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Cement sector is slowly heading for a major consolidation

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P K Ghosh, Chairman, ERCOM Engineers Pvt Ltd talks at length to ICR on various aspects of the business and the cement sector. ERCOM Engineers Pvt. Ltd is one of the leading ISO-9001:2008 certified Technical, Management and Engineering Consultancy Organization mainly specializing in the field of cement industry. The group has been providing consultancy services to reputed industrial houses in over 23 countries for the past 27 years. Their clients include Aditya Birla Group, J.K. Corp & J.K. Cements, Lafarge, Heidelberg, Reliance, and JP Group, along with international clients from UAE, Oman, Bahrain, Lebanon, Sudan, Mozambique, Nigeria, Central African Republic, apart from SAARC countries.

Please tell us of some of your more challenging projects.

ERCOM has undertaken many challenging projects including the recent Study entrusted by SAARC Secretariat through IDBI for the possibility of setting up a number of Cement Plants in the SAARC countries through regional cooperation and integrated logistics. Recent challenging projects include complete Engineering Consultancy for 7500 TPD single line clinkerisation unit of Gulf Cement Company, Ras Al Khaima installing the largest capacity of Vertical Roller Mill Quadrapole supplied by Polysius Germany; a Cement Plant in Bahrain with global sourcing of all raw materials and other cement retrofitting projects which require sharp engineering skills due to layout and space constraints in the existing plants. We have worked with ABG – Ultratech Cement, on GRASIM Raipur and also in another Plant in Orissa where Technology & Efficiency levels were the main focus and we have come out with the best combination of Technology & Efficiency. Is Indian market less challenging than the international?

We find Indian projects equally challenging, because our major Indian clients have a good knowledge base and a very good existing engineering set up, so they expect value addition from the consultant over and above that base level. Our vast range of experience comes from the handling of hundreds of projects in 23 countries with different technology, different suppliers and also the operational and performance feedbacks. For example, for a green field cement project, once all the pre-project activities including approvals and procurement of land and limestone deposits are in place, it can be implemented quickly. ERCOM provides Project Management and Monitoring Services utilizing the latest IT techniques to prevent project cost and time overrun. However, we find that due to the various political and legal issues, the completion of pre-project activities, specially acquiring limestone deposit and land procurement including Environmental Clearances, takes much more time in India as compared to most other countries.

The cement sector is coming of age in India with newer technologies, machinery and processes. How important is the role of consultants in this changing environment?

Consultants play a very important role with newer emerging technologies and process. Evaluation of alternate technology coupled with their operational experience and adaptability in the Indian conditions and with local raw materials is very important. We are already working on alternate fuels, marginal grade raw materials and Green Cement Technologies which will have a major impact on the Cement Industry once they are approved by our authorities like the Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS).

How big is the consultancy sector catering to the cement industry?

There are, in fact, only four or five major consultancy organization in India dedicated to the Cement Industry; and approximately 1000 professionals in the permanent rolls of the companies.
As consultants you must be biased to certain technologies. In your opinion, which countries / organizations offer the best technologies for Indian cement plants?
As a major Engineering Consultancy organization, we always endeavour not to have bias to any particular technology. As it is well known, the major patented technologies in the field of Cement Industry come from big suppliers mostly based in Europe and Japan which includes FLSmidth, Polysius Corp, KHD Humboldt Wedag, IKN, PSP and CMPAG, Taheyo Engineering Corporation and Kawasaki, UBE, Pfeiffer, Loesche, etc. Most of the major suppliers have their own subsidiary or joint venture companies in India and China. We have cement plants in India utilizing almost all the above technologies and their selection is on the basis of the specific application with local raw materials, product mix and also techno-commercial considerations. Today, the technologies are selected based on the best efficiency levels, which are the key factor for the future survival and sustainability, in a highly competitive market of global players.

Any new innovation in technologies specifically for the cement industry that you are aware of and would like to advocate?

Indian Cement Industry has been very quick and proactive in adopting new innovation in technology and we have cement plants operating in India which are among the best internationally in terms of operational efficiency, technological features, environmental management, etc. Some of the new innovative technologies for the Cement Industry now includes the Beta Mill which claims to have superior features compared to the modern cement grinding like VRM or Roll Press, advancement in system relating to Waste Heat Recovery in cement plants for Power Generation, Grate coolers of higher efficiency and also improvements in the pyro system to achieve lowest possible levels of Nox and Sox emissions.

Can you highlight some of the international products and services and compare them to Indian products and solutions?

