Lok Sabha elections are done. The results are out. Those who have won are celebrating and those who have lost are recouping. But the political tug-of-war has just begun. We witnessed the immediate repercussions of the Lok Sabha election results with BSE Sensex ending 4,390 points down and Nifty plunging 5.93 per cent. Market volatility is synonymous with political turbulence. Dalmia Bharat, India Cements, Ramco Cements, HCC and Reliance Infrastructure were amongst the nearly 300 stocks that hit a 52-week low following the election results. In the wake of the election results, analysts and traders alike are keeping their eyes trained on the alliances and collaborations unfolding at the Centre, as these are likely to have a deep impact on the stock market.
Amidst all the volatility comes a positive forecast from the Investment Information and Credit Rating Agency (ICRA). In a report on the consolidation trend in the cement Sector, ICRA has highlighted how the market share of the top five cement companies increased from 45 per cent in 2015 to 54 per cent in 2023 and is anticipated to reach 55 per cent by 2025. This consolidation is driven by strong demand prospects, leading companies to expand through mergers and acquisitions.
Consolidation also facilitates synergies that enhance cost reduction and operational efficiency, while acquisitions grant access to additional capacities and resources, resulting in significant savings on capital expenditures. In terms of outlook for the cement sector, the revenue growth is projected at 9-10 per cent, with operating margins expected to improve by 80-100 basis points. While debt levels are expected to rise in FY25 due to capital expenditures, debt protection metrics are predicted to remain favourable.
This report throws an optimistic light on the cement industry. This sector’s resilience and strategic expansions suggest a stable outlook amid broader market uncertainties, making the India cement saga a story worth narrating to the world.