of the country were affected differently in the early days of demonetisation. For example, in the early days post 8th November, southern markets withstood the shock much better than the eastern or northern markets. This discrepancy was mostly caused by the difference in the extent to which the cement makers in the regions pushed cement into the distribution pipeline ignoring the drop in retail off-take.

But as time passed, let’s say in December, the southern markets are drying up as well. Overall, the drop in demand has varied widely from 20 per cent to 70 per cent in different regional markets of India, and insiders say that this trend will continue into January 2017. In spite of brave attempts of cement players, prices have started sliding down as well, and some analysts say that prices have corrected by Rs 15-30/bag across markets. As a result, the stocks of cement companies have already fallen by 15-30 per cent since that fateful November day.

As if this was not enough, the industry has been also hit by increasing fuel prices, which account for at least 40 per cent of its cost structure. Prices of pet coke, imported coal and diesel are going up. According to the data from S&P Global Platts, pet coke and imported coal prices rose between 30 and 37 per cent between July and December. The companies and plants which are located far away from domestic coalfields and/or depended more on pet coke as fuel, are going to be affected sharply. Together with the demand shocker and softening of retail prices, this cost push is going to come as a double whammy for a number of cement companies. Margins of cement companies will get squeezed to various degrees as a result of all this.

Coming back to the theme of our conference, it seems that the government’s infrastructure investments, both in the Central and state sectors, will be the only saviour of the cement industry in the next 12 months. Even so, the infra players and EPC contractors, being volume buyers, have quite a lot of negotiating leverage, and therefore, overall profitability of cement is going to take a hit in relation to retail markets.

End of the day, it does seem that everything has got postponed by a year. Let us now gear up to face a year of tribulations, and look forward to 2018 for recovery of the industry. We would like to underline the fact that the fundamental strengths of the cement industry continue to be enduring in the longer term.

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Concrete

Nuvoco Vistas Reports Record Q2 EBITDA, Expands Capacity to 35 MTPA

Cement Major Nuvoco Posts Rs 3.71 bn EBITDA in Q2 FY26

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Nuvoco Vistas Corp. Ltd., one of India’s leading building materials companies, has reported its highest-ever second-quarter consolidated EBITDA of Rs 3.71 billion for Q2 FY26, reflecting an 8% year-on-year revenue growth to Rs 24.58 billion. Cement sales volume stood at 4.3 MMT during the quarter, driven by robust demand and a rising share of premium products, which reached an all-time high of 44%.

The company continued its deleveraging journey, reducing like-to-like net debt by Rs 10.09 billion year-on-year to Rs 34.92 billion. Commenting on the performance, Jayakumar Krishnaswamy, Managing Director, said, “Despite macro headwinds, disciplined execution and focus on premiumisation helped us achieve record performance. We remain confident in our structural growth trajectory.”

Nuvoco’s capacity expansion plans remain on track, with refurbishment of the Vadraj Cement facility progressing towards operationalisation by Q3 FY27. In addition, the company’s 4 MTPA phased expansion in eastern India, expected between December 2025 and March 2027, will raise its total cement capacity to 35 MTPA by FY27.

Reinforcing its sustainability credentials, Nuvoco continues to lead the sector with one of the lowest carbon emission intensities at 453.8 kg CO? per tonne of cementitious material.

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Jindal Stainless to Invest $150 Mn in Odisha Metal Recovery Plant

New Jajpur facility to double metal recovery capacity and cut emissions

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Jindal Stainless Limited has announced an investment of $150 million to build and operate a new wet milling plant in Jajpur, Odisha, aimed at doubling its capacity to recover metal from industrial waste. The project is being developed in partnership with Harsco Environmental under a 15-year agreement.

The facility will enable the recovery of valuable metals from slag and other waste materials, significantly improving resource efficiency and reducing environmental impact. The initiative aligns with Jindal Stainless’s sustainability roadmap, which focuses on circular economy practices and low-carbon operations.

In financial year 2025, the company reduced its carbon footprint by about 14 per cent through key decarbonisation initiatives, including commissioning India’s first green hydrogen plant for stainless steel production and setting up the country’s largest captive solar energy plant within a single industrial campus in Odisha.

Shares of Jindal Stainless rose 1.8 per cent to Rs 789.4 per share following the announcement, extending a 5 per cent gain over the past month.

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Vedanta gets CCI Approval for Rs 17,000 MnJaiprakash buyout

Acquisition marks Vedanta’s expansion into cement, real estate, and infra

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Vedanta Limited has received approval from the Competition Commission of India (CCI) to acquire Jaiprakash Associates Limited (JAL) for approximately Rs 17,000 million under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) process. The move marks Vedanta’s strategic expansion beyond its core mining and metals portfolio into cement, real estate, and infrastructure sectors.

Once the flagship of the Jaypee Group, JAL has faced severe financial distress with creditors’ claims exceeding Rs 59,000 million. Vedanta emerged as the preferred bidder in a competitive auction, outbidding the Adani Group with an overall offer of Rs 17,000 million, equivalent to Rs 12,505 million in net present value terms. The payment structure involves an upfront settlement of around Rs 3,800 million, followed by annual instalments of Rs 2,500–3,000 million over five years.

The National Asset Reconstruction Company Limited (NARCL), which acquired the group’s stressed loans from a State Bank of India-led consortium, now leads the creditor committee. Lenders are expected to take a haircut of around 71 per cent based on Vedanta’s offer. Despite approvals for other bidders, Vedanta’s proposal stood out as the most viable resolution plan, paving the way for the company’s diversification into new business verticals.

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