Worldwide consultancy services are limited to companies like Taheyo – Japan, PEG – Switzerland, and Dickerhoff – Germany. These companies are not very large, in fact much smaller than the companies in India today which are controlling almost 60 per cent of the consultancy services worldwide from India; and the services are quite comparable in terms of Engineering & Technology expertise. Unlike India, the worldwide trend now is to go for turnkey and EPC basis for setting up large projects, where mostly the foreign suppliers are involved with their own contracting firms to take care of civil construction, local fabrication, erection of the plant and machinery, including commissioning assistance. However, these services are also being managed to a great extent by Indian expatriates. In India today almost all the products and equipment are available which can be considered on par with international standards, except few equipment say, for example the MMD Crusher, very large gear boxes, and hydraulic systems, which are manufactured in Europe/ Japan and cannot be compared with any Indian product for its application and quality including technology and efficiency parameters. Similarly, pipe conveyors and belts for such conveyors are manufactured either in Japan or in Europe/ USA, including downhill large conveyors for the European companies, have better technology than us and many of the Indian companies prefer these suppliers over the Indian suppliers purely from a quality and reliability point of view, although the cost is higher.

Speaking on technology – pricing between Indian and international products and prices may vary a lot. How great is the difference? And how receptive or open are Indian companies to pricing? Do they go for the best or do they settle for the second best?

As of today, the Indian cement manufacturing companies are procuring all the core equipment from the major workshops available in India, except for certain casting, gear boxes and special application drives, purely from the reliability point of view, to maximise the cement plant’s life for 40 years and above. The price on EPC basis today in India with 100 per cent Indian equipment could still be at USD120 to USD130 per annual tonne of the installed capacity, as against foreign supplies from Europe, compared on apple to apple basis, which comes to USD150 per tonne. In the context, an equivalent plant purely from China can come at USD105 – 110 per tonne (all supplies from China).
Our industry giants are going for the best value in money, keeping in mind the previous performance and most of the industry houses are repeating similar orders subject to raw material variation, which would be key to sizing of the equipment. There is no question of settlement for the second best and that may be the reason why China has not been able to penetrate the Indian market in a significant manner, though they are cheaper. One advantage of Chinese companies is that they are ready to offer total plant and machinery on a turnkey basis which covers engineering, procurement and supplies and construction. In this context, Indian cement machinery manufactures are not forthcoming on EPC basis and most of the cement manufactures have to necessarily deal with many agencies for completing the project and that leads at times over-run and other engineering and coordination- related issues.

How important do you think are green technology solutions in the modern world and how far has India taken a positive stance?

Keeping in mind the acute constraints on good raw materials availability, stringent environmental needs to reduce the carbon emission and the thrust towards cleaner technologies is an imminent need. This requires quick adoption of new technologies including the concept of grinding blended cement with low clinker requirement. Our government agencies, along with the Standards Organisations , have to work together to encourage green technologies and also come up quickly with relevant standards for green cement specifying the guidelines for their utilization and specific areas of applications.
ERCOM is already working with an American Technology provider having patented the green cement technology, based on Class C / Class F fly ash and this cement meets all the performance criteria of ASTM -C-1157. This green cement technology is being tried in India, also subject to the approval of BIS, specially for using them in low intensity areas such as floors / roofs, walls etc. We should work towards a future, when the Ordinary Portland Cement (OPC) use should be restricted to special load bearing applications, special foundations, special building structures only, whereby we will be saving lot of mineral resources as well as minimize the extent of carbon emission including NOx & Sox (general oxides of nitrogen – NO, NO2, N2O2, etc.; and the general oxides of sulfur – SO2, SO3, etc.)

As consultants you must have a finger on the pulse of the sector and be able to predict the direction of the industry. Where do you see the cement sector in India in the coming days?

The cement sector is slowly heading for a major consolidation, and day by day, green field projects are becoming difficult to set up due to increased hassles in areas like mineral concession, land acquisition and related environmental and operation issues. Having said this, the government and the approving authorities like BIS will have to necessarily look into the green cement technologies and it is expected that the green cement will ultimately take a market share of approximately 12 per cent of total cement market by the year 2020. Moreover, due to the depletion of good quality limestone, a major shift may be on new technologies, which will utilize low and marginal grade raw materials. ERCOM has the privilege of presently working for a large capacity cement project being set up entirely on the basis of marginal and waste grade raw materials in Northern India.
This may lead the cement Industry in India to be consolidated in the hands of a few major giant cement companies, and only a few cement companies with single or smaller capacity plants shall continue to operate purely due to regional and local factors.

Do you offer any kind of financial consultancy?

We are offering financial consultancy services in terms of feasibility and economic viability and also in terms of due diligence for taking over / acquisition status, mostly on behalf of large cement industry houses and sometimes on behalf of financial institutions.

How encouraging is the financial sector (Banks, PE Funds etc) in funding cement companies?

The major financial institutions like IDBI / ICICI / IFCI / SBI and large banking consortiums are generally willing to fund only the major established cement players and are not very enthusiastic for the new companies wanting to enter the cement business. The newcomers would need relatively more aggressive private banks / PE funding with an objective to operate the project professionally with complete project management with Engineering, Procurement, Construction Management (EPCM) kind of operation. The preference for funding such projects is due to better control on the project cost and time overrun, thereby keeping the investment safer.

What do you refer as the best sources for funding for cement companies?

The best source of funding in India are still the private banks and the PE funding, who generally look into the group’s background and image, technology selected for the project, market size where the product will ultimately go and the competition that will be faced with the existing reputed brands. Besides, the PE funding are also looking into the logistics parameters, which is now becoming one major area of focus in the cement business.

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Price hikes, drop in input costs help cement industry to post positive margins: Care Ratings

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Region-wise,the southern region comprises 35% of the total cement capacity, followed by thenorthern, eastern, western and central region comprising 20%, 18%, 14% and 13%of the capacity, respectively.

The cement industry is expected to post positive margins on decent price hikes over the months, falling raw material prices and marked drop in overall production costs, said an analysis of Care Ratings.

Wholesale and retail prices of cement have increased 11.9% and 12.4%, respectively, in the current financial year. As whole prices have remained elevated in most of the markets in the months of FY20, against the corresponding period of the previous year.

Similarly, electricity and fuel cost have declined 11.9% during 9M FY20 due to drop in crude oil prices. Logistics costs, the biggest cost for cement industry, has also dropped 7.7% (selling and distribution) as the Railways extended the benefit of exemption from busy season surcharge. Moreover, the cost of raw materials, too, declined 5.1% given the price of limestone had fallen 11.3% in the same aforementioned period, the analysis said.

According to Care Ratings, though the overall sales revenue has increased only 1.3%, against 16% growth in the year-ago period, the overall expenditure has declined 3.2% which has benefited the industry largely given the moderation in sales.

Even though FY20 has been subdued in terms of production and demand, the fall in cost of production has still supported the cement industry by clocking in positive margins, the rating agency said.

Cement demand is closely linked to the overall economic growth, particularly the housing and infrastructure sector. The cement sector will be seeing a sharp growth in volumes mainly due to increasing demand from affordable housing and other government infrastructure projects like roads, metros, airports, irrigation.

The government’s newly introduced National Infrastructure Pipeline (NIP), with its target of becoming a $5-trillion economy by 2025, is a detailed road map focused on economic revival through infrastructure development.

The NIP covers a gamut of sectors; rural and urban infrastructure and entails investments of Rs.102 lakh crore to be undertaken by the central government, state governments and the private sector. Of the total projects of the NIP, 42% are under implementation while 19% are under development, 31% are at the conceptual stage and 8% are yet to be classified.

The sectors that will be of focus will be roads, railways, power (renewable and conventional), irrigation and urban infrastructure. These sectors together account for 79% of the proposed investments in six years to 2025. Given the government’s thrust on infrastructure creation, it is likely to benefit the cement industry going forward.

Similarly, the Pradhan Mantri Awaas Yojana, aimed at providing affordable housing, will be a strong driver to lift cement demand. Prices have started correcting Q4 FY20 onwards due to revival in demand of the commodity, the agency said in its analysis.

Industry’s sales revenue has grown at a CAGR of 7.3% during FY15-19 but has grown only 1.3% in the current financial year. Tepid demand throughout the country in the first half of the year has led to the contraction of sales revenue. Fall in the total expenditure of cement firms had aided in improving the operating profit and net profit margins of the industry (OPM was 15.2 during 9M FY19 and NPM was 3.1 during 9M FY19). Interest coverage ratio, too, has improved on an overall basis (ICR was 3.3 during 9M FY19).

According to Cement Manufacturers Association, India accounts for over 8% of the overall global installed capacity. Region-wise, the southern region comprises 35% of the total cement capacity, followed by the northern, eastern, western and central region comprising 20%, 18%, 14% and 13% of the capacity, respectively.

Installed capacity of domestic cement makers has increased at a CAGR of 4.9% during FY16-20. Manufacturers have been able to maintain a capacity utilisation rate above 65% in the past quinquennium. In the current financial year due to the prolonged rains in many parts of the country, the capacity utilisation rate has fallen from 70% during FY19 to 66% currently (YTD).

Source:moneycontrol.com

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Wonder Cement shows journey of cement with new campaign

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The campaign also marks Wonder Cement being the first ever cement brand to enter the world of IGTV…

ETBrandEquity

Cement manufacturing company Wonder Cement, has announced the launch of a digital campaign ‘Har Raah Mein Wonder Hai’. The campaign has been designed specifically to run on platforms such as Instagram, Facebook and YouTube.

#HarRaahMeinWonderHai is a one-minute video, designed and conceptualised by its digital media partner Triature Digital Marketing and Technologies Pvt Ltd. The entire journey of the cement brand from leaving the factory, going through various weather conditions and witnessing the beauty of nature and wonders through the way until it reaches the destination i.e., to the consumer is very intriguing and the brand has tried to showcase the same with the film.

Sanjay Joshi, executive director, Wonder Cement, said, "Cement as a product poses a unique marketing challenge. Most consumers will build their homes once and therefore buy cement once in a lifetime. It is critical for a cement company to connect with their consumers emotionally. As a part of our communication strategy, it is our endeavor to reach out to a large audience of this country through digital. Wonder Cement always a pioneer in digital, with the launch of our IGTV campaign #HarRahMeinWonderHai, is the first brand in the cement category to venture into this space. Through this campaign, we have captured the emotional journey of a cement bag through its own perspective and depicted what it takes to lay the foundation of one’s dreams and turn them into reality."

The story begins with a family performing the bhoomi poojan of their new plot. It is the place where they are investing their life-long earnings; and planning to build a dream house for the family and children. The family believes in the tradition of having a ‘perfect shuruaat’ (perfect beginning) for their future dream house. The video later highlights the process of construction and in sequence it is emphasising the value of ‘Perfect Shuruaat’ through the eyes of a cement bag.

Tarun Singh Chauhan, management advisor and brand consultant, Wonder Cement, said, "Our objective with this campaign was to show that the cement produced at the Wonder Cement plant speaks for itself, its quality, trust and most of all perfection. The only way this was possible was to take the perspective of a cement bag and showing its journey of perfection from beginning till the end."

According to the company, the campaign also marks Wonder Cement being the first ever cement brand to enter the world of IGTV. No other brand in this category has created content specific to the platform.

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In spite of company’s optimism, demand weakness in cement is seen in the 4% y-o-y drop in sales volume. (Reuters)

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Cost cuts and better realizations save? the ?day ?for ?UltraTech Cement, Updated: 27 Jan 2020, Vatsala Kamat from Live Mint

Lower cost of energy and logistics helped Ebitda per tonne rise by about 29% in Q3
Premiumization of acquired brands, synergistic?operations hold promise for future profit growth Topics

UltraTech Cement
India’s largest cement producer UltraTech Cement Ltd turned out a bittersweet show in the December quarter. A sharp drop in fuel costs and higher realizations helped drive profit growth. But the inherent demand weakness was evident in the sales volumes drop during the quarter.

Better realizations during the December quarter, in spite of the 4% year-on-year volume decline, minimized the pain. Net stand-alone revenue fell by 2.6% to ?9,981.8 crore.

But as pointed out earlier, lower costs on most fronts helped profitability. The chart alongside shows the sharp drop in energy costs led by lower petcoke prices, lower fuel consumption and higher use of green power. Logistics costs, too, fell due to lower railway freight charges and synergies from the acquired assets. These savings helped offset the increase in raw material costs.

The upshot: Q3 Ebitda (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) of about ?990 per tonne was 29% higher from a year ago. The jump in profit on a per tonne basis was more or less along expected lines, given the increase in realizations. "Besides, the reduction in net debt by about ?2,000 crore is a key positive," said Binod Modi, analyst at Reliance Securities Ltd.

Graphic by Santosh Sharma/Mint
What also impressed analysts is the nimble-footed integration of the recently merged cement assets of Nathdwara and Century, which was a concern on the Street.

Kunal Shah, analyst (institutional equities) at Yes Securities (India) Ltd, said: "The company has proved its ability of asset integration. Century’s cement assets were ramped up to 79% capacity utilization in December, even as they operated Nathdwara generating an Ebitda of ?1,500 per tonne."

Looks like the demand weakness mirrored in weak sales during the quarter was masked by the deft integration and synergies derived from these acquired assets. This drove UltraTech’s stock up by 2.6% to ?4,643 after the Q3 results were declared on Friday.

Brand transition from Century to UltraTech, which is 55% complete, is likely to touch 80% by September 2020. A report by Jefferies India Pvt. Ltd highlights that the Ebitda per tonne for premium brands is about ?5-10 higher per bag than the average (A cement bag weighs 50kg). Of course, with competition increasing in the arena, it remains to be seen how brand premiumization in the cement industry will pan out. UltraTech Cement scores well among peers here.

However, there are road bumps ahead for the cement sector and for UltraTech. Falling gross domestic product growth, fiscal slippages and lower budgetary allocation to infrastructure sector are making industry houses jittery on growth. Although UltraTech’s management is confident that cement demand is looking up, sustainability and pricing power remains a worry for the near term.

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